Carlos Jorge
SS · Louisville Bats · Triple-A · 22.0y · #966 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
58 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
8 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Carlos Jorge 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple… at $66.74. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Carlos Jorge scores 58 out of 100 (#966 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 95 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.
Plate discipline: well below
4.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed: plus-plus
51 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 95% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
Elite speed (95th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
95 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
8 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 8 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 2 are under "The whole live market".
CARLOS JORGE 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Reractor Auto #/499 Rookie Card (RC) #CPA-CJ
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$41.98
modeled ~$78.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Carlos Jorge 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 #CPA-CJ PSA 9
/250 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 9d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$66.74
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman TRUE GREEN SP AUTO /99 Carlos Jorge 1st Chrome PSA 10 💎 Cincy Reds
/99 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 461d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$255.95
modeled ~$202.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Atomic Auto /100 Carlos Jorge Gem Mint BGS 9.5 Reds
/100 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 59d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$304.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Chrome Carlos Jorge 1st Bowman Speckle Refractor Auto /299 PSA 10
/299 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 933d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$308.00
modeled ~$787.77
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Chrome Carlos Jorge Gold Refractor 1st Prospect Auto #40/50 PSA 9
/50 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 854d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$355.97
modeled ~$415.01
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Carlos Jorge, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $20.99–$44.08, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $41.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $41.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
52
average · better than 59% at his level
21.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level
.111 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
37
well below · better than 9% at his level
4.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level
51 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level · the result, not a skill
.683 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 48th percentile of the cohort, production at the 33th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 48 and his production sits at 33, a gap of +15. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 70th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.5 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- young for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
95
AVG
.267
OBP
.305
SLG
.378
OPS
.683
better than 33%
HR
2
SB
8
BB%
4.2
K%
21.1
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .697 to .683 OPS.
Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.697→.683
Power
.104→.111
Walks
11.1%▼4.2%
Strikeouts
18.6%▲21.1%
Last season, 469 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $29.99 · /299 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market8 listed · 8 eBay-verified · 2 not shown above
- Listings
- 8
- Lowest seen
- $41.98
- Median ask
- $280.47
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $41.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $41.98
8 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 2 cards
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run