Deal Sniper

Billy Amick

3B · Triple-A · 23.0y · #960 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

58 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best /99 asks $106, over the $99.99 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Billy Amick 1st… at $35.25. Needs a $12 drop.

Our take

Solid prospect, expensive market.

Billy Amick scores 58 out of 100 (#960 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $20–30 off 5 confirmed sales.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 22 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

  • Contact: bottom of the scale

    45.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .873 last season to .482 this one.

  • Power: above average

    .200 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 72% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Triple-A.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    22 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 32 on the 20–80 scale (45.5% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-BA — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$19.99–30midpoint $29.99

Confirmed· 5 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 8 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-BA

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Billy Amick 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 Mets at $74.95, 120% over the $34–57.88 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $34 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $12 drop
  • Player not there yet
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Billy Amick 1st… at or under $23.99 delivered.
  • On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.

What is for sale right now

39 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 38 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 32 are under "The whole live market".

  • 1st Bowman Chrome Billy Amick Minnesota Twins Top Prospect On Card Auto Clean 🔥

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Identity uncertainthe year

    sold $19.99–30

    PASS · 13% under

  • Billy Amick 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Green Refractor /99 #CPABA

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $105.98

    sold $99.99

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Billy Amick Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-BA NEW YORK METS

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $19.99–30

    PASS

  • 1st 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft CPA-BA AUTO BILLY AMICK Rookie Card Twins/METS HOT!

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 90h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $19.99–30

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Billy Amick 1st Bowman Autograph Auto Rookie CPA-BA

    base · raw · condition not stated · auction · listed 2d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $19.99–30

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Billy Amick Gold Wave Refractor Auto /50 1st Min Twins

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 607d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $28.79–101

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $74.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +120%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $102.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +37%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $64.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -38%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $115.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +80%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $105.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -8%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $123.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +17%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $192.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +56%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

14 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 42 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 42 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    32

    bottom of the scale · better than 4% at his level

    45.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    56

    above average · better than 72% at his level

    .200 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    37

    well below · better than 10% at his level

    4.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    37

    well below · better than 9% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .482 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 29th percentile of the cohort, production at the 9th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 29 and his production sits at 9, a gap of +20. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 79th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.2 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

22

AVG

.100

OBP

.182

SLG

.300

OPS

.482

better than 9%

HR

1

SB

0

BB%

4.5

K%

45.5

Is this player getting better?

Down from .873 to .482 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.873.482

Power

.145.200

Walks

11.9%4.5%

Strikeouts

25.8%45.5%

Last season, 244 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26$44.00 plus $3.98 shipping · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market39 listed · 39 eBay-verified · 32 not shown above
Listings
39

39 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$34.13
Median ask
$105.46
Cheapest 1st auto
$35.25
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$35.99

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 32 cards

  • $120.98Billy Amick 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Green Refractor /99 #CPABAPASS
  • Billy Amick 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Blue Wave Refractor /150 #CPABAPASS
  • $64.25💥Billy Amick💥2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250🔥PASS
  • $34.132024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Billy Amick #CPA-BA Auto 0v6iPASS
  • $123.99Billy Amick 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto true Green /99 refractor rookie RC MetsPASS
  • $102.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor /199 Billy Amick Auto 10h2PASS
  • $35.992024 Bowman Draft Billy Amick 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 PSA 5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $48.942024 Bowman Draft Billy Amick 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 9 MINT🔥📈NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $86.49PSA 9 Billy Amick 2024 Bowman Chrome Aqua Refractor AUTO RC Mets 1st AutographsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $104.942024 Bowman Draft Billy Amick 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 10 💎 MINT🔥📈NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $119.98Billy Amick 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto 1st Rookie RC PSA 10 Gem Mint MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $142.502024 Bowman Draft Billy Amick Bowman 1st Auto-Aqua Lava /199--PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $156.492024 Bowman Draft Billy Amick #CPA-BA Chrome Prospect Auto Refractor /499 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $170.002024 Bowman Draft Billy Amick Bowman 1st Auto-Blue Wave /150--PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $193.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome Billy Amick 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-BA PSA 10 Gem MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $799.992024 Bowman Draft Billy Amick 1st Chrome Orange Wave Auto /25 PSA 10 METSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $960.002024 Bowman Draft #CPA-BA Billy Amick Popcorn Refractor 1st Auto /5 PSA 10 GemNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft - Billy Amick 1st Bowman Yellow Refractor Auto #23/75 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome - Billy Amick 1st Auto Refractor /499 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Billy Amick 1st Bowman Chrome Auto True Blue /150 PSA 10 Gem MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $115.482024 Bowman Draft | Billy Amick | 1st Bowman Blue Refractor Auto /150 | MetsPASS
  • $192.902024 1st Bowman Draft Billy Amick /75 Twins * True Yellow * Refractor Auto MetsPASS
  • $35.252024 Bowman Draft Chrome Billy Amick 1st Base Auto #CPA-BAPASS
  • $41.49BILLY AMICK 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospects 1st Auto #CPA-BA MetsPASS
  • $42.49Billy Amick 2024 Bowman Chrome AUTO RC New York Mets 1st Autographs Rookie SPPASS
  • $44.992024 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Prospect Autographs Billy Amick #CPA-BA Rookie AutoPASS
  • $74.952024 Bowman Draft Chrome Billy Amick 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 MetsPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Billy Amick Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-BA NEW YORK METSPASS
  • Billy Amick 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Bowman Rookie Auto Mets RCPASS
  • 1st 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft CPA-BA AUTO BILLY AMICK Rookie Card Twins/METS HOT!PASS
  • BILLY AMICK - 2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-BAPASS
  • BILLY AMICK 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-BA REFRACTOR /499 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS

Worth reading for this player