Our calls
Every public recommendation, frozen the moment it was made and graded against later verified market prices. Nothing here is ever edited or deleted — the misses matter more than the hits.
How a call works
A call is created automatically the first time a live listing clears one of our recommendation tiers during a scan. Nothing is hand-picked afterwards, and nothing is added retroactively — which is what stops a track record from becoming a highlight reel.
What freezes at call time. The listing, the delivered price, the fair value we held for that exact card, the score and the tier are all written once and never updated. If the same listing later clears a higher tier that is a new claim with its own record, not an edit to the old one.
How it is graded. At 30, 90, 180 and 365 days we compare the frozen fair value against confirmed sales of the same card that happened after the call. Sales from before the call set the starting number and can never grade it, and a listing that merely disappeared from the marketplace is not a sale and cannot grade anything. A call with no qualifying sales stays ungraded rather than being scored generously.
Why the percentages are sometimes missing. We refuse to publish a hit rate or a median move for a tier with fewer than five graded calls. Three good outcomes out of four is not a track record, and printing it as one would be the most flattering lie available to us.
Losers stay. The ledger is append-only: no row is ever edited or deleted, so a call that went badly is still here a year later next to the ones that worked. A record that forgets its misses is an advertisement, and this page exists precisely because we did not want one.
The record so far
| Tier | Calls | Graded at 90d | Median 90d move | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOD VALUE / OFFER | 24 | 0 | too few graded to say | — |
| STRONG VALUE | 2 | 0 | too few graded to say | — |
Percentages appear only once at least five calls in a tier have been graded — a hit rate off three observations is marketing, not measurement. Grading compares the card's confirmed fair value at the horizon with its fair value when called; a call with no later confirmed sales stays ungraded rather than being guessed at.
Recent calls
- Franklin Arias · Franklin Arias Signed Card 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox PSA 102026-08-29 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $139.99 vs $700 fair value (medium)
- Walker Jenkins · Walker Jenkins 2025 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 - PSA 10 Gem Mint2026-08-29 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $335.98 vs $635 fair value (low)
- George Lombard Jr. · George Lombard Jr. 1st Prospect Autograph 2024 Bowman Auto RC Autographs Rookie2026-08-29 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $209.95 vs $340 fair value (medium)
- Franklin Arias · Franklin Arias Signed Card 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox PSA 102026-08-29 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $139.99 vs $700 fair value (medium)
- Walker Jenkins · WALKER JENKINS (RC) 2024 1ST Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-WJ PSA 9 (AU) TWINS2026-08-29 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $179.97 vs $265 fair value (low)
- Walker Jenkins · 2025 BOWMAN WALKER JENKINS CHROME SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO /299 PSA 10 GEM MINT2026-08-29 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $305.99 vs $600 fair value (low)
- Walker Jenkins · WALKER JENKINS (RC) 2024 1ST Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-WJ PSA 9 (AU) TWINS2026-08-29 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $179.97 vs $265 fair value (low)
- Walker Jenkins · 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto PSA 9 Walker Jenkins #CPA-WJ Twins2026-08-29 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $186.98 vs $265 fair value (low)
- Charles McAdoo · 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Charles McAdoo /150 Auto2026-08-29 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $45.16 vs $85 fair value (medium)
- Lazaro Montes · Lazaro Montes 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Signed Rookie RC PSA10 Auto Mariners2026-08-29 · STRONG VALUE at $75.98 vs $183 fair value (medium)
- Rainiel Rodriguez · Rainiel Rodriguez Signed Card 1st Bowman Sapphire Auto St. Louis Cardinals PSA102026-08-28 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $229.99 vs $425 fair value (medium)
- Bryce Eldridge · 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Sapphire Bryce Eldridge PSA 10 Auto Signed BDC-1072026-08-28 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $311.99 vs $553 fair value (medium)
- Bryce Eldridge · 2023 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Bryce Eldridge PSA 10 Auto Signed BDC-107 1st RC 2026-08-28 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $305.49 vs $553 fair value (medium)
- Rainiel Rodriguez · Rainiel Rodriguez Signed Card 1st Bowman Chrome Auto St. Louis Cardinals2026-08-28 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $69.99 vs $125 fair value (high)
- Walker Jenkins · WALKER JENKINS 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 9 - 2024 Bowman #CPA-WJ Twins RC2026-08-28 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $230.99 vs $265 fair value (low)
- Walker Jenkins · 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Walker Jenkins Chrome Auto 1st #BP-43 PSA 10 Auto2026-08-28 · STRONG VALUE at $207.98 vs $300 fair value (medium)
- Walker Jenkins · 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Walker Jenkins PSA 9 #CPA-WJ Twins2026-08-28 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $205.98 vs $265 fair value (low)
- Angel Genao · Angel Genao Rookie Card 2023 1st Bowman Chrome #bcp140 RC non auto2026-08-27 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $11.00 vs $45 fair value (high)
- James Tibbs III · 2026 James Tibbs III Bowman Chrome Mojo Refractor Autograph Auto #BMA-JT 45A2026-08-27 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $27.00 vs $44 fair value (medium)
- Franklin Arias · Franklin Arias Signed Card 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox PSA 102026-08-27 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $139.99 vs $700 fair value (medium)
- Franklin Arias · Franklin Arias Signed Card 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox PSA 102026-08-27 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $139.99 vs $700 fair value (medium)
- Franklin Arias · Franklin Arias Signed Card 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox PSA 102026-08-27 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $139.99 vs $700 fair value (medium)
- Franklin Arias · Franklin Arias Signed Card 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox PSA 102026-08-27 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $139.99 vs $700 fair value (medium)
- Franklin Arias · Franklin Arias Signed Card 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox PSA 102026-08-27 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $139.99 vs $700 fair value (medium)
- Franklin Arias · Franklin Arias Signed Card 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Boston Red Sox PSA 102026-08-27 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $139.99 vs $700 fair value (medium)
- Walker Jenkins · 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Walker Jenkins Chrome Auto 1st #BP-43 PSA 10 Auto2026-08-27 · GOOD VALUE / OFFER at $207.98 vs $300 fair value (low)