Trey Faltine
SS · Louisville Bats · Triple-A · 25.0y · #1814 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
52 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
38 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Trey Faltine scores 52 out of 100 (#1814 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 10 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Contact: bottom of the scale
70.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus-plus
.333 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 95% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
Big power for his level (95th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
10 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 27 on the 20–80 scale (70.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TF — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TF
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.81 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
38 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 37 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 31 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-TF Reds
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 58d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$3.81
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
2023 1st Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine AUTO !! #CPA-TF Reds
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 278d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.25
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
2023 Trey Faltine SP #CPA-TF Chrome Prospects 1st Bowman Auto Cincinnati Reds
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.75
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-TF
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 100d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.78
modeled ~$8.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-TF Reds
Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 919d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.99
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Baseball 1st Auto CPA-TF Cincinnati Reds - TREY FALTINE
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1057d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.23
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.78 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.81, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.81 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -34%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.87, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.87 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +264%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.98 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -35%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -6%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.99 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +88%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 46 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
27
bottom of the scale · better than 1% at his level
70.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level
.333 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
48
average · better than 44% at his level
10.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
44
below average · better than 26% at his level · the result, not a skill
.644 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 42th percentile of the cohort, production at the 26th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 42 and his production sits at 26, a gap of +16. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 72th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.8 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
10
AVG
.111
OBP
.200
SLG
.444
OPS
.644
better than 26%
HR
1
SB
0
BB%
10.0
K%
70.0
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market38 listed · 38 eBay-verified · 31 not shown above
- Listings
- 38
- Lowest live
- $3.81
- Median ask
- $8.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.81
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $8.49
38 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 31 cards
- $6.602023 Trey Faltine Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-TF (H1146) $6 MAX SHIPLOTTERY
- $7.982023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-TF Cincinnati RedsLOTTERY
- $8.492023 BOWMAN CHROME TREY FALTINE 1ST PROSPECT PURPLE REFRACTOR AUTO 100/250 REDSLOTTERY
- $8.73Trey Faltine 2023 1st Bowman Chrome #CPA-TF Auto - RedsLOTTERY
- $9.112023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-TF RedsLOTTERY
- $12.00Trey Faltine 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Year Prospect Autograph Auto Cincinnati RedsLOTTERY
- $13.99TREY FALTINE 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-TFLOTTERY
- $15.992023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine Auto Gold Shimmer /50 Reds 1st Bowman 🌟⚾LOTTERY
- $29.952023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-TF Trey Faltine 1st Prospect Auto Cincinnati Reds SGC 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $29.95Trey Faltine 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph #CPATF Auto Reds SGC 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $29.952023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-TF Reds SGC 10-9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 Trey Faltine #CPA-TFNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-TF RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine #CPA-TF Auto 1st Prospect RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Trey Faltine - Cincinnati RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome - Trey Faltine 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-TF Cincinnati RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Trey Faltine Refractor Auto #425/499 REDSNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-TF RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Trey Faltine 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH REDS TREY FALTINE AUTO CPA-TFNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Trey Faltine 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine 1st Bowman Yellow Refractor Auto #1/75 RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Trey Faltine 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto /250 Purple RefractorNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Trey Faltine 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph RC Cincinnati RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto 163/499 Trey Faltine #CPA-TF SGC 10/10 GMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Autograph Trey Faltine ROOKIE 1st AUTO REDS SGC 10 GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.982023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Trey Faltine #CPA-TF Auto 4k8LOTTERY
- $16.172023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 171/299 Trey Faltine Auto 1lq2LOTTERY
- $13.872023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 412/499 Trey Faltine #CPA-TF Auto 0ba8LOTTERY
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine 1st RC On Card AUTO #CPA-TF Reds PSA 9 AdPASS
- $11.242023 Bowman Chrome Trey Faltine 1st RC On Card AUTO #CPA-TF RedsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run