Willy Vasquez
3B · Norfolk Tides · Triple-A · 24.0y · #1840 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
51 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
62 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Willy Vasquez 2022 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto… at $8.76. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Willy Vasquez scores 51 out of 100 (#1840 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (34.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Contact: well below
34.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Speed: plus
31 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 83% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: above average
12.8% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 69% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (34.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 27 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 28 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 27 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $3.28 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
62 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 60 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 54 are under "The whole live market".
2022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1st Bowman On-Card Auto #CPA-WVZ
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 65d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.28
modeled ~$9.05
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Willy Vasquez #CPA-WVZ Rays
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 44d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.50
modeled ~$9.05
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Willy Vasquez #CPA-WVZ Rays
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 243d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.63
modeled ~$9.05
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Willy Vasquez #CPA-WVZ Rays
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 243d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.63
modeled ~$9.05
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1st Bowman Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.31
modeled ~$9.05
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-WVZ Rays - WILLY VASQUEZ
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.48
modeled ~$9.05
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.28, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.28 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.08, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.08 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +55%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.24 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +121%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.76, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.76 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -22%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.00 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +71%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -7%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $22.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $22.49 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +61%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.29 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -59%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.29 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +22%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
15 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
38
well below · better than 11% at his level
34.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
46
below average · better than 36% at his level
.121 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
55
above average · better than 69% at his level
12.8% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level
31 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level · the result, not a skill
.679 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 50th percentile of the cohort, production at the 33th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 50 and his production sits at 33, a gap of +17. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 74th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.4 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
156
AVG
.227
OBP
.331
SLG
.348
OPS
.679
better than 33%
HR
3
SB
8
BB%
12.8
K%
34.0
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .656 to .679 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.656▲.679
Power
.103▲.121
Walks
4.2%▲12.8%
Strikeouts
19.4%▲34.0%
Last season, 165 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market62 listed · 62 eBay-verified · 54 not shown above
- Listings
- 62
- Lowest live
- $3.28
- Median ask
- $11.27
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.28
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.08
62 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 54 cards
- $5.002022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPAWVZ RaysLOTTERY
- $5.082022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1st Bowman On-Card Auto Refractor #/499LOTTERY
- $5.092022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1st Bowman Base Auto Tampa Bay Rays RookieLOTTERY
- $5.99Willy Vasquez 2022 Bowman 1st Base Chrome Auto Tampa Bay Rays #CPA-WVZLOTTERY
- $6.24Willy Vasquez 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Tampa Bay RaysLOTTERY
- $6.302022 Bowman Chrome 1st - Willy Vasquez #CPA-WVZ Tampa Bay Rays - AUTOLOTTERY
- $6.342022 Bowman Chrome 1st autographs Willy Vasquez AutoLOTTERY
- $6.482022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez Auto #CPA-WVZ - 1st TB Rays Prospect RCLOTTERY
- $7.09Willy Vasquez 2022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WVZ Prospect Autographs 1st Auto Rays QTYLOTTERY
- $7.852022 Bowman Chrome 1st Willy Vasquez On Card Auto Tampa Bay Rays Prospect CardLOTTERY
- $8.122022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 328/499 Willy Vasquez #CPA-WVZ Auto 1e1jLOTTERY
- $8.602022 Willy Vasquez Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-WVZ (J496)LOTTERY
- $8.76Willy Vasquez 2022 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto Autograph Speckle Refractor Rays #/299LOTTERY
- $8.992022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman WILLY VASQUEZ Auto #CPA-WVLOTTERY
- $9.29WILLY VASQUEZ 2022 Bowman Chrome GREEN REFRACTOR ~ Rays 1st RC AUTO /99LOTTERY
- $10.502022 Willy Vasquez 1st Bowman Chrome Auto LOTTERY
- $11.232022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WVZ WILLY VASQUEZ 1st Bowman Auto Tampa Bay RaysLOTTERY
- $11.24Willy Vasquez 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Auto /299 Rays CPA-WVZLOTTERY
- $11.29WILLY VASQUEZ 2022 Bowman Chrome GOLD SHIMMER REFRACTOR ~ Rays 1st RC AUTO /50LOTTERY
- $11.982022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Refractor 198/499 RaysLOTTERY
- $12.992022 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor #/499 Auto Willy Vasquez #CPAWVZ AutographLOTTERY
- $13.99WILLY VASQUEZ 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BLUE REFRACTOR RC AUTO 003/150 #CPA-WVZLOTTERY
- $13.99WILLY VASQUEZ 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-WVZLOTTERY
- $13.99WILLY VASQUEZ 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BLUE REFRACTOR RC AUTO 128/150 #CPA-WVZLOTTERY
- $15.002022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250 RaysLOTTERY
- $16.22Willy Vasquez 2022 1st Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Auto Autograph Tamp Bay RaysLOTTERY
- $17.45WILLY VASQUEZ 2022 Bowman Chrome Rookie 1st Card RC Auto Grade 9.5 Auto 10LOTTERY
- $18.982022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WVZ Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Willy Vasquez autograph LOTTERY
- $19.622022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 75/299 Willy Vasquez Auto 1n8aLOTTERY
- $22.492022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Atomic Refractor /100 Willy Vasquez Auto pe8LOTTERY
- $24.992022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-WVZ PSA 9 RaysLOTTERY
- $26.00Willy Vasquez 2022 Bowman Chrome Gold Refractor Auto /50 Mint 9 BGSNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $26.992022 Bowman Chrome Auto Willy Vasquez 1st Bowman Auto 154/250 SGC 9.5 Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $27.002022 Bowman Willy Vasquez 1st Chrome Autograph Auto PSA 9 – Tampa Bay RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $31.00Willy Vasquez 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Rookie Card RC #/499 Refractor PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $33.96PSA 10 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Willy Vasquez Auto Tampa Bay RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $35.962022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $36.242022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Orange Refractor 7/25 Willy Vasquez BGS 9 Auto 5l2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $36.98Willy Vasquez 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $37.75Willy Vasquez #Cpawvz 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects RC Rookie Auto PSA 10 2945NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $41.252022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 091/250 Auto Purple PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $2499.992022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1/1 SuperFractor Auto PSA 9 Tampa Bay RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome - 1st AUTO - Willy Vasquez #CPA-WVZ - Tampa Bay RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Willy Vasquez #CPA-WVZ RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPAWVZ RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Willy Vasquez 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Rookie Base RC Auto RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor #/499 Auto Willy Vasquez #CPAWVZ AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Willy Vasquez RC Auto 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor /499 RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Willy Vasquez 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Baseball Prospect On Card Auto CPA-WVZ RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez 1st HTA Blue Choice Refractor Auto /150 RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome - 1st AUTO - Willy Vasquez #CPA-WVZ - Tampa Bay RaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 1st Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez Auto CPAWVZ Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2022 Bowman Chrome Willy Vasquez #BCP-195 /250 SGC 9.5 Rookie AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Gold Refractor 1/50 Willy Vasquez Auto PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run