Seaver King
SS · Triple-A · 23.0y · #19 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
87 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
32 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Seaver King #CPA-SK…. Priced above value.
Our take
Strong prospect, untested market.
Seaver King scores 87 out of 100 (#19 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $45–58 off 3 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
Plate discipline: below average
9.1% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Power: plus
.246 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 86% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 83/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-SK — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$44.99–58.31midpoint $49.99
Confirmed· 3 salesmost recent 2026-08-23 · 4 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-SK
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is SEAVER KING - 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Prospect CPA-SK Chrome Auto Refractor /499 at $275, 223% over the $75.01–85 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/499 at or under $75.01 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
32 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 32 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 26 are under "The whole live market".
SEAVER KING 2025 BOWMAN CHROME MEGA BOX #BMA-SK PROSPECT AUTO MOJO REFRACTOR
Mojo Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
sold $49.99
WATCH · 60% under
2024 Bowman Draft Seaver King #CPA-SK Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Nationals
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 90h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $49.99
PASS · 2% under
SEAVER KING - 2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-SK Nationals
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $49.99
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Seaver King 1st Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $49.99
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Yellow Seaver King Nationals RC Rookie AUTO 73/75
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 450d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$306.84
modeled $53.99–163
PASS
Seaver King 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Aqua Lava Refractor Auto /199
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$167.50
modeled $36.44–110
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Seaver King, just what the money can do today.
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /499$49.99Watch
- Christian MooreRefractor · /499$45.94Watch
- Luke AdamsGreen Mojo Refractor · /99$61.74Watch
Compared within $31.66–$66.49, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $73.38, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $73.38 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $63.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $63.32 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -14%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $275.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $275.00 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +334%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $167.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $167.50 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -39%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $306.84, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $306.84 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales
14 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
50
average · better than 49% at his level
22.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
61
plus · better than 86% at his level
.246 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
46
below average · better than 34% at his level
9.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
56
above average · better than 73% at his level
22 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
62
plus · better than 89% at his level · the result, not a skill
.962 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 89th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 90% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 89, a gap of -28. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 10th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 8.4 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.962 OPS in 241 PA (not ranked against his level)
- form is climbing
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
241
AVG
.318
OBP
.398
SLG
.564
OPS
.962
better than 89%
HR
13
SB
9
BB%
9.1
K%
22.8
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .600 to .962 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.600▲.962
Power
.080▲.246
Walks
6.4%▲9.1%
Strikeouts
20.7%▲22.8%
Last season, 357 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $299.99 · /150 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market32 listed · 32 eBay-verified · 26 not shown above
- Listings
- 32
- Lowest seen
- $63.32
- Median ask
- $205.88
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $79.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $167.50
32 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 26 cards
- $185.492024 Bowman Draft Chrome - Seaver King 1st Auto Aqua Lava Refractor /199PASS
- —Seaver King 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-SK Gold Wave 1st Auto Refractor /50 (AU, RC)PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Seaver King 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto /250 CPA-SKPASS
- —SEAVER KING 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-SK PURPLE REFRACTOR /250 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
- $79.992024 BOWMAN CHROME SEAVER KING 1ST AUTO AUTOGRAPH RC ROOKIE PSA 9 NATIONALSNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $151.502024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Seaver King #CPA-SK Nationals PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $205.88Seaver King Auto 2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Autograph PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $264.692024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seaver King #CPA-SK PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 14nsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $332.002024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Seaver King #CPASK Gold Wave /50 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $354.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Seaver King #CPASK Gold Wave /50 SGC 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $355.002024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Seaver King Purple Refractor /250 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $1547.702024 Bowman Draft Seaver King Chrome Pros Auto-Black X-Fractor 5/10 PSA 9 HS67NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Seaver King Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto #/50 Gold Wave PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —PSA 9 Seaver King 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-SK Gold Wave 1st Auto Refractor /50NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Aqua Lava Seaver King /199 SGC 9.5 Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Signed Seaver King 1st True Blue Refractor /150 Auto PSA 9/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Seaver King 1st Auto /99 True Green PSA-10 🔥🔥🔥 Nationals NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Seaver King 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Gold Wave Auto /50 PSA 10 SSP! Rare! NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $63.322025 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Prospect Mojo Blue Refractor Seaver King Auto 10noPASS
- $73.382024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Seaver King #CPA-SK Auto 01mgPASS
- $82.98Seaver King 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-SK (RC) 2024 NationalsPASS
- $275.00SEAVER KING - 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Prospect CPA-SK Chrome Auto Refractor /499PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Seaver King 1st Refractor Auto /499 CPA-SKPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Seaver King 1st Bowman Auto CPA-SK NationalsPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Seaver King Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-SK Washington NationalsPASS
- —Seaver King 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 WAS NationalsPASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run