Deal Sniper

Charlie Condon

CF · Triple-A · 23.0y · #28 of 7,922 we rate

The player
STRONG PROSPECT

86 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

55 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Charlie Condon 2025 Bowman Prospect Chrome…. Evidence still thin.

Our take

Strong prospect, untested market.

Charlie Condon scores 86 out of 100 (#28 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $75–125 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    25.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power: plus

    .241 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 85% at his level.

  • The case is strengthening

    Baseball momentum 81/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Moved up and held it

    Double-A to Triple-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

  • Listed at your price — $96.99

    target is $108.00

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CC — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$75–125midpoint $100.00

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-24 · 2 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CC

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is CHARLIE CONDON signed auto 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Steel Refractor 100 PSA Auto 9 at $365, 227% over the $112 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $112 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Evidence still thin
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

55 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 55 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 49 are under "The whole live market".

  • Charlie Condon 2025 Bowman Prospect Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-CC HTAChoice /150 PSA 9

    /150 · PSA 9 · listed 13d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    sold $595

    WATCH · 50% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Charlie Condon Chrome Auto Mega Box Purple /199 1st Prospect Rockies

    /199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $96.99

    modeled $60.75–236

    WATCH

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Charlie Condon Green Chrome Achromatic Auto 90/99 🔥 Rockies

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    —

    modeled $81–315

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon /50 Gold Refractor Auto #CPA-CC

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $205.98

    modeled $108–420

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Charlie Condon 2026 Bowman Chrome Refractor /499 AUTO On Card Rockies Prospect

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    —

    sold $188

    PASS · 76% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon #CPA-CC Purple Refractor Auto 22/250

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $116.99

    modeled $58.50–228

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Charlie Condon, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $48.49–$101.84, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in psa 10 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing PSA 10 autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $374.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $374.99 live
    Scarcity
    175 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $354.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $354.98 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -5%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Superfractor 1/1THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $165025.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $165025.00 live
    Scarcity
    1 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +46389%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

51 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 53 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    46

    below average · better than 35% at his level

    25.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    60

    plus · better than 85% at his level

    .241 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    56

    above average · better than 71% at his level

    13.1% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level

    8 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .895 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 59th percentile of the cohort, production at the 80th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 82% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 59 and his production sits at 80, a gap of -21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 18th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 8.1 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.895 OPS in 495 PA (not ranked against his level)
  • form is climbing

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

495

AVG

.268

OBP

.386

SLG

.509

OPS

.895

better than 80%

HR

22

SB

7

BB%

13.1

K%

25.3

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .807 to .895 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.807▲.895

Power

.230→.241

Walks

10.5%▲13.1%

Strikeouts

28.3%▼25.3%

Last season, 237 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $475.00 · /299 · graded PSA 10 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market55 listed · 55 eBay-verified · 49 not shown above
Listings
55

55 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$96.99
Median ask
$349.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$96.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$96.99

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 49 cards

  • —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Charlie Condon 1st True Blue Auto /150 PSA 9 RockiesPASS
  • —Charlie Condon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Blue Xfractor 145/150 Rockies PSA 9PASS
  • —Charlie Condon 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-CC HTA Choice /150 psa 9 PASS
  • —Charlie Condon 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Blue Xfractor Auto /150 Rockies PSA 9PASS
  • —Bowman 2026 Charlie Condon Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-CC PSA 9 162507762PASS
  • —2025 1st Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon Auto True Yellow/75 CPA-CC (RC) Rockies 💥PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Sapphire Charlie Condon Blue Sapphire 1st Auto /199 PSA 9PASS
  • $305.502025 Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon Rookie RC 1st Green Shimmer/99 AutoPASS
  • $411.002025 Bowman Sapphire Charlie Condon 1st Green Sapphire Auto /99 Rockies #CPS-CCPASS
  • —Charlie Condon 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CC Green Refractor 1st RC Auto /99PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Charlie Condon Chrome Auto Green Grass Refractor 1st #/99 RockiesPASS
  • —CHARLIE CONDON 2025 BOWMAN SAPPHIRE #CPS-CC /199 1ST PROSPECT AUTO PSA 9 RockiesPASS
  • $349.99Charlie Condon Signed 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA Aqua X-Fractor /125 RookiePASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon HTA 1st Auto /150 #CPA-CCPASS
  • —2025 Bowman #CPA-CC Charlie Condon Chrome 1st Auto HTA Choice Refractor #/150PASS
  • —Charlie Condon 2025 Bowman Prospect Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-CC HTA Choice /150PASS
  • —2025 Bowman - CHARLIE CONDON 1st Chrome Blue X-Fractor Auto /150 CPA-CC ROCKIESPASS
  • —1st Bowman 2025 Charlie Condon Chrome Prospect Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-CC PSA 9PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon 1st Bowman Auto /499 Refractor PSA 9 #CPA-CCPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Charlie Condon 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-CC PSA 9 🟣⚫️PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9PASS
  • $349.99Charlie Condon Signed 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA Purple Mojo Refractor /250PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Charlie Condon Chrome Auto 1st Refractor Purple #/250 RockiesPASS
  • $207.50Charlie Condon 1st auto 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect auto speckle /299 RockiesPASS
  • $281.70Charlie Condon 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor 1st /299 RockiesPASS
  • —Charlie Condon 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor 1st /299 RockiesPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Charlie Condon Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250 RockiesPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Charlie Condon 1st Bowman PSA 9PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Charlie Condon /50 Auto PSA 9 True Gold 1st Colorado Rockies CPA-CCPASS
  • $364.99CHARLIE CONDON signed auto 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Steel Refractor 100 PSA Auto 9PASS
  • —Charlie Condon 2025 Bowman 1st Speckled On Card PSA Certified Auto BCP-75PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon 1st Auto #CPA-CCPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Charlie Condon Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-CC RockiesPASS
  • $219.75CHARLIE CONDON 2026 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT GREEN LAVA REFRACTOR AUTO AUTO 90/99PASS
  • $355.882025 Bowman Charlie Condon Blue Paper Auto /150 1st Rockies BPA-CCPASS
  • $50005.00Charlie Condon 2026 Bowman Chrome Green Grass Refractor Prospect Auto 48/99PASS
  • —Charlie Condon 1st Bowman Auto /99 Green Grass Refractor 2025 Bowman #CPA-CC PASS
  • $304.49Charlie Condon 2025 Bowman Chrome Blue Mojo Mega Refractor Auto #/150 COLORADOPASS
  • —🔥 🔥 2025 Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon Adios Superfractor Auto 1/1!!!! 🔥 🔥PASS
  • $354.942025 Bowman Charlie Condon 1st Bowman Blue Auto /150 BPA-CC RockiesPASS
  • —CHARLIE CONDON | 2025 BOWMAN | 1st Refractor Auto /499 | Mint 9 RockiesPASS
  • —Charlie Condon 2025 Bowman Prospects 1st Auto Speckle /299PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Charlie Condon 1st Bowman Prospect Refractor Auto /499 ROCKIES 🔥🔥PASS
  • —jj wetherholt 1st bowman auto & Charlie Condon 1st bowman AutoPASS
  • $354.982025 1st Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon Signed RC Blue Refractor /150 PSA 10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $374.99Charlie Condon Signed 2025 1st Bowman Chrome PSA 10 Auto Navy Refractor /175NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $165025.002025 Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon 1/1 SUPERFRACTOR AUTO Melt Mashers PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Charlie Condon 1st Auto Auto 10 SGC 10 #CPACCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman - Chrome Prospect Auto Charlie Condon PSA 10 GEM MINT #CPA-CC 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now