Emmanuel Rodriguez
CF · Triple-A · 23.0y · #30 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
85 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
11 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Emmanuel Rodriguez Auto 2021 Bowman Chrome… at $506. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Strong prospect, untested market.
Emmanuel Rodriguez scores 85 out of 100 (#30 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
Contact: below average
28.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Plate discipline: plus-plus
20.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 95% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 67/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Power: plus
.265 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 89% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
What is for sale right now
11 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 11 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 5 are under "The whole live market".
2021 Bowman Chrome Emmanuel Rodriguez Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 Twins
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Waiting on sales
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$95.00
modeled ~$142.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Emmanuel Rodriguez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Auto Refractor /250 PSA 9 /10
/250 · PSA 9 · auction · listed 9d
Waiting on sales
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$135.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Chrome - Emmanuel Rodriguez 1st /75 - Auto- Yellow Refractor- PSA 9
/75 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 252d
Waiting on sales
$349.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Emmanuel Rodriguez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Ref SN #/99 #CPA-ERO
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 366d
Waiting on sales
$369.98
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Emmanuel Rodriguez Auto 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st /150 True Blue Refractor PSA 10
/150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$505.98
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Emmanuel Rodriguez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Chrome Auto PSA 9 Twins
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 7d
Waiting on sales
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$175.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Emmanuel Rodriguez, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
- Luke AdamsHTA Choice Refractor · /150$74.96Watch
- Rainiel Rodriguezbase$69.99Watch44% under fair value
Compared within $47.50–$99.75, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in 10, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing 10.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $505.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $505.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 56 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 56 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
42
below average · better than 22% at his level
28.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
62
plus · better than 89% at his level
.265 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level
20.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level
20 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
60
plus · better than 84% at his level · the result, not a skill
.909 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 68th percentile of the cohort, production at the 84th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 68 and his production sits at 84, a gap of -16. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 24th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 8.1 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.909 OPS in 153 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
153
AVG
.239
OBP
.405
SLG
.504
OPS
.909
better than 84%
HR
9
SB
5
BB%
20.3
K%
28.8
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .852 up to .909 OPS.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.852▲.909
Power
.165▲.265
Walks
21.2%→20.3%
Strikeouts
31.6%▼28.8%
Last season, 212 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-25 — $130.00 plus $7.50 shipping · graded 10 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market11 listed · 11 eBay-verified · 5 not shown above
- Listings
- 11
- Lowest seen
- $95.00
- Median ask
- $349.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $95.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $95.00
11 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 5 cards
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Emmanuel Rodriguez Auto 1st PSA 10 #CPA-ERO Minnesota TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2021 Bowman Chrome Emmanuel Rodriguez 1st Bowman Auto Twins #CPA-ERONEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Emmanuel Rodriguez 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Purple Auto # /250 SGC 10/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Emmanuel Rodriguez Auto Speckle Refractor 1st #/299 SGC 10/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Emmanuel Rodriguez 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
Worth reading for this player
- Grading break-even calculator — his cards have sold graded, so the raw-versus-graded gap is a real decision here
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Raw vs graded Bowman cards — his sales include graded copies alongside raw ones