Deal Sniper

Hans Montero

2B · High-A · 22.0y · #2195 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

25 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome Hans Montero 1st Auto… at $74.99. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Hans Montero scores 48 out of 100 (#2195 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 35 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    31.4% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .788 last season to .757 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .162 last season to .107 this one.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    20.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 92% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    35 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HM — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 11 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 11 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HM

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 11 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $12.99 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

25 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 24 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 18 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Hans Montero Gem Mint PSA 10 Yankees

    base · PSA 10 · listed 137d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $35.00

    modeled ~$80.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Hans Montero 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto PSA 10 Yankees

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 79d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $40.99

    modeled ~$80.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Hans Montero 1st Auto Blue RayWave /150 PSA 10 Yankees

    /150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 5d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $74.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st GREEN REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Hans Montero 65/99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 882d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $262.50

    modeled ~$19.85

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Hans Montero 1ST Bowman 2023 Bowman Chrome True Red Auto SN/5 #BCP-173 Yankees

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 17d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Hans Montero 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Green Refractor Auto #'d/99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1078d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    modeled ~$19.85

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $12.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $63.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $63.32 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +388%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $262.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $262.50 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +315%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    43

    below average · better than 24% at his level

    31.4% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    47

    average · better than 37% at his level

    .107 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    64

    plus · better than 92% at his level

    20.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    62

    plus · better than 89% at his level

    51 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    53

    above average · better than 63% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .757 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 63th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 63, a gap of -2. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 46th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.4 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

35

AVG

.250

OBP

.400

SLG

.357

OPS

.757

better than 63%

HR

1

SB

3

BB%

20.0

K%

31.4

Is this player getting better?

Down from .788 to .757 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.788▼.757

Power

.162▼.107

Walks

10.8%▲20.0%

Strikeouts

33.5%▼31.4%

Last season, 334 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 18 not shown above
Listings
25

25 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$12.99
Median ask
$25.39
Cheapest 1st auto
$12.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$25.98

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 18 cards

  • $40.752023 Bowman Chrome Hans Montero 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-HM SGC 9.5/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $25.98HANS MONTERO 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR AUTO /499 MINT PSA 9 YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —HANS MONTERO 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO /299 AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $20.992023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Hans Montero Mint PSA 9 Yankees ProspectLOTTERY
  • $40.942023 Bowman Chrome Prospects Hans Montero Purple Refractor Auto /250 SP SGC 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.99HANS MONTERO 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASEBALL AUTOGRAPH AUTOLOTTERY
  • $13.98HANS MONTERO 2023 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT #CPA-HM YANKEES🔥LOTTERY
  • $13.99HANS MONTERO 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-HMLOTTERY
  • $15.312023 Bowman Chrome Hans Montero Prospect 1st Auto Autograph #CPA-HM YankeesLOTTERY
  • $16.00HANS MONTERO 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-HMLOTTERY
  • $18.242023 Bowman Chrome Hans Montero 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-HM YankeesLOTTERY
  • —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Hans Montero RC Auto Yankees CPA-HMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-HM Hans Montero 1st Bowman On Card Auto New York YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Hans Montero 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-HM YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Hans Montero 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO On-Card Autograph Prospect NY YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $24.792023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Hans Montero #CPA-HM SGC 10 GEM Auto 13cyLOTTERY
  • —HANS MONTERO 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASEBALL AUTOGRAPH AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $63.322023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Hans Montero #CPA-HM Auto 4k8NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now