Deal Sniper

Colin Houck

SS · High-A · 21.0y · #2176 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

31 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Colin Houck 1st…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Colin Houck scores 48 out of 100 (#2176 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 36 on the 20–80 scale (39.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    39.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .812 last season to .601 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .209 last season to .121 this one.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 36 on the 20–80 scale (39.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Draft Colin Houck Chrome Auto 1st Bowman PSA 10 Gem Mint Mets at $30.90, 67% over the $18.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $18.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

31 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 30 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 24 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Colin Houck 1st Auto Mega Refractor /150 PSA 9 POP 7

    /150 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 898d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $250.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Topps Chrome Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Colin Houck Auto Mojo Refractor /150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 928d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $250.00

    modeled ~$6.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Colin Houck 1st Auto HTA Choice Refractor /150 PSA 9

    /150 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 25d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Sapphire Colin Houck Prospect Green /99 Auto 1st

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 873d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    modeled ~$45.44

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Colin Houck Chrome HTA Auto 1st Bowman PSA 9 Mint Mets

    base · PSA 9 · listed 32d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $28.90

    modeled ~$30.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Colin Houck Chrome Blue Wave Auto 1st Bowman PSA 9 Mint Mets

    Blue Wave · PSA 9 · listed 134d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $29.90

    modeled ~$30.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $5.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $45.72, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $45.72 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +665%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $26.51, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $26.51 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -42%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $82.87, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $82.87 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +213%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $250.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $250.00 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +202%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

13 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 44 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 44 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    39.9% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level

    .121 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    44

    below average · better than 28% at his level

    8.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    48

    average · better than 43% at his level

    11 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .601 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 31th percentile of the cohort, production at the 25th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 31 and his production sits at 25, a gap of +6. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 56th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.4 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

366

AVG

.204

OBP

.276

SLG

.325

OPS

.601

better than 25%

HR

7

SB

7

BB%

8.5

K%

39.9

Is this player getting better?

Down from .812 to .601 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.812▼.601

Power

.209▼.121

Walks

12.3%▼8.5%

Strikeouts

28.7%▲39.9%

Last season, 268 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market31 listed · 31 eBay-verified · 24 not shown above
Listings
31

31 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$5.98
Median ask
$30.70
Cheapest 1st auto
$11.22
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$250.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 24 cards

  • $31.982023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Colin Houck PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $35.982023 Bowman Chrome Draft Colin Houck Auto 2 Cards 1st & Class of 2023 /99 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Colin Houck CDA-CH PSA 9 AENEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $20.992024 Bowman Chrome Colin Houck MEGA BOX BLUE REFRACTOR /150 Autograph Auto PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto CDA-CH NY Mets - PSA NM-MT 8 - COLIN HOUCKNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.221st 2023 Bowman Chrome AUTO CDA-CH COLIN HOUCK Rookie Card MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Colin Houck SIGNED 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st RC #BDC-175 AUTO New York MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $30.502023 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect Autographs Colin Houck Auto SGC 10 - MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $82.872023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor 20/150 Colin Houck Auto 0a98NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —COLIN HOUCK 2023 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST SPARKLE AUTO /71 PSA 10PASS
  • $26.512023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Colin Houck #CDA-CH Auto 0j0oNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $40.302023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Colin Houck #CDA-CH Auto yj0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $40.322023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Colin Houck #CDA-CH Auto 1d59NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $5.98Colin Houck SIGNED 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome autograph RC #BDC-175 AUTO Mets L=NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.312023 Bowman Chrome Draft Colin Houck Auto Autograph Mets #CDA-CHNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $18.472023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Colin Houck #CDA-CH Auto 0a98NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $21.342023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Colin Houck #CDA-CH Auto 1d59NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.972023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Colin Houck #CDA-CH Auto 1cc7NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $45.722023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Colin Houck Auto 19n6NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $46.062023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Colin Houck #CDA-CH Auto x2oNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $47.222023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Colin Houck #CDA-CH Auto 0w3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $51.232023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Colin Houck #CDA-CH Auto 03wrNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.992023 Bowman Draft Chrome COLIN HOUCK #CDA-CH 1st Chrome Auto RC PSA 10PASS
  • $30.902023 Bowman Draft Colin Houck Chrome Auto 1st Bowman PSA 10 Gem Mint MetsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now