Wilfredo Lara
3B · Beloit Sky Carp · High-A · 22.0y · #2223 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
47 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
67 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Wilfredo Lara 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO… at $34.97. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Wilfredo Lara scores 47 out of 100 (#2223 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: plus
16.1% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 82% at his level.
Premium position
3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: above average
29 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 70% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
3B is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-WL Purple Refractor /250 at $9.90, 329% over the $2.31 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/250 at or under $2.31 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
67 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 67 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 61 are under "The whole live market".
Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL 1st Prospect Auto A
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.35
modeled ~$9.60
LOTTERY
Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL 1st Prospect Auto J
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.35
modeled ~$9.60
LOTTERY
Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL 1st Prospect Auto E
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.35
modeled ~$9.60
LOTTERY
Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL 1st Prospect Auto D
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.35
modeled ~$9.60
LOTTERY
Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL 1st Prospect Auto G
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.35
modeled ~$9.60
LOTTERY
Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL 1st Prospect Auto F
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.35
modeled ~$9.60
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.35, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.35 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Red Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.94 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +137%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.99 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.62 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +228%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.78 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -20%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.94 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -31%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.24 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +76%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.97 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +82%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
50
average · better than 49% at his level
25.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
51
average · better than 55% at his level
.141 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
59
plus · better than 82% at his level
16.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
55
above average · better than 70% at his level
29 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
53
above average · better than 60% at his level · the result, not a skill
.747 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 64th percentile of the cohort, production at the 60th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 64 and his production sits at 60, a gap of +4. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 53th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.2 / 10
- old for High-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
285
AVG
.238
OBP
.368
SLG
.379
OPS
.747
better than 60%
HR
6
SB
14
BB%
16.1
K%
25.3
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .584 up to .747 OPS.
Still at High-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.584▲.747
Power
.125▲.141
Walks
11.2%▲16.1%
Strikeouts
22.4%▲25.3%
Last season, 268 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market67 listed · 67 eBay-verified · 61 not shown above
- Listings
- 67
- Lowest live
- $3.35
- Median ask
- $6.67
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.35
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.99
67 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 61 cards
- $4.44WILFREDO LARA 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Autograph Auto #CPA-WL QtyLOTTERY
- $4.872024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Bowman Auto METS CPA-WLLOTTERY
- $4.902024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-WL MetsLOTTERY
- $5.24WILFREDO LARA 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Autograph Auto #CPA-WL QtyLOTTERY
- $5.442024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-WLLOTTERY
- $5.502024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL Wilfredo Lara New York Mets 1st AutoLOTTERY
- $5.732024 1st Bowman Chrome ~ Wilfredo Lara ~ Auto ~ #CPA-WL ~ New York MetsLOTTERY
- $5.73Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL 1st Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- $5.89WILFREDO LARA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH METS #CPA-WL AUTO Q0736LOTTERY
- $5.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL Wilfredo Lara 1st Prospect Auto (A)LOTTERY
- $5.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL Wilfredo Lara 1st Prospect Auto (C)LOTTERY
- $5.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL Wilfredo Lara 1st Prospect Auto (B)LOTTERY
- $6.41🔥2024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Bowman ⚾️CHROME ON CARD AUTO!🔥FREE SH!🔥LOTTERY
- $6.602024 Wilfredo Lara Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-WL (H3359)LOTTERY
- $6.742024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Auto MetsLOTTERY
- $6.90WILFREDO LARA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BOWMAN BASE AUTO NEW YORK METS SPRC #CPA-WLLOTTERY
- $6.992024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Bowman Auto - New York MetsLOTTERY
- $7.242024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Bowman Auto CPA-WL Mets AutographLOTTERY
- $7.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL Wilfredo Lara 1st Refractor Auto #/499LOTTERY
- $8.602024 Wilfredo Lara Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-WL (H1227)LOTTERY
- $9.002024 Bowman Chrome 1st Wilfredo Lara Auto New York Mets #CPA-WLLOTTERY
- $9.602024 Wilfredo Lara Bowman Chrome 1st Chrome Auto RC #CPA-WL (H147)LOTTERY
- $9.602024 Wilfredo Lara Bowman Chrome 1st Chrome Auto RC #CPA-WL (H145)LOTTERY
- $9.602024 Wilfredo Lara Bowman Chrome 1st Chrome Auto RC #CPA-WL (H146)LOTTERY
- $10.242024 Bowman 1st Chrome Wilfredo Lara Refractor #CPA-WL Auto /499 New York MetsLOTTERY
- $10.942024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL Wilfredo Lara 1st Chrome HTA Auto #/150LOTTERY
- $13.492024 Wilfredo Lara 1st Bowman Chrome Auto New York Mets Prospect Rookie LOTTERY
- $14.952024 BOWMAN CHROME WILFREDO LARA 1ST BOWMAN AUTO # CPA-WLLOTTERY
- $14.992024 Bowman Chrome 1st Wilfredo Lara Auto NY Mets #CPA-WL AutographLOTTERY
- $15.78WILFREDO LARA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST MOJO REFRACTOR AUTO /150 - METSLOTTERY
- $19.24WILFREDO LARA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST Auto Choice REFRACTOR /150 CPA-WL MetsLOTTERY
- $19.622024 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor 22/150 Wilfredo Lara Auto 0w8pLOTTERY
- $31.902024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara Speckle Refractor Auto /299 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $34.97Wilfredo Lara 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect ORANGE Shi REFRACTOR 23/25 z1NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Bowman Auto Speckle /299 Mets CPA-WLNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara #CPA-WL Auto (RC, AU) New York MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 BOWMAN CHROME WILFREDO LARA 1ST AUTO CPA-WL RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-WL ANEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara Auto 1st #CPA-WL [Mets]NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WL Wilfredo Lara 1st Bowman Prospects AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-WL MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara Auto #CPA-WL 1st Prospect New York MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Auto (RC) CPA-WL MiamiNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —WILFREDO LARA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO METS #CPA-WL 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Wilfredo Lara 1st Auto (RC) CPA-WL MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Auto (RC) # CPA-WL NY MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Wilfredo LaraNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Chrome AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —WILFREDO LARA 2024 TOPPS BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO NEW YORK METS MLB BASEBALL Q3647NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Bowman Auto NY MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 BOWMAN CHROME WILFREDO LARA 1ST BOWMAN Auto Choice REFRACTOR /150 CPA-WLNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara 1st Bowman Auto PSA 9 Mint Mets #CPA-WLNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Wilfredo Lara 2024 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect BLUE REFRACTOR 140/150 RC z38NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Wilfredo Lara #CPA-WLNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-WL NY Mets (1)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-WL NY Mets (2)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Orange Shimmer Auto 1/25 SSP Mets 🔥⚾️NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5.992024 Bowman Chrome Wilfredo Lara Purple Refractor 1st Auto #180/250 MetsLOTTERY
- $9.90Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-WL Purple Refractor /250LOTTERY
- —Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-WL Purple Refractor /250PASS
- —Wilfredo Lara 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-WL Purple Refractor 194/250PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run