Jonny Farmelo
CF · Double-A · 21.0y · #748 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
61 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
25 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2023 Jonny Farmelo Bowman Draft 1st Chrome… at $306. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Jonny Farmelo scores 61 out of 100 (#748 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Contact: below average
30.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.778 last season to .640 this one.
Power slipping
.230 last season to .124 this one.
Plate discipline: plus
14.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 85% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Prospect Mojo Blue Refractor Jonny Farmelo Auto 0in6 at $109, 1888% over the $5.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $5.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
25 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 25 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 19 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Draft Jonny Farmelo Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st #126/250 PSA 10
/250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 175d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$305.99
modeled $137
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft S/E Jonny Farmelo 1st Green Sapphire Auto /99 PSA 10 RC
/99 · PSA 10 · listed 56d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$380.99
modeled $189
PASS
2023 Bowman 1st Jonny Farmelo Orange Sapphire Auto /25 PSA 10!
/25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 52h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $315
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Sapphire Jonny Farmelo Chrome Auto 1st #/199 PSA 10
/199 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 179d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
sold $164
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft - 1st Bowman Auto Jonny Farmelo Green Lava /99 PSA 10
/99 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 221d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $189
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-JF Jonny Farmelo 1st Refractor /499 Auto PSA 10
/499 · PSA 10 · listed 463d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$306.48
modeled $121
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Jonny Farmelo, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $18.00–$37.79, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $35.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $35.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $109.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $109.32 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +204%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $255.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $255.00 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $285.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $285.98 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +12%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $170.09, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $170.09 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -41%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $288.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $288.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +70%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $359.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $359.99 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
12 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 52 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level
30.6% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
47
average · better than 37% at his level
.124 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
60
plus · better than 85% at his level
14.9% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
58
plus · better than 79% at his level
36 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level · the result, not a skill
.640 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 57th percentile of the cohort, production at the 30th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 90% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 57 and his production sits at 30, a gap of +27. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 90th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.0 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
134
AVG
.195
OBP
.321
SLG
.319
OPS
.640
better than 30%
HR
2
SB
8
BB%
14.9
K%
30.6
Is this player getting better?
Down from .778 to .640 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.778▼.640
Power
.230▼.124
Walks
10.9%▲14.9%
Strikeouts
29.5%▲30.6%
Last season, 129 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $66.99 plus $6.75 shipping · /499 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 19 not shown above
- Listings
- 25
- Lowest seen
- $35.99
- Median ask
- $255.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $255.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $255.00
25 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 19 cards
- —2023 Bowman Draft Jonny Farmelo 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 PSA 10 MarinersPASS
- —Jonny Farmelo PSA 10 1st Bowman Chrome Auto 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-JF SeattlePASS
- $288.982023 Bowman Draft 1st JONNY FARMELO Chrome True Green Refractor Auto /99PASS
- $255.00Jonny Farmelo 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Aqua Lava Auto /199 Seattle MarinersPASS
- $305.502023 Jonny Farmelo Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Sparkle Refractor Auto /71 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Draft Jonny Farmelo Green Refractor 1st Auto /99 CGC 10/10 CDA-JFNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $236.922023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jonny Farmelo #CDA-JF PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 12xmPASS
- —JONNY FARMELO 2023 BOWMAN DRAFT #CDA-JF REFRACTOR /499 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEMPASS
- —🔥 Jonny Farmelo 2023 Bowman Draft 1st CHROME AUTO Mariners Prospect RC 🔥PASS
- $170.092023 Bowman Chrome Draft Sapphire Prospect /199 Jonny Farmelo #CDA-JF Auto 0zg7PASS
- $35.99Jonny Farmelo Auto 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-JF Chrome Prospect AutographsPASS
- $51.232023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jonny Farmelo #CDA-JF Auto 0p10PASS
- $55.842023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jonny Farmelo #CDA-JF Auto 1t50PASS
- $80.272023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jonny Farmelo #CDA-JF Auto yj0PASS
- $109.322024 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Prospect Mojo Blue Refractor Jonny Farmelo Auto 0in6PASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Jonny Farmelo Auto #CDA-JF Mariners 🔥 Prospect PASS
- $359.99Jonny Farmelo 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Gold Wave Refractor Mariners Auto /50PASS
- $285.982023 1st Bowman Draft /250 Auto Purple Refractor Jonny Farmelo MarinersPASS
- —2023 1st Bowman Draft /250 Auto Purple Refractor Jonny Farmelo MarinersPASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run