Joshua Mears
RF · San Antonio Missions · Double-A · 25.0y · #6798 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
12 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
53 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Joshua Mears scores 12 out of 100 (#6798 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — Little power for his level (9th percentile); 25.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 10 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Contact: bottom of the scale
60.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Bat-first profile
RF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
What the hobby pays up for
Little power for his level (9th percentile); 25.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
10 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 27 on the 20–80 scale (60.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Corner-only profile
RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JM — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JM
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor /150 Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto 4al at $40.31, 2203% over the $1.75 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/150 at or under $1.75 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
53 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 53 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 47 are under "The whole live market".
JOSHUA MEARS 2019 Bowman Chrome Draft REFRACTOR /499 RC AUTO 1st PSA 10 GEM MINT
/499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 61d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$23.44
no sold price
LOTTERY
2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Joshua Mears 1st Bowman Auto PSA 10 #CDA-JM - Padres
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 454d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled ~$79.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Joshua Mears 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CDA-JM Padres PSA 10
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 420d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled ~$79.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2019 Bowman Chrome Draft Joshua Mears 1st Auto Refractor #455/499 PSA 9 CDAJM
/499 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 861d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$34.98
modeled ~$9.09
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2019 Bowman Chrome Draft Joshua Mears 1st Auto Refractor #222/499 PSA 9 CDAJM
/499 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 494d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled ~$9.09
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2019 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Joshua Mears Padres Auto PSA 9 Mint
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 1219d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$34.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.50 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.70, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.70 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +63%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.82 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +406%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.50 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -53%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $40.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $40.31 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +199%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.56 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -56%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $40.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $40.31 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +130%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
22 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 35 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 35 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
27
bottom of the scale · better than 1% at his level
60.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
37
well below · better than 9% at his level
.000 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
34
bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level
0.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
29
bottom of the scale · better than 2% at his level · the result, not a skill
.000 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 42% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 8th percentile of the cohort, production at the 2th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 8 and his production sits at 2, a gap of +6. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 57th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.3 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
10
AVG
.000
OBP
.000
SLG
.000
OPS
.000
better than 2%
HR
0
SB
0
BB%
0.0
K%
60.0
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market53 listed · 53 eBay-verified · 47 not shown above
- Listings
- 53
- Lowest live
- $3.50
- Median ask
- $11.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.94
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.70
53 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 47 cards
- —JOSHUA MEARS 2019 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT AUTO PSA 9 Padres 1st CdajmNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $21.982019 Bowman Draft Joshua Mears Chrome Auto Green Refractor /99 #CDAJM PSA 9 MintLOTTERY
- $23.252019 Bowman Draft Chrome Refractor Auto RC Joshua Mears /499 Card #CDA-JM PSA 10LOTTERY
- $25.88🔥2019 Bowman Draft Joshua Mears Chrome Draft Picks Auto #CDAJM PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $79.992019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 0k20NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2019 Bowman Draft - Chrome Draft Pick Auto Joshua Mears #CDA-JM (AU, RC) PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Joshua Mears Refractor Auto BGS 9.5 10 /499 PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Joshua Mears Speckle Refractor Auto BGS 9.5 10 /71 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2019 Bowman Chrome Joshua Mears Sparkle Refractor Auto #/71 PSA 9 MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $30.002019 Bowman Chrome Draft Joshua Mears Autograph RC BGS 9.5 w/ 10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2019 Bowman Chrome Draft Joshua Mears Autograph RC BGS 9.5 w10 AUTO *Pop 64*NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $14.492019 Bowman Chrome Draft Joshua Mears Auto PSA 9 MintLOTTERY
- $19.99PSA 9 JOSHUA MEARS AUTO 2019 Bowman Chrome Draft Autograph Rookie Card RC MINTLOTTERY
- $20.982019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Autographs Joshua Mears Auto PSA 9 San DiegoLOTTERY
- $24.792019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM PSA 9 MINT Auto 10m3LOTTERY
- $24.792019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM PSA 9 MINT Auto 1q7LOTTERY
- $13.503x Joshua Mears 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Draft RC Auto Blue /150 /499 PadresLOTTERY
- $5.702019 Joshua Mears 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Picks Refractor /499 Auto #CDA-JMLOTTERY
- $11.98JOSHUA MEARS 2019 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST REFRACTOR AUTO #ed /499 PADRESLOTTERY
- —2019 Bowman Chrome Joshua Mears 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 #CDA-JMPASS
- $28.822019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor 248/250 Joshua Mears Auto 03ouPASS
- $7.812019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 426/499 Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto 8d4LOTTERY
- $7.822019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 161/499 Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto 2d9LOTTERY
- $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 376/499 Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto tg7LOTTERY
- $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 195/499 Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto 0j5iLOTTERY
- $40.312019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Gold Wave Refractor 42/50 Joshua Mears Auto 02d2PASS
- $17.562019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor 51/150 Joshua Mears Auto nd3LOTTERY
- $40.312019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor /150 Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto 4alPASS
- $3.502019 Bowman Draft Joshua Mears Chrome Draft Pick Auto - San Diego PadresPASS
- $4.942019 Bowman Chrome Joshua Mears 1st Bowman Auto #CDA-JMPASS
- $4.95Joshua Mears 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Autographs Padres 1st AutoPASS
- $5.092019 Bowman Chrome Joshua Mears 1st Bowman Base Auto San Diego Padres RookiePASS
- $5.742019 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect Base Auto Joshua Mears San Diego PadresPASS
- $5.742019 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect Base Auto Joshua Mears San Diego PadresPASS
- $6.962019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto 04lrPASS
- $7.242019 Bowman Chrome Draft Auto JOSHUA MEARS 1st Bowman San Diego PADRES #CDA-JMPASS
- $7.312019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto 1g75PASS
- $7.312019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto 0f6PASS
- $7.312019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto 0f6PASS
- $7.532019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto 0mm9PASS
- $7.542019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto xb2PASS
- $7.832019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto sc2PASS
- $8.122019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Joshua Mears #CDA-JM Auto lh0PASS
- $13.99JOSHUA MEARS 2019 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-JMPASS
- $20.002019 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Joshua Mears!🔥 Padres Base AutoPASS
- —Joshua Mears 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Auto Autograph #CDA-JM PadresPASS
- —Joshua Mears Auto 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome RC Rookie Auto 1stPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run