Carson Tucker
SS · San Antonio Missions · Double-A · 24.0y · #4430 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
34 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
21 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2021 Bowman Chrome Carson Tucker Auto Mega…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Carson Tucker scores 34 out of 100 (#4430 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: above average — 29 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 68% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Power: below average
.093 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: above average
29 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 68% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
SS is a position the hobby pays up for; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2020 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-CT — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2020 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-CT
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
21 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 21 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 15 are under "The whole live market".
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Blue Sapphire Refractor Carson Tucker Auto Cleveland
Sapphire Refractor · raw · condition not stated · listed 38d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$4.49
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome CARSON TUCKER 1st RC On Card AUTO Guardians
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 510d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.24
modeled ~$8.50
PASS
CARSON TUCKER 2020 Topps 1st Bowman Chrome Draft AUTO CDA-CT Cleveland Indians
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 229d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.29
modeled ~$8.50
PASS
Carson Tucker 2021 Bowman Chrome Green Mega Box Auto Autograph #11/99 Psa 9
/99 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 162d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$25.00
no sold price
PASS
2020 Bowman Chrome Blue Refractor Autograph Carson Tucker RC Auto 013/150 SGC 9
/150 · SGC 9 · takes offers · listed 809d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$27.98
no sold price
PASS
2021 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Mojo Green Refractor 41/99 Carson Tucker Auto 1h6a
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$28.82
no sold price
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.24 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Sapphire RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.49 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Mojo Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.82 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +542%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.57 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +20%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 48 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
47
average · better than 38% at his level
27.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
43
below average · better than 24% at his level
.093 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
46
below average · better than 36% at his level
8.7% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
55
above average · better than 68% at his level
29 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
49
average · better than 45% at his level · the result, not a skill
.692 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
53
above average · better than 60% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 42th percentile of the cohort, production at the 45th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 42 and his production sits at 45, a gap of -3. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 43th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.6 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
310
AVG
.270
OBP
.329
SLG
.363
OPS
.692
better than 45%
HR
2
SB
15
BB%
8.7
K%
27.7
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market21 listed · 21 eBay-verified · 15 not shown above
- Listings
- 21
- Lowest live
- $4.49
- Median ask
- $28.82
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $11.24
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $40.98
21 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 15 cards
- $28.822021 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Mojo Green Refractor 39/99 Carson Tucker Auto 0a8tPASS
- $33.132020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Carson Tucker #CDA-CT Auto g5ePASS
- $34.572020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Sparkle Refractor 40/71 Carson Tucker Auto 4k8PASS
- $40.982020 Bowman Draft Chrome Carson Tucker 1st Bowman Purple Auto /250 PSA 9 #CDA-CTPASS
- $125.542020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Sparkle Refractor 16/71 Carson Tucker Auto 4k8PASS
- —2020 Bowman Draft Carson Tucker Chrome Auto Red Wave Refractor #/5 Indians PSA 9PASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Carson Tucker Auto Mega Box Mojo Refractor 1st ProspectPASS
- —2020 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME CARSON TUCKER CDA-CT 1ST PROSPECT AUTO GUARDIANSPASS
- —2020 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Carson Tucker AutoPASS
- —CARSON TUCKER AUTO 1st 2020 Bowman Chrome Draft Autograph BLUE REFRACTOR /150 RCPASS
- —🔥 CARSON TUCKER 2020 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT BLUE WAVE REFRACTOR 1ST AUTO /150 🔥PASS
- —2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Carson Tucker PSA 9 Purple Refractor Auto /250 RookiePASS
- —2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Carson Tucker Blue Refractor #/150 Auto PSA 9PASS
- —2020 Bowman Chrome Carson Tucker Class of 2020 RC Auto /250 PSA 9PASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Carson Tucker Mojo Refractor Auto #BCMA-CTPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run