Deal Sniper

Jake Cunningham

CF · San Antonio Missions · Double-A · 24.0y · #1303 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

57 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

30 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Jake Cunningham 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome… at $36.74. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Jake Cunningham scores 57 out of 100 (#1303 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: above average — .158 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 61% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Power: above average

    .158 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 61% at his level.

  • The case is strengthening

    Baseball momentum 76/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    CF is a position the hobby pays up for; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.

  • OPS improving

    .598 last season to .829 this one.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JCU — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 5 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JCU

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $8.69 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

30 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 29 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 23 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jake Cunningham #CDA-JCU Auto 11nr

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $8.69

    modeled ~$13.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome auto Jake Cunningham Orioles #CDA-JCU

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.07

    modeled ~$13.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Prospects Jake Cunningham 1st Bowman Auto✍️#cda-jcu🔥🧼

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 572d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.70

    modeled ~$13.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Jake Cunningham 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDAJCU Orioles

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.50

    modeled ~$13.50

    LOTTERY

  • JAKE CUNNINGHAM 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-JCU 1st Chrome Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 158d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.88

    modeled ~$13.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Jake Cunningham Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-JCU (J679)

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 88d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.60

    modeled ~$13.50

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.69, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Purple RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $35.14, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +304%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $23.64, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -33%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $36.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +55%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $55.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +50%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 49 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    47

    average · better than 39% at his level

    27.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    53

    above average · better than 61% at his level

    .158 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    48

    average · better than 41% at his level

    9.1% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level

    15 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    59

    plus · better than 81% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .829 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 46th percentile of the cohort, production at the 81th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 95% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 46 and his production sits at 81, a gap of -35. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 5th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.2 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • old for Double-A
  • hitting well — 0.829 OPS in 165 PA (not ranked against his level)
  • form is climbing

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

165

AVG

.301

OBP

.370

SLG

.459

OPS

.829

better than 81%

HR

4

SB

4

BB%

9.1

K%

27.3

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .598 to .829 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.598.829

Power

.097.158

Walks

10.7%9.1%

Strikeouts

33.2%27.3%

Last season, 271 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market30 listed · 30 eBay-verified · 23 not shown above
Listings
30

30 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$8.69
Median ask
$14.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$10.07
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$36.74

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 23 cards

  • $13.99JAKE CUNNINGHAM 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-JCULOTTERY
  • $14.992023 Bowman Draft Jake Cunningham Chrome Auto 1st #CDA-JCU OriolesLOTTERY
  • $19.042023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jake Cunningham #CDA-JCU Auto 1iv0LOTTERY
  • $23.642023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 161/499 Jake Cunningham Auto 10h2LOTTERY
  • $35.142023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Jake Cunningham Auto 0o3xNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $35.702023 Bowman Draft - Jake Cunningham #CDA-JCU 1st Chrome Auto Orioles SGCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $36.292023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Jake Cunningham #CDA-JCU SGC 10 GEM Auto 09anNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $36.74Jake Cunningham 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Aqua Lava Refractor Auto /199NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $55.162023 Jake Cunningham 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Gold Shimmer Auto /50NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Jake Cunningham Chrome Auto Mojo Refractor 1st /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Jake Cunningham 1ST ROOKIE AUTO REFRACTOR /499 ShNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Jake Cunningham 1st Bowman Auto Orioles CDA-JCUNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-JCU Jake Cunningham Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Blue #/150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Jake Cunningham Auto 0w27NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Jake Cunningham Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-JCU (H1164)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Jake Cunningham CDA-JCUNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 BOWMAN DRAFT JAKE CUNNINGHAM 1ST BOWMAN AUTO AQUA LAVA SP#/199 ORIOLESNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome JAKE CUNNINGHAM 1st Prospects Auto Orioles #CDA-JCUNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 🔥 Jake Cunningham 1st Bowman Chrome Auto 2023 Rising Prospect Orioles CDA-JCU NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Topps 2023 Bowman Draft Jake Cunningham 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Rookie CDA-JCUNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Jake Cunningham #CDA-JCU AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • PSA 9 JAKE CUNNINGHAM 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Sparkle 09/71 Auto MINT CardNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Jake Cunningham BLUE WAVE /199 Auto PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player