Kyle Henley
CF · Dayton Dragons · High-A · 21.0y · #275 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
70 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
18 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Kyle Henley Auto 1st RC 2024 Bowman Chrome…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Kyle Henley scores 70 out of 100 (#275 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 25 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
Contact: well below
40.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power: plus
.238 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 89% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: plus
16.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 82% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
25 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 36 on the 20–80 scale (40.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-KHY — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-KHY
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /499 at $12.78 costs 1.28× base, and print run alone suggests 1.15×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
18 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 17 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 11 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome Kyle Henley 1st Bowman Auto Cincinnati Reds
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 158d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.00
modeled ~$8.99
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Kyle Henley 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-KHY
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 94d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.78
modeled ~$12.00
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Kyle Henley 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-KHY
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 90d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.42
modeled ~$12.00
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Kyle Henley Auto Purple Refractor 174/250 1st Prospect Reds
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 39d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$22.00
modeled ~$20.00
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Kyle Henley #CPA-KHY Auto 0c6
/299 · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$29.97
modeled ~$13.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman Chrome Kyle Henley 1st Blue Raywave Auto #d 91/150 PSA 9
/150 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 248d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$30.24
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.78 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +28%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $29.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $29.97 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +135%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $22.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $22.00 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -27%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $103.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $103.57 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +371%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red Reptilian /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $350.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $350.00 live
- Scarcity
- 5 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +238%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
36
well below · better than 8% at his level
40.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
62
plus · better than 89% at his level
.238 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
59
plus · better than 82% at his level
16.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level
24 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · the result, not a skill
.836 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 80th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 80, a gap of -19. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 21th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.0 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
25
AVG
.238
OBP
.360
SLG
.476
OPS
.836
better than 80%
HR
0
SB
1
BB%
16.0
K%
40.0
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .653 to .836 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.653▲.836
Power
.058▲.238
Walks
6.9%▲16.0%
Strikeouts
31.9%▲40.0%
Last season, 423 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market18 listed · 18 eBay-verified · 11 not shown above
- Listings
- 18
- Lowest seen
- $10.00
- Median ask
- $32.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $10.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $12.78
18 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 11 cards
- $59.292024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Kyle Henley #CPA-KHY PSA 9 MINT Auto ff8NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $103.572024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Gold Shimmer Refractor 24/50 Kyle Henley Auto 4k8NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $305.452024 Bowman Chrome 1st Kyle Henley #/25 Orange Shimmer Rookie Auto PSA 10 RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $305.452024 Bowman Chrome 1st Kyle Henley #/25 Orange Shimmer Rookie Auto PSA 10 RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $350.00Kyle Henley 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto 5/5 Red ReptilianNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Kyle Henley Auto 1st RC 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph CPA-KHYNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Kyle Henley Auto 1st RC 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph CPA-KHYNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Kyle Henley 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Kyle Henley #d/499 Refractor Rookie Auto 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st CPA-KHY MLB RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Kyle Henley 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto /499 - Reds CPA-KHYNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $35.722024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Kyle Henley #CPA-KHY Auto 0c6NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run