Deal Sniper

Javier Mogollon

2B · High-A · 20.0y · #291 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

70 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

24 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 1st Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Javier Mogollon scores 70 out of 100 (#291 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $5–8 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    29.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Plate discipline: plus

    20.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 92% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

  • Premium position

    2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: plus

    53 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 91% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JMO — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 13 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$4.50–7.50midpoint $6.00

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 13 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JMO

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 13 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome JAVIER MOGOLLON 1ST Auto WHITE SOX Autograph #CPA-JMO at $18, 200% over the $6 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $6 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

24 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 24 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 18 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Javier Mogollon 1st Auto True Blue Refractor /150 PSA 10

    /150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 1d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $62.99

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman #CPA-JMO Javier Mogollon Chrome Prospect Auto /25 1st Orange Shimmer

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 463d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $8.10–31.50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • JAVIER MOGOLLON 2025 Bowman Chrome 1ST Gold Auto 18/50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 15d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $116.99

    modeled $6.48–25.20

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • JAVIER MOGOLLON 2025 Bowman Chrome 1ST Gold Auto /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $6.48–25.20

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Javier Mogollon Auto Gold Shimmer /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $6.48–25.20

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Javier Mogollon True Blue Refractor Auto /150 #CPA-JMO

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $4.05–15.75

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $9.24 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Gold /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $116.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $116.99 live
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1166%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 57 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    29.8% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    57

    above average · better than 77% at his level

    .188 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    64

    plus · better than 92% at his level

    20.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level

    53 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    59

    plus · better than 81% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .842 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 72th percentile of the cohort, production at the 81th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 72 and his production sits at 81, a gap of -9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 36th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.7 / 10

  • hitting well — 0.842 OPS in 114 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

114

AVG

.247

OBP

.407

SLG

.435

OPS

.842

better than 81%

HR

4

SB

10

BB%

20.2

K%

29.8

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .734 to .842 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.734▲.842

Power

.167▲.188

Walks

13.4%▲20.2%

Strikeouts

25.0%▲29.8%

Last season, 224 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market24 listed · 24 eBay-verified · 18 not shown above
Listings
24

24 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$9.24
Median ask
$13.34
Cheapest 1st auto
$9.24
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$116.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 18 cards

  • —Javier Mogollon 2025 Bowman #CPA-JMO 1st Chrome Auto MOJO X-Fractor /150PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Javier Mogollon 1st Prospect Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-JMOPASS
  • $9.24Javier Mogollon 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JMO White SoxLOTTERY
  • $9.99Javier Mogollon Auto 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st CPA-JMOLOTTERY
  • $12.982025 Bowman Javier Mogollon #CPA-JMO Chrome Auto 1st Prospect White SoxLOTTERY
  • $13.702025 1st Bowman #CPA-JMO Javier Mogollon Chrome Autograph Auto White SoxLOTTERY
  • $15.132025 Bowman- JAVIER MOGOLLON- 1ST Bowman Chrome Auto 💎 #CPA-JMOLOTTERY
  • —Topps Bowman Chrome 2025 Javier Mogollon White Sox 1st Auto #CPA-JMOPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Javier Mogollon Auto #CPA-JMO Chicago White SoxPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Javier Mogollon 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-JMO- White SoxPASS
  • —JAVIER MOGOLLON 2025 1ST BOWMAN CHROME ON CARD AUTO PROSPECT CARDPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Javier Mogollon Auto #CPA-JMO Chicago White SoxPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Javier Mogollon 1st Prospect Chrome Base Auto #CPA-JMO White SoxPASS
  • —JAVIER MOGOLLON 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-JMO CHROME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT WHITE SOXPASS
  • $18.002025 Bowman Chrome JAVIER MOGOLLON 1ST Auto WHITE SOX Autograph #CPA-JMOLOTTERY
  • —2025 1st Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Javier Mogollon #CPAJMO💥 PSA 9💥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Javier Mogollon 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto RC Gold Refractor /50 - PSA 9 MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.782025 1st Bowman Javier Mogollon #CPA-JMO Auto - White SoxLOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now