Deal Sniper

Brandon Pfaadt

SP · Reno Aces · Triple-A · 27.0y · #6212 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

15 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

13 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Brandon Pfaadt scores 15 out of 100 (#6212 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 27.0 is old for a prospect card.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production; 27.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

13 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 13 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 7 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Brandon Pfaadt Sparkle Refractor Auto /71 PSA 10 GEM

    /71 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 12d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Brandon Pfaadt 2020 1st Bowman Chrome Blue Wave Auto Gem Mint PSA 10 #150 RC!

    Blue Wave · PSA 10 · listed 11d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled ~$170.05

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Brandon Pfaadt 2020 1st Bowman Chrome Blue Auto Mint PSA 9. #/150 RC!

    /150 · PSA 9 · listed 13d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2020 1st Bowman Chrome Brandon Pfaadt /71 SP 1st Auto #CDA-BP Sparkle ⛽️

    /71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2020 1st Bowman Chrome Black Brandon Pfaadt Auto /75 Diamondbacks

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$9.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Brandon Pfaadt 1st Bowman Blue Refractor Auto /150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$2.60

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Brandon Pfaadt, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $10.62–$22.30, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $21.24 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $29.96, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $29.96 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +41%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /150THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $50.38, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $50.38 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    —

    not measured for him yet

    —

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    —

    not measured for him yet

    —

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    —

    not measured for him yet

    —

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    —

    not measured for him yet

    —

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    —

    not measured for him yet

    —

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.3 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $32.00 · /150 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market13 listed · 13 eBay-verified · 7 not shown above
Listings
13

13 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$21.24
Median ask
$41.04
Cheapest 1st auto
$21.24
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
—

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 7 cards

  • —2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Brandon Pfaadt Refractor Auto Mint PSA 9. CDA-BPNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $21.242020 Bowman Chrome Draft Brandon Pfaadt Autograph #CDA-BP Auto 1st DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $50.382020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Blue Wave Refractor /150 Brandon Pfaadt Auto 6fsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $115.642020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor /499 Brandon Pfaadt PSA 9 MINT Auto b7iNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.962020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor 329/499 Brandon Pfaadt #CDA-BP Auto uk2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $31.692020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Brandon Pfaadt #CDA-BP Auto 2h5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $265.982020 Bowman Draft Brandon Pfaadt - 1st Auto Refractor SGC 10/10 Rookie DbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now