Ryan Waldschmidt
CF · Reno Aces · Triple-A · 23.0y · #67 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
82 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
52 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is RYAN WALDSCHMIDT 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME… at $55.17. Evidence still thin.
Our take
Strong prospect, untested market.
Ryan Waldschmidt scores 82 out of 100 (#67 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $20–33 off 2 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 3 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
Power: above average
.204 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 74% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 69/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: above average
13.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 72% at his level.
Why now
Listed at your price — $55.17
target is $57.00
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
3 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-RW — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$19.80–33midpoint $22.00
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-23 · 5 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-RW
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ryan Waldschmidt #CPA-RW Auto 1k9t at $192, 773% over the $10–30 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $10 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Evidence still thin
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
52 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 52 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 46 are under "The whole live market".
RYAN WALDSCHMIDT 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME RC ROOKIE 1ST AUTO CPARW PSA 9
base · PSA 9 · listed 2d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
$55.17
modeled $58.26–111
WATCH
2024 BOWMAN DRAFT SAPPHIRE RYAN WALDSCHMIDT PROSPECT 1ST GREEN AUTO 85/99 PSA 9
/99 · PSA 9 · listed 20d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
sold $200
PASS
Ryan Waldschmidt 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Gold /50 Diamondbacks
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $28.51–111
PASS
RYAN WALDSCHMIDT 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Yellow Refractor Autograph Auto #39/75
/75 · raw · condition not stated · listed 17d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$207.49
modeled $23.76–92.40
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Ryan Waldschmidt 1st Bowman Auto Green Sapphire /99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $21.38–83.16
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Ryan Waldschmidt Green Auto Sapphire RC Ref 81/99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 19d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$357.66
modeled $21.38–83.16
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Ryan Waldschmidt, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $12.47–$26.19, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $43.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $43.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $24.94 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -43%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /150THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Wave /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $369.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $369.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $80.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $80.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -78%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $357.66, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $357.66 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +342%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $207.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $207.49 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -42%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 sale and 32 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
50
average · better than 51% at his level
22.6% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level
.204 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
56
above average · better than 72% at his level
13.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
52
average · better than 59% at his level
15 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
59
plus · better than 81% at his level · the result, not a skill
.897 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 64th percentile of the cohort, production at the 81th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 64 and his production sits at 81, a gap of -17. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 23th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 8.0 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.897 OPS in 234 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
234
AVG
.288
OBP
.405
SLG
.492
OPS
.897
better than 81%
HR
6
SB
6
BB%
13.2
K%
22.6
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .862 to .897 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.862▲.897
Power
.179▲.204
Walks
16.9%▼13.2%
Strikeouts
17.6%▲22.6%
Last season, 301 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for3 logged sales
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Point at a dot to see that sale.
The whole live market52 listed · 52 eBay-verified · 46 not shown above
- Listings
- 52
- Lowest seen
- $24.94
- Median ask
- $269.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $55.12
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $207.49
52 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 46 cards
- $369.98Ryan Waldschmidt 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Blue Wave #/150 #CPA-RW-DBacksPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Auto Blue Wave /150 Ryan Waldschmidt - DiamondbacksPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome 1st Auto Ryan Waldschmidt #CPA-RW Refractor /499PASS
- —RYAN WALDSCHMIDT 2024 BOWMAN CHROME REFRACTOR 1ST AUTO RC /499PASS
- $80.982024 Bowman Chrome Ryan Waldschmidt Class of 24 Green Refractor Auto /99 #C24-RWPASS
- —2024 Bowman Ryan Waldschmidt 1st Bowman Auto Sparkle Refractor /71 #CPA-RW RC AUPASS
- $24.942026 Bowman Chrome Ryan Waldschmidt Auto Mojo Refractor #BMA-RW Prospect ON CARDLOTTERY
- —2024 Bowman Draft | Ryan Waldschmidt | 1st Bowman Yellow Auto #71/75 | PSA 9PASS
- $159.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect On Card Auto Ryan Waldschmidt 1st PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $269.002024 Bowman Chrome Draft Sapphire Ryan Waldschmidt #CPARW PSA 10 Autographs AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- $305.992024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Ryan Waldschmidt 1st Auto /199 SGC 10 10 Dual GradeNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $306.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome RYAN WALDSCHMIDT 1st Auto RC Blue Sapphire /199 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $331.002024 Bowman Draft Ryan Waldschmidt 1st Chrome Auto Refractor /499 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $339.002024 Bowman Draft 1st Ryan Waldschmidt Auto PSA 10 Refractor /499 #CPA-RW PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $380.002024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Ryan Waldschmidt 1st Chrome Auto /199 #CPA-RW Psa 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Topps Bowman Draft Chrome Ryan Waldschmidt 1ST BOWMAN AUTO PSA 10 ArizonaNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Ryan WALDSCHMIDT 🔥 1st Bowman Auto PSA 10 💎 2024 Bowman DraftNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome RYAN WALDSCHMIDT 1st Auto Green Sapphire /99 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto - Ryan Waldschmidt PSA 10 GEM MT Chrome AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Topps Bowman Draft Ryan Waldschmidt #CPA-RW Auto 1st PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —RYAN WALDSCHMIDT 2024 Bowman Draft 1st True Blue AUTO /150 PSA 10 DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Ryan Waldschmidt 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Ryan Waldschmidt 2024 Bowman Chrome AUTO /299 SPECKLE REFRACTOR PSA 10 #18NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Ryan Waldschmidt 2024 Bowman Chrome AUTO PSA 10 YELLOW SAPPHIRE /75 REFRACTORNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Ryan Waldschmidt 2024 Bowman Chrome AUTO PSA 10 AQUA /125 REFRACTOR #BDC-18NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Ryan Waldschmidt PSA 10 Auto BDC-18 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire #CPA-RW 1st Chrome Auto /199 Ryan Waldschmidt PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Waldschmidt 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-RW PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —RYAN WALDSCHMIDT 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME 1ST HTA CHOICE AUTO /150 PSA 10 CRACKNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Ryan Waldschmidt Blue Refractor /150 PSA 10 Auto BDC-18 1st NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Waldschmidt 1st Chrome Auto Refractor 412/499 PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft RYAN WALDSCHMIDT 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-RW PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Ryan Waldschmidt PSA 10 Chrome Auto 1st 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-RW DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Ryan Waldschmidt 2024 Bowman Draft - Bowman 1st - HTA Choice Auto /150 - PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $43.99Ryan Waldschmidt Auto 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-RW Chrome Prospect AutographsPASS
- $55.12Ryan Waldschmidt 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st On Card Auto #CPA-RW DiamondbacksPASS
- $192.092024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ryan Waldschmidt #CPA-RW Auto 1k9tPASS
- $299.992024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto Ryan Waldschmidt Blue Wave Refractor /150 PSA 9 PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Ryan Waldschmidt Blue Refractor Auto /150 PSA 9PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Waldschmidt 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-RW DiamondbacksPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Waldschmidt 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-RW DiamondbacksPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Waldschmidt Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-RW DiamondbacksPASS
- —Ryan Waldschmidt - 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st - Auto - CPA-RW - DiamondbacksPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Waldschmidt Aqua Lava Auto /199 PSA 9 POP 1 1st BowmanPASS
- —Ryan Waldschmidt 2024 Bowman Draft 1st AutoPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Ryan Waldschmidt Autograph 1st Prospect Auto DiamondbacksPASS
Worth reading for this player
- Grading break-even calculator — his cards have sold graded, so the raw-versus-graded gap is a real decision here
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same