Deal Sniper

Caleb Bonemer

SS · Double-A · 20.0y · #8 of 7,922 we rate

The player
STRONG PROSPECT

90 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best base card asks $90, over the $69.88 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Caleb Bonemer 2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire… at $5,520. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Strong prospect, expensive market.

Caleb Bonemer scores 90 out of 100 (#8 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $52–87 off 1 confirmed sale.

The player is not the problem here; the entry is. Waiting for a reset costs nothing while the baseball case is intact.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

  • Power: plus-plus

    .293 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 95% at his level.

  • The case is strengthening

    Baseball momentum 69/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    13.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 81% at his level.

Why now

  • 5 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-CBO — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$52.41–87.35midpoint $69.88

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-22 · 3 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-CBO

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Caleb Bonemer 1st Bowman Refractor Auto 67!/499 CPA-CBO at $266, 281% over the $69.88 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $69.88 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.

What is for sale right now

36 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 36 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 30 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Caleb Bonemer Chrome Auto Gold 1st #/50 White Sox

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $75.47–294

    WATCH

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto Caleb Bonemer 1st True Yellow Auto /75 White Sox

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $62.89–245

    WATCH

  • CALEB BONEMER 2024 BOWMAN CHROME AQUA LAVA 1ST AUTO 30/199 #CPA-CB

    /199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $255.98

    modeled $42.45–165

    WATCH

  • Caleb Bonemer AUTO #/199 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Aqua Lava Refractor White Sox

    /199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 76d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    $259.99

    modeled $42.45–165

    WATCH

  • CALEB BONEMER 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Aqua Lava /199 #CPA-CBO White Sox

    /199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 48d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    $305.16

    modeled $42.45–165

    WATCH

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Caleb Bonemer 1st Auto /199 White Sox

    /199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 115d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    $383.00

    modeled $42.45–165

    WATCH

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Caleb Bonemer, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $45.00–$94.50, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $90.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $265.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +196%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $306.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +15%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $255.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -16%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $259.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +2%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $383.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +47%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • True Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $812.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 sale and 13 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 56 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 56 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    51

    average · better than 55% at his level

    24.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level

    .293 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    59

    plus · better than 81% at his level

    13.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    49

    average · better than 45% at his level

    15 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    64

    plus · better than 92% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .936 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill

    +4.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 69th percentile of the cohort, production at the 92th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 84% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 69 and his production sits at 92, a gap of -23. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 16th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 8.0 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • young for Double-A
  • hitting well — 0.936 OPS in 237 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

237

AVG

.263

OBP

.380

SLG

.556

OPS

.936

better than 92%

HR

15

SB

6

BB%

13.9

K%

24.5

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .858 to .936 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.858.936

Power

.177.293

Walks

15.7%13.9%

Strikeouts

21.1%24.5%

Last season, 432 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for2 logged sales

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Showing 2 of 2 sales
$299.992026-08-262026-08-26

Point at a dot to see that sale.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26$255.00 · graded PSA 10 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
  • 2026-08-26$299.99 · /99 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market36 listed · 36 eBay-verified · 30 not shown above
Listings
36

36 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$90.00
Median ask
$306.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$90.00
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$255.98

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 30 cards

  • Caleb Bonemer AUTO 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Sapphire /199WATCH
  • Caleb Bonemer 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Sapphire Auto /199 #CPA-CBO White SoxWATCH
  • CALEB BONEMER 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-CBO 1st Bowman True Purple Auto /250WATCH
  • CALEB BONEMER 2024 Topps Bowman Chrome #CPA-CBO 1st Bowman Purple Auto /250WATCH
  • $306.002024 Bowman Draft 1st CALEB BONEMER Chrome Prospect Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-CBOWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Caleb Bonemer Chrome Auto Refractor 1st /499 Chicago White SoxWATCH
  • $90.002024 Topps Bowman Draft Chrome CALEB BONEMER Prospect AUTO 1ST #CPA-CBOWATCH
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2024 Caleb Bonemer 1st Auto #CPA-CBO White SoxWATCH
  • CALEB BONEMER - 2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-CBO White SoxWATCH
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2024 Caleb Bonemer 1st Auto #CPA-CBO White SoxWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Caleb Bonemer 1st AutoWATCH
  • $265.98Caleb Bonemer 1st Bowman Refractor Auto 67!/499 CPA-CBOPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Caleb Bonemer #CPA-CBO "Bowman 1st Purple Auto"/250 White SoxPASS
  • $812.902024 1st Bowman Draft Caleb Bonemer * True Green * /99 Auto White Sox RefractorPASS
  • Caleb Bonemer 2024 Bowman Draft 1st HTA Choice Refractor Auto /150 White SoxPASS
  • Caleb Bonemer 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Green Lava Refractor Auto /99 White SoxPASS
  • $271.142024 CALEB BONEMER 1st BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME AQUA LAVA AUTO AUTOGRAPH /199 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $291.99CALEB BONEMER 2024 Bowman Chrome AUTO 1st Prospects PSA 10!NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $599.002024 Bowman Chrome CALEB BONEMER 1st Bowman Auto /150 PSA 10 White Sox 🔥🔥🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $912.902024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Caleb Bonemer * True Purple * Auto /250 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $956.50Caleb Bonemer 2024 First Bowman Draft Chrome Sparkle Refractor Auto /71 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $5012.902024 1st Bowman Draft PSA 10 Caleb Bonemer * Orange Wave * /25 SSP Auto 11/25NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $5519.99Caleb Bonemer 2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire 1st Chrome Orange Auto /25 PSA 10🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Signed Caleb Bonemer White Sox RC Card PSA 10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • CALEB BONEMER 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT SAPPHIRE #CPA-CBO GREEN /99 1ST AUTO PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Caleb Bonemer 2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Base Auto PSA 10 CPA-CBONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • PSA 10 Caleb Bonemer 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC #CPA-CBO - Gem MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Caleb Bonemer 1st Auto PSA 10 (RC)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Caleb Bonemer Chrome Prospect Auto #CPACBO PSA 10 White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Caleb Bonemer Bowman 1st Auto Chicago White Sox /150 RCPASS

Worth reading for this player