Nathan Martorella
1B · Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · Triple-A · 25.0y · #3765 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Watch
37 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $5.22, over the $0.99 that card has sold in.
Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.
Our take
Fringe prospect, expensive market.
Nathan Martorella scores 37 out of 100 (#3765 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–1 off 1 confirmed sale.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — 1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Contact: below average
26.4% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: above average
12.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 64% at his level.
Bat-first profile
1B — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
What the hobby pays up for
1B sells at a discount at equal production; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
4 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-NM — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$0.74–1.24midpoint $0.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-24 · 3 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-NM
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor Nathan Martorella Auto 1j91 at $28.82, 2811% over the $0.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $0.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
32 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 32 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 26 are under "The whole live market".
2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Nathan Martorella #CDA-NM Padres
base · raw · takes offers · listed 829d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.22
sold $0.99
PASS
2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Purple Auto /250 Nathan Martorella #CDA-NM Padres
/250 · raw · listed 66d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.78
modeled $0.58–2.25
PASS
2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor /499 Nathan Martorella #CDA-NM Auto 1qn4
/499 · raw · listed 23d
Not a core card · 5 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$7.26
modeled $0.51–1.99
PASS
2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nathan Martorella #CDA-NM Auto 18t1
base · raw · listed 5d
Not a core card · 5 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$7.86
sold $0.99
PASS
2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nathan Martorella #CDA-NM Auto 6a7
base · raw · listed 4d
Not a core card · 5 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$8.00
sold $0.99
PASS
2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nathan Martorella #CDA-NM Auto 13c1
base · raw · listed 14d
Not a core card · 5 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$8.12
sold $0.99
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.22, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.22 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Aqua Lava RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.82 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +203%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.82 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +82%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.26, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.26 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -75%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.78 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -20%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.25 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +95%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $62.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $62.16 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +453%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
11 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 49 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level
26.4% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
47
average · better than 38% at his level
.122 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
54
above average · better than 64% at his level
12.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
50
average · better than 50% at his level
11 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
39
well below · better than 13% at his level · the result, not a skill
.542 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 46th percentile of the cohort, production at the 13th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 94% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 46 and his production sits at 13, a gap of +33. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 94th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
106
AVG
.156
OBP
.264
SLG
.278
OPS
.542
better than 13%
HR
2
SB
2
BB%
12.3
K%
26.4
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market32 listed · 32 eBay-verified · 26 not shown above
- Listings
- 32
- Lowest seen
- $5.22
- Median ask
- $14.30
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.22
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.78
32 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 26 cards
- $8.972022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nathan Martorella #CDA-NM Auto je7PASS
- $9.04NATHAN MARTORELLA 2022 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTOPASS
- $11.252022 Bowman Chrome Nathan Martorella Blue Refractor Auto /150 1st BowmanPASS
- $11.572022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Nathan Martorella #CDA-NM Auto tx9PASS
- $11.742022 Bowman Chrome Nathan Martorella Refractor 1st Bowman AUTO /499PASS
- $14.302022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Purple Auto /250 Nathan Martorella #CDA-NM PadresPASS
- $15.822022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Aqua Lava Refractor Nathan Martorella Auto 3hdPASS
- $17.022022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor /499 Nathan Martorella #CDA-NM Auto 12uiPASS
- $24.482022 Bowman Chrome 1st auto refractor NATHAN MARTORELLA /499! SD Padres PSA 9PASS
- $27.84PSA 9 2022 1st BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME AUTO REFRACTOR NATHAN MARTORELLA RC CDANM/499PASS
- $28.822022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor Nathan Martorella Auto 1j91PASS
- $31.502023 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Nathan Martorella Autograph SGC 9.5 w/10 AUTOPASS
- $36.002022 Bowman Chrome Nathan Martorella Marlins Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 10PASS
- $40.892022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor Nathan Martorella PSA 9 MINT Auto 0w27PASS
- $44.342022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor /499 Nathan Martorella SGC 9.5 Auto 1j7tPASS
- $62.162022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Orange Refractor 17/25 Nathan Martorella Auto 1j91PASS
- $302.84PSA 10 2022 1st BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME SPARKLE REFRACTOR AUTO NATHAN MARTORELLA /71PASS
- —2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Orange Refractor 25/25 Nathan Martorella AutoPASS
- —AUTO 🔥 NATHAN MARTORELLA 2022 Topps 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Issue #CDA-NMPASS
- —NATHAN MARTORELLA 2022 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTOPASS
- —****** NATHAN MARTORELLA - 2022 1ST BOWMAN CHROME - BLUE WAVE AUTO - /150 ******PASS
- —2022 Bowman Draft-Chrome 1st Auto Refractor Nathan Martorella BGS 9.5/10 /499PASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Nathan Martorella Mojo Refractor Auto San Diego Padres PSA 10PASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Auto Nathan Martorella Padres PSA 9 EPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Nathan Martorella Rookie Auto PSA 10 Gem MintPASS
- —Topps 2022 Bowman Draft Nathan Martorella Auto CDA-NM Padres Chrome AutographsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run