Deal Sniper

Justyn-Henry Malloy

RF · Durham Bulls · Triple-A · 26.0y · #3772 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

37 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best base card asks $2.39, over the $2 that card has sold in.

What to do
Watch

Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.

Our take

Fringe prospect, expensive market.

Justyn-Henry Malloy scores 37 out of 100 (#3772 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: plus — 15.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 87% at his level.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–3 off 1 confirmed sale.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — rF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

The signal

  • Power: below average

    .118 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • OPS slipping

    .955 last season to .594 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .180 last season to .118 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    15.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 87% at his level.

  • Bat-first profile

    RF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Corner-only profile

    RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JMA — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 16 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$1.50–2.50midpoint $2.00

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-22 · 16 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JMA

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 16 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Autograph 1st Justyn-Henry Malloy #CPA-JMA RC at $17.99, 799% over the $2 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $2 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

36 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 36 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 30 are under "The whole live market".

  • Justyn-Henry Malloy 1st Chrome AUTO 2023 Bowman Chrome CPA-JMA Braves Autogra

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 2d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $2.39

    sold $2

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JMA

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 25d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $4.50

    sold $2

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Justyn-Henry Malloy 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-JMA Braves

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 54d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.48

    sold $2

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Justyn-Henry Malloy 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-JMA Braves

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 37d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.36

    sold $2

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Justyn-Henry Malloy #CPA-JMA

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 19d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.72

    modeled $1.03–4.02

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy 1st Rookie Auto #CPA-JMA

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 147d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.00

    sold $2

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.39, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $2.39 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.72, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $7.72 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +223%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $291.09, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $291.09 live
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +3671%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

13 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 52 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level

    23.9% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    46

    below average · better than 34% at his level

    .118 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level

    15.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    54

    above average · better than 65% at his level

    18 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    41

    well below · better than 19% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .594 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 58th percentile of the cohort, production at the 19th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 98% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 58 and his production sits at 19, a gap of +39. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 98th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.8 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

230

AVG

.167

OBP

.309

SLG

.285

OPS

.594

better than 19%

HR

5

SB

7

BB%

15.7

K%

23.9

Is this player getting better?

Down from .955 to .594 OPS this season.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.955▼.594

Power

.180▼.118

Walks

17.3%▼15.7%

Strikeouts

20.4%▲23.9%

Last season, 329 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market36 listed · 36 eBay-verified · 30 not shown above
Listings
36

36 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.39
Median ask
$13.33
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.39
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$7.72

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 30 cards

  • $9.642023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy Auto Atlanta Braves #CPA-JMA 1st ProspectPASS
  • $9.93MINT RC AUTO 2023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy 1st Bowman ATLANTA BRAVES PASS
  • $11.242023 Bowman Chrome JUSTYN HENRY-MALLOY 1st Auto Autograph CPA-JMA TigersPASS
  • $11.312023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy 1st Chrome Refractor Auto #/499 BravesPASS
  • $15.35Justyn-Henry Malloy 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Base Auto CPA-JMA TigersPASS
  • $15.982023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JMA Justyn-Henry Malloy Prospect Auto. SGC 9.5PASS
  • $17.992023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Autograph 1st Justyn-Henry Malloy #CPA-JMA RCPASS
  • $32.342023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JMA Justyn-Henry Malloy Prospect Auto. SGC 10PASS
  • $35.002023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JMA Justyn-Henry Malloy Prospect PSA 9 AutoPASS
  • $35.982023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JMA Braves PSA 10PASS
  • $36.282023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Justyn-Henry Malloy #CPA-JMA PSA 9 MINT Auto 00l8PASS
  • $41.482023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy Speckle Refractor Auto /299 PSA 10PASS
  • $291.092023 Bowman Chrome Gold Shimmer Refractor 8/50 Justyn-Henry Malloy Auto 2s2PASS
  • $304.982023 Bowman Chrome /75 Justyn-Henry Malloy PSA 10 1st Yellow Refractor AutoPASS
  • —Justyn-Henry Malloy 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Refractor #/499 SGC 10PASS
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy Auto Atlanta Braves #CPA-JMA 1st ProspectPASS
  • —Topps Bowman Chrome 2023 Justyn-Henry Malloy Braves CPA-JMA 1st Prospect AutoPASS
  • —Justyn-Henry Malloy 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-JMA BravesPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome OnCard Auto Refractor Justyn-Henry Malloy PSA 10 /499PASS
  • —Justyn-Henry Malloy 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-JMA BravesPASS
  • —Justyn-Henry Malloy 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-JMA BravesPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy Auto 1st Prospect Refractor #/499 BravesPASS
  • —Justyn-Henry Malloy 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JMA TigersPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Justyn-Henry Malloy #CPA-JMAPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Refractor RC Auto Justyn-Henry Malloy /499PASS
  • —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy 1st Bowman Prospect Auto SGC 10PASS
  • —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy 1st Bowman Prospect Auto SGC 10PASS
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Speckle /299 Justyn-Henry Malloy PSA 10PASS
  • —Bowman Chrome 2023 Justyn-Henry Malloy #CPA-JMA Speckle Auto /299 Braves PSA 9PASS
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Justyn-Henry Malloy 1st Bowman Auto Gold Shimmer #12/50PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now