Tim Tawa
1B · Reno Aces · Triple-A · 27.0y · #1532 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
54 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
11 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Tim Tawa scores 54 out of 100 (#1532 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus-plus — .413 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 98% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 88 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus-plus
.413 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 98% at his level.
Bat-first profile
1B — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Contact: plus
14.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 86% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Big power for his level (98th percentile); 1B sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
88 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Corner-only profile
1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Chrome Tim Tawa 1st Auto Refractor /499 Diamondbacks CPA-TT at $40.99, 290% over the $10.50–14.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/499 at or under $10.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
11 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 11 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 5 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Tim Tawa 1st Bowman Chrome Blue Refractor Auto /150 CSG CGC PSA 10
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$49.00
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st YELLOW REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Tim Tawa 73/75
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1108d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$369.50
modeled $16
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st YELLOW REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Tim Tawa 24/75
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1108d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$369.50
modeled $16
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st GREEN REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Tim Tawa 29/99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 890d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$319.50
modeled $14.40
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st GREEN SHIMMER REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Tim Tawa /99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1108d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$319.50
modeled $14.40
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st ATOMIC REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Tim Tawa 031/100
/100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 890d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$302.50
modeled $12
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Tim Tawa, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $19.44–$40.82, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $38.88, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $38.88 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $302.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $302.50 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +678%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $319.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $319.50 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +6%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Shimmer Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $319.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $319.50 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- 0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $369.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $369.50 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +16%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 59 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 59 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
61
plus · better than 86% at his level
14.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level
.413 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
54
above average · better than 66% at his level
12.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
51
average · better than 54% at his level
14 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
68
plus-plus · better than 96% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.142 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 76th percentile of the cohort, production at the 96th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 81% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 76 and his production sits at 96, a gap of -20. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 19th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
88
AVG
.320
OBP
.409
SLG
.733
OPS
1.142
better than 96%
HR
7
SB
2
BB%
12.5
K%
14.8
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market11 listed · 11 eBay-verified · 5 not shown above
- Listings
- 11
- Lowest seen
- $38.88
- Median ask
- $302.50
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $38.88
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $38.88
11 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 5 cards
- $302.502023 Bowman Chrome 1st ATOMIC REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Tim Tawa 062/100PASS
- $302.502023 Bowman Chrome 1st ATOMIC REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Tim Tawa 090/100PASS
- $302.502023 Bowman Chrome 1st ATOMIC REFRACTOR PROSPECT ROOKIE AUTO Tim Tawa 055/100PASS
- $38.88🔥2023 Bowman Chrome Tim Tawa 1st Auto Refractor /499 Diamondbacks CPA-TT SP ⚾️PASS
- $40.992023 Bowman Chrome Tim Tawa 1st Auto Refractor /499 Diamondbacks CPA-TTPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run