Deal Sniper

Michael Kennedy

SP · Double-A · 21.0y · #781 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

60 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best base card asks $7.50, over the $2.38 that card has sold in.

What to do
Watch

All in it's $7.50, and these have been selling around $2.38.

Our take

Solid prospect, expensive market.

Michael Kennedy scores 60 out of 100 (#781 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–3 off 1 confirmed sale.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

  • 3 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-MKY — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$1.78–2.97midpoint $2.38

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-24 · 5 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-MKY

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Michael Kennedy #CDA-MKY Auto tx9 at $17.32, 628% over the $2.38 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $2.38 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

9 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 9 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 3 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Prospect 1st Autographs Michael Kennedy #CDA-MKY Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 186d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.50

    sold $2.38

    LOTTERY

  • 2022 1st Bowman Draft Michael Kennedy Chrome Auto #CDA-MKY

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 81d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.78

    sold $2.38

    LOTTERY

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Michael Kennedy Chrome Auto 1st #CDA-MKY Pittsburgh Pirates

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 140d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.69

    sold $2.38

    LOTTERY

  • Michael Kennedy 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st AUTO #CDA-MKY Pittsburgh Pirates

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 216d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $2.38

    PASS

  • Michael Kennedy 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Bowman Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 511d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $2.38

    PASS

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Michael Kennedy 1st Bowman Rookie Autograph Auto #CDA-MKY

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 529d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $2.38

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

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The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.0 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market9 listed · 9 eBay-verified · 3 not shown above
Listings
9

9 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$7.50
Median ask
$13.35
Cheapest 1st auto
$7.50
Cheapest numbered 1st auto

Latest eBay verification: 2 days ago.

The other 3 cards

  • $15.012022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Michael Kennedy #CDA-MKY Auto 2a9LOTTERY
  • $15.882022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Michael Kennedy #CDA-MKY Auto c8aLOTTERY
  • $17.322022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Michael Kennedy #CDA-MKY Auto tx9LOTTERY
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player