Deal Sniper

Cam Collier

3B · Double-A · 21.0y · #813 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

60 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

21 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is CAM COLLIER 2023 BOWMAN Chrome 1st… at $43.56. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Cam Collier scores 60 out of 100 (#813 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • Speed: well below

    1 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • OPS slipping

    .724 last season to .653 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 39/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: above average

    .161 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 63% at his level.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

21 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 20 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 14 are under "The whole live market".

  • CAM COLLIER 2023 BOWMAN Chrome 1st Cincinnati REDS PSA Authentic AUTO BCP-125

    Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 9d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $43.56

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Cam Collier 2023 1st Bowman Paper Signed Autographed CARD #BP-125 PSA 10 Auto

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $66.99

    modeled ~$122.94

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Cam Collier AUTO Refractor RC /499 PSA 10 🔥

    /499 · PSA 10 · auction · listed 2d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $164.95

    modeled ~$90.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome TRUE BLUE REFRACTOR AUTO CAM COLLIER 1st Rookie RC PSA 9

    True Blue Refractor · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 1d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $204.98

    modeled ~$30.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Cam Collier /75 Yellow Refractor Auto PSA 9

    /75 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 1d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $273.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Cam Collier Chrome Prospect Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250 PSA 10

    /250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 531d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $306.98

    modeled ~$123.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Cam Collier, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $21.78–$45.74, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in psa 10 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing PSA 10 autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $66.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $66.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $164.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $164.95 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +146%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $366.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $366.49 live
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +122%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $306.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $306.98 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -16%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Grass Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $381.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $381.00 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +24%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

10 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 47 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 47 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level

    26.8% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    53

    above average · better than 63% at his level

    .161 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    46

    below average · better than 36% at his level

    8.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    41

    well below · better than 18% at his level

    1 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    46

    below average · better than 33% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .653 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 40th percentile of the cohort, production at the 33th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 40 and his production sits at 33, a gap of +7. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 60th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.0 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

497

AVG

.206

OBP

.286

SLG

.367

OPS

.653

better than 33%

HR

16

SB

1

BB%

8.7

K%

26.8

Is this player getting better?

Down from .724 to .653 OPS this season.

Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.724▼.653

Power

.084▲.161

Walks

14.6%▼8.7%

Strikeouts

27.9%▼26.8%

Last season, 308 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market21 listed · 21 eBay-verified · 14 not shown above
Listings
21

21 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$43.56
Median ask
$273.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$43.56
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$306.98

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 14 cards

  • $309.992023 Bowman - Chrome Prospect Auto Cam Collier #CPA-CC Refractor /499 1st RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $366.492023 Bowman Chrome - Cam Collier 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 PSA 10 Duel 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $381.002023 Bowman 1st CAM COLLIER Chrome Green Grass Refractor Auto /99 PSA 10 - RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Cam Collier 1st Auto PSA 10 Reds NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Cam Collier 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 10 GEM CPA-CCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Cam Collier Gold Shimmer Refractor /50 Reds #CPA-CCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Cam Collier Chrome Auto Green Shimmer Refractor 1st 57/99 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman - Cam Collier 1st Blue Refractor Auto /150 (AU, RC) #CPA-CCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Cam Collier 1st Bowman RC Auto Green Grass /99 PSA 10 Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Cam Collier Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st /250 SGC 10 Gem Mint 💎NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Sapphire Cam Collier Chrome Prospects Auto 1st PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Cam Collier 2023 1st Bowman Chrome RC ON CARD Auto PSA GEM MINT 10 RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Cam Collier AUTO 1st Bowman Reds CPA-CC RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Cam Collier 2023 Bowman Chrome Sapphire 1st Bowman Orange /50 Reds NON AutoPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now