Deal Sniper

Johnny King

SP · Double-A · 20.0y · #624 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

62 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best base card asks $35.99, over the $23.17–30.42 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JKI Johnny King 1st… at $35.99. Needs a $13 drop.

Our take

Solid prospect, expensive market.

Johnny King scores 62 out of 100 (#624 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $23–30 off 4 confirmed sales.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-JKI — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$23.17–30.42midpoint $29.70

Confirmed· 4 salesmost recent 2026-08-21 · 2 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-JKI

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Johnny King 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JKI First (1st) AUTO Chrome at $128, 330% over the $23.17–30.42 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $23.17 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $13 drop
  • Player not there yet
  • 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JKI Johnny King 1st… at or under $23.76 delivered.

What is for sale right now

19 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 19 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 13 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Refractor Johnny King Auto 229/499 RC SP PSA 10

    /499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 15d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $141

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome - Johnny King 1st Bowman True Green Auto /99 Blue Jays

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 17d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $175.17

    modeled $25.02–76.66

    PASS

  • JOHNNY KING 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST GREEN LAVA REFRACTOR AUTO /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $25.02–76.66

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Draft JOHNNY KING Chrome Auto Aqua Lava Refractor 1st #/199 PLUS🔥

    /199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $18.77–57.49

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Johnny King Auto Purple Refractor /250 Toronto Blue Jays

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 206d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $250.00

    modeled $18.07–55.36

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft- Johnny King #CPA-JKI Aqua Lava 1st Auto /199

    /199 · raw · condition not stated · listed 106d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $306.00

    modeled $18.77–57.49

    PASS

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Johnny King, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $18.00–$37.79, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $35.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $83.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +133%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $306.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +265%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $85.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -72%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • True Green /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $175.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill

    +4.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.4 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • young for Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26$250.00 plus $5.00 shipping · /150 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market19 listed · 19 eBay-verified · 13 not shown above
Listings
19

19 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$35.99
Median ask
$141.80
Cheapest 1st auto
$35.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$83.95

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 13 cards

  • Johnny King 2024 Bowman Draft Black Refractor Auto 1st /10 PSA 9 RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $83.952024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Johnny King Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-JKIPASS
  • $95.482024 Bowman Draft | Johnny King | 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499PASS
  • $156.002024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Refractor Johnny King Auto /499 #CPA-JKIPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Johnny King 1st Bowman Auto Refractor #/499PASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JKI Johnny King Chrome 1st Auto Refractor #/499 Blue JaysPASS
  • $1790.992024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME PROSPECT AUTO GOLD SHIMMER JOHNNY KING 6/50 PSA 10PASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Johnny King /71 Sparkle Refractor Auto PSA 10 #CPA-JKIPASS
  • $85.482024 Bowman Draft | Johnny King | 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto /250PASS
  • $35.992024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JKI Johnny King 1st Chrome Prospect AutoPASS
  • $127.60Johnny King 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JKI First (1st) AUTO ChromePASS
  • Johnny King 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JKI Blue Jays RCPASS
  • Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Johnny King Blue Jays 1st Bowman Chrome AutoPASS
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.

Worth reading for this player