Deal Sniper

Samuel Basallo

C · Norfolk Tides · Triple-A · 22.0y · #378 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

68 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

32 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome Samuel Basallo 1st…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Samuel Basallo scores 68 out of 100 (#378 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 4 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: well below

    0.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: elite

    0.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 100% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Power: plus

    .250 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 87% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    4 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SB — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 5 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SB

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Chrome Samuel Basallo 1st Prospect Auto PSA 10 🔥 at $355, 77% over the $200 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $200 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

32 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 32 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 26 are under "The whole live market".

  • Samuel Basallo PSA 10 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO PURPLE REFRACTOR /250 RC z1

    /250 · PSA 10 · listed 3d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $699.99

    modeled $260

    PASS

  • Samuel Basallo PSA 10 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO PURPLE REFRACTOR /250 RC z1

    /250 · PSA 10 · listed 13d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 90h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $799.97

    modeled $260

    PASS

  • Samuel Basallo PSA 10 2023 Bowman Chrome AUTO 1st GOLD SHIMMER REFRACTOR /50 z1

    /50 · PSA 10 · listed 6d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $1799.99

    modeled $480

    PASS

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Samuel Basallo 1st Gold Shimmer Auto /50 #CPA-SB PSA 10

    /50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 13d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $1964.98

    sold $1,299

    PASS

  • Samuel Basallo PSA 10 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO GOLD SHIMMER REFRACTOR /50 z3

    /50 · PSA 10 · listed 2d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $2499.97

    modeled $480

    PASS

  • Samuel Basallo PSA 10 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO GOLD SHIMMER REFRACTOR /50 z3

    /50 · PSA 10 · listed 12d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $2499.98

    modeled $480

    PASS

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Samuel Basallo, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $31.49–$66.13, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in psa 10 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing PSA 10 autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $305.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $383.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +25%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $556.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +45%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $699.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +26%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $1964.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +181%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $1799.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -8%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

12 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 55 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    0.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level

    .250 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    35

    well below · better than 7% at his level

    0.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    50

    average · better than 49% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .750 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    71

    plus-plus · better than 98% at his level · context, not a skill

    +4.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 56th percentile of the cohort, production at the 49th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 56 and his production sits at 49, a gap of +7. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 58th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.1 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • young for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

4

AVG

.250

OBP

.250

SLG

.500

OPS

.750

better than 49%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

0.0

K%

0.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market32 listed · 32 eBay-verified · 26 not shown above
Listings
32

32 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$62.98
Median ask
$528.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$107.50
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$322.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 26 cards

  • $556.002023 Bowman Chrome SAMUEL BASALLO RC 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 PSA 10 TJ1PASS
  • $699.99Samuel Basallo PSA 10 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO SPECKLE REFRACTOR /299 RC G6PASS
  • $499.99Samuel Basallo PSA 10 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR /499 RC z2PASS
  • $599.99Samuel Basallo PSA 10 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR /499 RC z3PASS
  • $599.99Samuel Basallo PSA 10 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR /499 RC z3PASS
  • $699.97Samuel Basallo PSA 10 2023 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR /499 RC z3PASS
  • $305.98Samuel Basallo 2023 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Orioles RC PSA 10 Gem MintPASS
  • $354.49PSA 10 - 2023 Bowman Chrome SAMUEL BASALLO 1st RC ON Card AUTO Orioles (3296)PASS
  • $354.992023 Bowman Chrome Samuel Basallo 1st Prospect Auto PSA 10 🔥PASS
  • Samuel Basallo 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10PASS
  • Samuel Basallo 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto PSA 10 Orioles ROY CandidatePASS
  • Samuel Basallo 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto RC PSA 10 Gem Mint Orioles PASS
  • $383.00Samuel Basallo 2023 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 PSA 10 Gem MintPASS
  • $62.982023 Bowman Draft Chrome Samuel Basallo Chrome Auto Signed #BDC-179NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $107.502023 Bowman Chrome Samuel Basallo Auto 1st Bowman CPA-SB OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $255.002023 Bowman Chrome Samuel Basallo 1st Bowman Base Auto Autograph OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $322.002023 Bowman Chrome Samuel Basallo 1st Auto Refractor #/499 Rookie RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $323.00Samuel Basallo Auto 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman PSA 9 GradedNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $330.00Samuel Basallo 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto RC Refractor /499 #CPASB - PSA 9 MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Samuel Basallo 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Samuel Basallo Auto RC 1st Rookie SP SSP PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Samuel Basallo 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-SB OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Samuel Basallo 1st Bowman Auto ChromeNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome SAMUEL BASALLO 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-SB Orioles PSA 9 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • SGC 10 Samuel Basallo 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto RC #CPA-SB - Gem Mint/10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Samuel Basallo 1st Hard Signed Auto CPA-SB PSA 10PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player