Paul McIntosh
C · Triple-A · 28.0y · #3430 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
41 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
41 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Paul McIntosh scores 41 out of 100 (#3430 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: above average — .185 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 68% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Old for the level
-2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.
Speed: below average
0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Power: above average
.185 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 68% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: above average
20.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 65% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-PM — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 26 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 26 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-PM
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 26 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Paul McIntosh!🔥 HOT! Marlins Base Auto at $20, 1920% over the $0.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $0.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
41 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 41 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 35 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Paul McIntosh #CPA-PM
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 536d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.69
modeled ~$12.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Autograph CPA-PM Paul McIntosh Refractor /499 1st Auto
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 345d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.50
modeled ~$12.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Autograph CPA-PM Paul McIntosh Refractor /499 1st Auto
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 345d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.50
modeled ~$12.50
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 205/499 Paul McIntosh #CPA-PM Auto 2a9
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$8.75
modeled ~$12.50
LOTTERY
PAUL MCINTOSH 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Auto #/99 Miami Marlins
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 102d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.99
modeled ~$29.00
LOTTERY
Paul McIntosh *25/250* Auto 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Purple #CPA-PM Phillies MLB
Purple · raw · condition not stated · listed 480d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.00
modeled ~$8.50
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.35, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.35 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- PurpleTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +199%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.69, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.69 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -53%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.60 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +361%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.57 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -46%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -14%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.82 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +189%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
54
above average · better than 65% at his level
20.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
55
above average · better than 68% at his level
.185 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level
9.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level · the result, not a skill
.801 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill
-2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 49th percentile of the cohort, production at the 63th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 49 and his production sits at 63, a gap of -14. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 28th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.2 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
245
AVG
.269
OBP
.347
SLG
.454
OPS
.801
better than 63%
HR
8
SB
0
BB%
9.0
K%
20.0
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .792 to .801 OPS.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.792→.801
Power
.180→.185
Walks
9.9%→9.0%
Strikeouts
17.2%▲20.0%
Last season, 232 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market41 listed · 41 eBay-verified · 35 not shown above
- Listings
- 41
- Lowest live
- $3.35
- Median ask
- $8.35
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.35
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $4.69
41 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 35 cards
- $10.422023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 85/499 Paul McIntosh #CPA-PM Auto 03i7LOTTERY
- $11.572023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 154/250 Paul McIntosh Auto 18vmLOTTERY
- $14.442023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 2/250 Paul McIntosh Auto 0d0oLOTTERY
- $21.602023 Paul McIntosh Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor Auto RC /299 (H1278)LOTTERY
- $28.822023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Yellow Refractor 62/75 Paul McIntosh Auto 18vmNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Paul McIntosh 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto #265/499 #CPA-PM PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh 1st Bowman Auto /499 #CPA-PM MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Paul Mcintosh Bowman 1st Auto /250NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Paul McIntosh 1st Bowman Chrome Speckled Autograph Auto /299 Miami MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $3.35Paul McIntosh - 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto '1st Bowman' #CPA-PM - MarlinsLOTTERY
- $3.492023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh 1st Bowman On Card Auto AutographLOTTERY
- $3.992023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-PM Prospect Autograph MLBLOTTERY
- $3.992023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh Auto 1st Rookie RC Card #CPA-PM MarlinsLOTTERY
- $4.242023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-PM Marlins PhilliesLOTTERY
- $4.312023 1st Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-PM Miami MarlinsLOTTERY
- $4.48Paul McIntosh 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Autograph CPA-PMLOTTERY
- $4.492023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh 1st Prospect Auto Miami MarlinsLOTTERY
- $4.992023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Paul McIntosh - Miami MarlinsLOTTERY
- $7.952023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-PM Paul McIntosh Auto 1st Rookie RC Prospect MarlinsLOTTERY
- $10.88PAUL MCINTOSH 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-PM 1st AutoLOTTERY
- $11.36PAUL MCINTOSH 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Auto Marlins 🔥📈LOTTERY
- $11.602023 Paul McIntosh Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-PM (H1108)LOTTERY
- $13.99PAUL MCINTOSH 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-PMLOTTERY
- $20.002023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Paul McIntosh!🔥 HOT! Marlins Base AutoLOTTERY
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh 1st Bowman Auto MarlinsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh 1st Bowman Auto MarlinsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh Auto 1st #CPA-PM MarlinsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh Auto 1st #CPA-PM MarlinsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-PM Paul McIntosh (MARLINS) 1st BowmanPASS
- —PAUL MCINTOSH 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH MARLINS AUTO Q0043PASS
- —2023 BOWMAN CHROME PAUL MCINTOSH 1ST Bowman ON CARD AUTO CARD #CPA-PM MarlinsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-PM Paul McIntosh Auto 1st Rookie RC Prospect MarlinsPASS
- —2023 Bowman 1st Chrome PAUL McINTOSH #CPA-PM Base Prospect Auto-MarlinsPASS
- —PAUL MCINTOSH 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-PM MarlinsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Paul McIntosh 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-PM MarlinsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run