Deal Sniper

Carson Roccaforte

CF · Triple-A · 24.0y · #3389 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

41 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

17 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome - Carson… at $904. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Carson Roccaforte scores 41 out of 100 (#3389 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

We have 2 confirmed sales of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 25 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • Contact: bottom of the scale

    40.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .830 last season to .551 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .229 last season to .000 this one.

  • Plate discipline: plus-plus

    24.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 97% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Triple-A.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    25 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 34 on the 20–80 scale (40.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Thin comp evidence

    2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

17 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 17 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 11 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Draft - Chrome Carson Roccaforte #CDA-CR Purple Refractor /250 auto

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    —

    modeled $32.50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Carson Roccaforte 1st Bowman Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $25

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Carson Roccaforte Orange Wave Refractor /25

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $75

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Carson Roccaforte #CDA-CR Chrome Auto Red Lava /5 1st

    /5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $75

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Carson Roccaforte 1st Chrome Auto Gold Shimmer Refractor /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $60

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Carson Roccaforte BLACK Refractor /75 AUTO 1st Bowman 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 993d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $303.13

    modeled $50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Carson Roccaforte, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $28.00–$58.80, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $56.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $56.00 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $303.13, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $303.13 live
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 52 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    34

    bottom of the scale · better than 6% at his level

    40.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    37

    well below · better than 9% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level

    24.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 94% at his level

    48 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    39

    well below · better than 14% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .551 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 52th percentile of the cohort, production at the 14th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 97% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 52 and his production sits at 14, a gap of +38. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 97th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.8 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

25

AVG

.176

OBP

.375

SLG

.176

OPS

.551

better than 14%

HR

0

SB

2

BB%

24.0

K%

40.0

Is this player getting better?

Down from .830 to .551 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.830▼.551

Power

.229▼.000

Walks

16.2%▲24.0%

Strikeouts

29.8%▲40.0%

Last season, 339 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for2 logged sales

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Showing 2 of 2 sales
$90.002026-08-252026-08-26

Point at a dot to see that sale.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $90.00 · /150 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
  • 2026-08-25 — $29.95 plus $5.25 shipping · /199 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market17 listed · 17 eBay-verified · 11 not shown above
Listings
17

17 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$56.00
Median ask
$303.13
Cheapest 1st auto
$56.00
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$56.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 11 cards

  • —Carson Roccaforte BLACK Refractor /75 AUTO 1st Bowman 2023 Bowman Draft ChromePASS
  • —Carson Roccaforte 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Green Lava Refractor Auto /99PASS
  • $903.752023 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome - Carson Roccaforte - Rookie Auto Black /75 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-CR Carson Roccaforte 1st Gold Wave Auto /50 - RoyalsPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-CR Carson Roccaforte 1st Sparkles Refractor Auto /71PASS
  • —2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-CR Carson Roccaforte 1st Bowman Green Refractor Auto /99PASS
  • —2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-CR Carson Roccaforte 1st Bowman Green Lava Auto 16/99PASS
  • —2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-CR Carson Roccaforte 1st Aqua Lava Auto 189/199 - RoyalsPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-CR Carson Roccaforte 1st Aqua Lava Auto 39/199 - RoyalsPASS
  • $56.002023 Bowman Draft Carson Roccaforte 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto/250 #CDACRPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-CR Carson Roccaforte 1st Bowman Purple Auto /250 - RoyalsPASS

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now