Deal Sniper

Kyle Stowers

1B · Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · Triple-A · 28.0y · #7920 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

3 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

21 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Kyle Stowers scores 3 out of 100 (#7920 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — Little power for his level (9th percentile); 1B sells at a discount at equal production.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 19 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Bat-first profile

    1B — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Little power for his level (9th percentile); 1B sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    19 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 39 on the 20–80 scale (31.6% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Corner-only profile

    1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2019 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-KS — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2019 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-KS

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 301/499 Kyle Stowers #CDA-KS Auto 1k58 at $119, 1480% over the $7.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $7.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

21 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 21 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 15 are under "The whole live market".

  • Kyle Stowers 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250 #Cda-ks Psa 10

    /250 · PSA 10 · listed 6d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $199.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Kyle Stowers 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st yr Sparkles Ref Auto #22/71 PSA 9

    /71 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 350d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $257.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome Draft Kyle Stowers 1st RC ROOKIE AUTO GOLD REFRACTOR #/50 SP

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $145.00

    modeled ~$18.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Kyle Stowers 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Blue Refractor AUTO #/150 PSA 9

    /150 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 776d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $305.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Blue Wave Refractor /150 Kyle Stowers AUTO PSA 9 #CDA-KS

    /150 · PSA 9 · listed 56d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Kyle Stowers 2019 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Sparkle Autograph 60/71 Auto Orioles

    /71 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $99.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Kyle Stowers, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $7.99–$16.78, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $17.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $28.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +58%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $303.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +967%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $99.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -67%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $404.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +305%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $109.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -73%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $145.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +33%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 40 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 40 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    39

    well below · better than 14% at his level

    31.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    37

    well below · better than 9% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    39

    well below · better than 13% at his level

    5.3% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .439 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill

    -2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 16th percentile of the cohort, production at the 8th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 16 and his production sits at 8, a gap of +8. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 59th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.3 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

19

AVG

.176

OBP

.263

SLG

.176

OPS

.439

better than 8%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

5.3

K%

31.6

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market21 listed · 21 eBay-verified · 15 not shown above
Listings
21

21 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$15.98
Median ask
$109.31
Cheapest 1st auto
$17.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$99.99

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 15 cards

  • $404.49KYLE STOWERS 2019 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Sparkle Refractor Auto #53/71 MARLINSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $404.492019 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Kyle Stowers Auto #49/71 Sparkle Refractor MARLINSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $99.99Kyle Stowers 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250 #Cda-ks Psa 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $99.99Kyle Stowers 2019 1st Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250 #Cda-ks Psa 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $303.982019 Bowman Draft Kyle Stowers 1st Chrome TRUE BLUE WAVE Refractor RC Auto /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Kyle Stowers #CDA-KS Blue /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $17.99Topps 2019 Bowman Draft Kyle Stowers Orioles 1st Bowman Chrome Auto RC#CDA-KSLOTTERY
  • $109.312023 Bowman Chrome Rookie Yellow Refractor 24/75 Kyle Stowers Auto RC 12wcNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Kyle Stowers 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto #CDA-KS 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $74.812019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Kyle Stowers #CDA-KS Auto 12wcNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $86.322019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Kyle Stowers #CDA-KS Auto 1k58NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2019 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st #CDA-KS Kyle Stowers RC Rookie Auto Refractor /499PASS
  • $15.98NON AUTO 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Kyle Stowers BDC-76 Orioles HOT ROOKIE RC BaseNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $28.49KYLE STOWERS Auto - 2023 Bowman Chrome Rookie RC Refractor /499 OriolesPASS
  • $118.522019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 301/499 Kyle Stowers #CDA-KS Auto 1k58PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player