Nate Furman
2B · Sacramento River Cats · Triple-A · 25.0y · #1430 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
56 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
10 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Nate Furman scores 56 out of 100 (#1430 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
OPS slipping
1.139 last season to .791 this one.
Power slipping
.285 last season to .121 this one.
Contact: plus
11.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 92% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Triple-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.
Premium position
2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, No base auto listed — cheapest numbered option shown; premium ratio unavailable. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
10 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 10 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 4 are under "The whole live market".
2022 1st Bowman Draft REFRACTOR RC AUTO Nate Furman Giants Rookie Autograph /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 9d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
$19.50
modeled ~$12.00
LOTTERY
2022 1st Bowman Draft AQUA Lava RC AUTO Nate Furman Giants Rookie Autograph /199
/199 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
$28.00
modeled ~$40.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 1st Bowman Draft BLACK Refractor RC AUTO Nate Furman! Rookie! Autograph /75
/75 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
$66.50
modeled ~$66.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 1st Bowman Draft ORANGE Refractor RC AUTO Nate Furman! Rookie Autograph /25
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
$157.50
modeled ~$290.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 1st Bowman Draft ORANGE Refractor RC AUTO Nate Furman! Rookie Autograph /25
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
$175.50
modeled ~$290.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Nate Furman 2022 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto Black White Raywave Refractor PSA 10 Gem
Refractor · PSA 10 · listed 143d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$357.99
modeled ~$122.94
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Nate Furman, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $9.75–$20.48, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.50 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.00 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +44%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $66.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $66.50 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $157.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $157.50 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +137%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
64
plus · better than 92% at his level
11.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
47
average · better than 37% at his level
.121 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
51
average · better than 54% at his level
11.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
57
above average · better than 75% at his level
24 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
53
above average · better than 60% at his level · the result, not a skill
.791 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 65th percentile of the cohort, production at the 60th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 65 and his production sits at 60, a gap of +5. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 55th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.6 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
468
AVG
.293
OBP
.377
SLG
.414
OPS
.791
better than 60%
HR
7
SB
19
BB%
11.1
K%
11.8
Is this player getting better?
Down from 1.139 to .791 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
1.139▼.791
Power
.285▼.121
Walks
15.6%▼11.1%
Strikeouts
7.3%▲11.8%
Last season, 96 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $34.00 · /150 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market10 listed · 10 eBay-verified · 4 not shown above
- Listings
- 10
- Lowest seen
- $19.50
- Median ask
- $112.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $357.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- —
10 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 4 cards
- —NATE FURMAN 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Gold #’d 32/50 + Auto Elite ExtrNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Draft Nate Furman Chrome Auto Aqua Lava Refractor 1st #/199NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 1st Bowman Draft GOLD Refractor RC AUTO Nate Furman! Rookie! Autograph /50NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Nate Furman 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC #CDANF - San Francisco GiantsNEEDS EVIDENCE
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run