Deal Sniper

Bryce Eldridge

DH · Sacramento River Cats · Triple-A · 21.0y · #406 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

67 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Below market

His best Sapphire asks $305 against the $450–553 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Sapphire Bryce… at $312. Player not there yet.

Our take

Solid prospect, and the market has not caught up.

Bryce Eldridge scores 67 out of 100 (#406 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +5.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 100% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $62–103 off 1 confirmed sale.

A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — dH carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +5.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 100% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    29.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    14.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 82% at his level.

  • Bat-first profile

    DH — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • Power: above average

    .185 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 68% at his level.

Why now

  • Listed at your price — $311.99

    target is $428.58

  • Listed at your price — $305.49

    target is $428.58

What could go wrong

  • Corner-only profile

    DH carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-BE — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$61.50–103midpoint $82.00

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 2 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-BE

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Base$305.49delivered

2023 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Bryce Eldridge PSA 10 Auto Signed BDC-107 1st RC — $305 delivered, 45% under the $450–553 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.

See it on eBay

What would make this a buy

  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

14 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 14 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 8 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Bryce Eldridge PSA 10 Auto Signed BDC-107 1st RC

    Sapphire · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 398d

    Player not there yet

    $305.49

    sold $450–553

    WATCH · 45% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Sapphire Bryce Eldridge PSA 10 Auto Signed BDC-107

    Sapphire · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 70d

    Player not there yet

    $311.99

    sold $450–553

    WATCH · 44% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Sapphire Chrome Bryce Eldridge Green Refractor Auto /99 PSA 9 MT RC

    /99 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 0d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $184.99

    modeled $315–405

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Bryce Eldridge Prospect Orange Wave Auto /25 PSA 10

    /25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 1d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $736.30

    modeled $1,350–1,659

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Bryce Eldridge Gold Wave Refractor /50 PSA 10 Giants

    /50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $3014.98

    modeled $1,080–1,327

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Bowman 2023 Draft Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Bowman Bryce Eldridge PSA 9

    base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 6d

    Needs a $58 drop · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $205.17

    sold $175–225

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Bryce Eldridge, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $92.50–$194.24, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in psa 10 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing PSA 10 autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • SapphireTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $305.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $305.49 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Gold Wave Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3014.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3014.98 live
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +887%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Orange Wave /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $736.30, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $736.30 live
    Scarcity
    25 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -76%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    42

    below average · better than 20% at his level

    29.9% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    55

    above average · better than 68% at his level

    .185 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    59

    plus · better than 82% at his level

    14.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    62

    plus · better than 89% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .963 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level · context, not a skill

    +5.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 50th percentile of the cohort, production at the 89th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 96% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 50 and his production sits at 89, a gap of -39. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 4th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.9 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • young for Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.963 OPS in 137 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

137

AVG

.333

OBP

.445

SLG

.518

OPS

.963

better than 89%

HR

5

SB

0

BB%

14.6

K%

29.9

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market14 listed · 14 eBay-verified · 8 not shown above
Listings
14

14 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$184.99
Median ask
$305.49
Cheapest 1st auto
$205.17
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$3014.98

Latest eBay verification: 30 minutes ago.

The other 8 cards

  • —Bryce Eldridge 1st Bowman Green Sapphire Auto /99 🖋️ 2023 Bowman Chrome #CDA-BEPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Draft Bryce Eldridge Chrome Auto Refractor 1st #/499 Giants PSA 9PASS
  • —2023 Bowman Bryce Eldridge Auto #/150 Blue Wave Refractor 1st RC Chrome DraftPASS
  • —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome BRYCE ELDRIDGE /199 AQUA LAVA AUTO Bowman 1ST GiantsPASS
  • —Bowman 2023 Draft Bryce Eldridge CDA-BE Chrome Auto Gold Wave /50 PSA 10PASS
  • —Bryce Eldridge 2003 Bowman Chrome Draft Auto Orange Refractor /25 - PSA 10PASS
  • $303.95Bryce Eldridge 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Rookie Auto CDA-BE San Francisco GiantsPASS
  • —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Bryce Eldridge Auto CDA-BE GiantsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now