Spencer Jones
RF · Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · Triple-A · 25.0y · #397 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
67 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
9 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
These sell around $765.00 and this is $205.45 delivered.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Spencer Jones scores 67 out of 100 (#397 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (30.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Contact: well below
30.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 33/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus
.284 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 91% at his level.
Bat-first profile
RF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Speed: above average
26 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 77% at his level.
Why now
Listed at your price — $205.45
target is $612.00
Listed at your price — $330.95
target is $1150.56
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (30.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Corner-only profile
RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$674.99delivered
2023 Bowman Spencer Jones Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-SJ Yankees PSA 10 — $675 delivered, 16% under the $799 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
9 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 9 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 3 are under "The whole live market".
2023-24 Bowman Chrome 1st TRUE Orange Refractor Spencer Jones AUTO RC SSP /25
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$205.45
modeled $765
WATCH
2023 Bowman Spencer Jones Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-SJ Yankees PSA 10
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 6d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 90h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$674.99
sold $799
PASS · 16% under
SPENCER JONES 2023 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT PICKS & PROSPECTS AUTO /99 PSA 10
/99 · PSA 10 · listed 7d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$330.95
modeled $1,438
PASS
Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Pros Auto Spencer Jones CPA-SJ Refractor /499 PSA 10
/499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 2d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
modeled $919
PASS
2023 Bowman Spencer Jones Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-SJ Yankees PSA 10
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 3d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$899.00
sold $799
PASS
Spencer Jones 2023 Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 9 Prospect 1st #CPA-SJ Yankees
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 29d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
—
sold $204
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Spencer Jones, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$207.98Buy31% under fair value
- Luke AdamsGold Lava Refractor · /50$199.99Watch
- Luke AdamsGold Lava Refractor · /50$199.97Watch
Compared within $102.72–$215.72, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in psa 10 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing PSA 10 autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $674.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $674.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $330.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $330.95 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -51%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
40
well below · better than 16% at his level
30.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level
.284 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
56
above average · better than 73% at his level
13.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
57
above average · better than 77% at his level
26 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · the result, not a skill
.942 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 64th percentile of the cohort, production at the 87th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 84% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 64 and his production sits at 87, a gap of -23. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 16th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.2 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.942 OPS in 233 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
233
AVG
.273
OBP
.385
SLG
.557
OPS
.942
better than 87%
HR
14
SB
10
BB%
13.3
K%
30.9
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .897 up to .942 OPS.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.897▲.942
Power
.281→.284
Walks
8.7%▲13.3%
Strikeouts
36.6%▼30.9%
Last season, 298 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market9 listed · 9 eBay-verified · 3 not shown above
- Listings
- 9
- Lowest seen
- $205.45
- Median ask
- $502.97
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $205.45
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $205.45
9 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 3 cards
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run