Packy Naughton
SP · Memphis Redbirds · Triple-A · 30.0y · #7041 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
5 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
47 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Packy Naughton scores 5 out of 100 (#7041 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 30.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Old for the level
-4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 6% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 30.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Age for the level
-4.0y vs his level at Triple-A puts him younger than only 6% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-PN — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 11 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 11 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-PN
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 11 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
47 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 46 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 40 are under "The whole live market".
Packy Naughton ⚾ 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Gold Refractor Auto 17/50 #CPAPN
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1426d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$303.50
modeled ~$18.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton 1st Bowman Blue Refractor Auto 100/150 NM
/150 · raw · listed 1416d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.95
modeled ~$2.60
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Packy Naughton 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Green Auto RC 2/99 Cincinnati Reds
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 409d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton Green Refractor Auto 1st Bowman # /99...
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$19.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Packy Naughton ⚾ 2020 Bowman Chrome Sapphire 1ST RC GREEN ICE AUTO /99 #CPAPN
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1484d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Packy Naughton 2020 Bowman Chrome 1ST RC ROOKIE PURPLE AUTO /250
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.49
modeled ~$4.01
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder11 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +66%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.23, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.23 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +65%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.82 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -17%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +69%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.11, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.11 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +48%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $20.47, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $20.47 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +71%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $303.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $303.50 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1383%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.32 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -94%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
34
bottom of the scale · better than 6% at his level · context, not a skill
-4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market47 listed · 47 eBay-verified · 40 not shown above
- Listings
- 47
- Lowest live
- $3.00
- Median ask
- $8.81
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $6.49
47 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 40 cards
- $11.362020 1st Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton Auto Purple /250 #CPA-PNNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Packy Naughton On Card Rookie Purple Auto /250 BNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Packy Naughton On Card Rookie Purple Auto /250NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Packy Naughton 2020 Bowman Chrome 1ST RC ROOKIE PURPLE AUTO /250NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.32Packy Naughton 2020 Bowman Chrome 1ST RC ROOKIE PURPLE AUTO /250NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.48Packy Naughton 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-CN RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $16.982020 Bowman Chrome PACKY NAUGHTON 1st Rookie SILVER REFRACTOR AUTO #402/499 RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Packy Naughton 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-CN RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Packy Naughton 2020 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 Cincinnati Reds !!!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.23Packy Naughton 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-CN RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $3.002020 Bowman Chrome PACKY NAUGHTON #CPA-PN 1st Bowman AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- $4.38Packy Naughton 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-PNNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $4.502020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton 1st Auto CPA-PNNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $4.992020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton 1st Bowman #CPA-PN AUTO Cincinnati RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5.39Packy Naughton 2020 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-PN Cincinnati Reds NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5.39Packy Naughton 2020 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-PN Cincinnati Reds NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.04PACKY NAUGHTON 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman On Card Auto ST LOUIS CARDINALSNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.602020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-PN RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.132020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.382020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-PN RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.982020 Bowman Chrome PACKY NAUGHTON 1st Rookie AUTO #CPA-PN Cardinals Angels RC SPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $12.992020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton 1st Prospect Auto Autograph Card CPA-PN RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $13.99PACKY NAUGHTON 2020 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-PNNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $17.322020 Bowman Chrome Prospect Gold Shimmer Refractor /50 Packy Naughton Auto 13byNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $20.472020 Bowman Chrome Green Atomic Refractor 68/99 Packy Naughton #CPA-PN Auto 0eo6NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $28.532020 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 83/99 Packy Naughton Auto c7yNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton 1st Bowman Auto CPA-PN Reds AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton 1st Bowman #CPA-PN AUTO Cincinnati RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 bowman chrome 1st Auto Packy NaughtonNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Packy Naughton 2020 Bowman Chrome CPA-PN 1st Autograph Auto SP RC NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Packy Naughton Auto🔥2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto🔥St Louis CardinalsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-PNNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Packy Naughton Reds RC AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 Bowman Chrome / 1st Bowman PACKY NAUGHTON on Card Auto Card # CPA-PN RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.112020 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor /150 Packy Naughton #CPA-PN Auto 00jzNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $10.982020 Bowman Chrome HTA Choice Blue Mojo Refractor /150 Packy Naughton Auto 4l3NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.822020 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 300/499 Packy Naughton #CPA-PN Auto 2a9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.122020 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 451/499 Packy Naughton #CPA-PN Auto 0ioNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $8.352020 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 487/499 Packy Naughton #CPA-PN Auto 0o6vNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 Bowman Chrome Packy Naughton1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto SP /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run