Deal Sniper

Dauri Fernandez

2B · High-A · 19.0y · #730 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

61 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

48 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez Auto 1st… at $8.74. Needs a $4 drop.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Dauri Fernandez scores 61 out of 100 (#730 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $4–8 off 5 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 16 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: bottom of the scale

    0.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • OPS slipping

    .956 last season to .563 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .225 last season to .187 this one.

  • Power: above average

    .187 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 77% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Rookie to High-A.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    16 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DF — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 27 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$4.34–8midpoint $6.50

Confirmed· 5 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 29 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DF

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 27 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is DAURI FERNANDEZ 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTO #CPA-DF GUARDIANS Q7684 at $30.17, 364% over the $4.34–8 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $4.34 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $4 drop
  • Player not there yet
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez Auto 1st… at or under $5.20 delivered.
  • On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.

What is for sale right now

48 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 48 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 42 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2026 Bowman Dauri Fernandez Bowman Chrome Auto Orange /25 Guardians 1st

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 60d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $350.00

    modeled $7.81–33.60

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Auto Dauri Fernandez Bowman 1st Orange /25

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 93d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $7.81–33.60

    PASS

  • 2026 BOWMAN CHROME DAURI FERNANDEZ 1ST AUTO TRUE GOLD REFRACTOR SSP /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 103d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $274.44

    modeled $6.25–26.88

    PASS

  • Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez 1st Bowman True Gold Auto 34/50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $6.25–26.88

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Dauri Fernandez Cleveland Guardians CPA-DF /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $4.69–20.16

    PASS

  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2026 Dauri Fernandez 1st Auto CPA-DF 58/99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $4.69–20.16

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $58.14, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +565%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $71.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +22%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $274.44, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +287%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Orange /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $350.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    25 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +28%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 46 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level

    25.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    57

    above average · better than 77% at his level

    .187 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    34

    bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level

    0.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    41

    well below · better than 18% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .563 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill

    +4.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 40th percentile of the cohort, production at the 18th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 83% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 40 and his production sits at 18, a gap of +22. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 83th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.7 / 10

  • young for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

16

AVG

.188

OBP

.188

SLG

.375

OPS

.563

better than 18%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

0.0

K%

25.0

Is this player getting better?

Down from .956 to .563 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Rookie to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.956.563

Power

.225.187

Walks

9.1%0.0%

Strikeouts

12.5%25.0%

Last season, 176 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market48 listed · 48 eBay-verified · 42 not shown above
Listings
48

48 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$8.74
Median ask
$15.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$8.74
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$274.44

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 42 cards

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez 1st True Blue Auto /150 GuardiansPASS
  • 2026 Bowman #CPA-DF Dauri Fernandez 1st Purple Chrome Refractor Auto /250PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Dauri Fernandez Speckle Auto /299 CPA-DF Guardians PASS
  • 2026 Bowman #CPA-DF Dauri Fernandez 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Refractors /499PASS
  • $71.00DAURI FERNANDEZ 2026 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO GREEN LAVA REFRACTOR 66/99 CLEVELANDPASS
  • Topps 2026 Bowman Dauri Fernandez Guardians CPA-DF Orange Auto /25 1stPASS
  • Dauri Fernandez 1st Auto - 2026 Bowman - Orange Refractor 6/25 (CPA-DF)PASS
  • $58.142026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 18/299 Dauri Fernandez Auto 1t50PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Dauri Fernandez 1st Bowman Gold Ink Auto /15 Cleveland GuardiansPASS
  • Dauri Fernandez 2026 Bowman 1st Auto Orange Wave Refractor /25 SSPPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Dauri Fernandez Orange X Fractor Auto /25 Cleveland Guardians 1st SPPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Dauri Fernandez 1st Bowman Gold Ink Auto /15 Cleveland GuardiansPASS
  • $8.742026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez Auto 1st Bowman Guardians #CPA-DFPASS
  • $10.782026 1st Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez Auto #CPA-DF GuardiansPASS
  • $11.042026 Bowman Chrome Autographs Dauri Fernandez 1st Rookie Auto GuardiansPASS
  • $12.992026 Bowman DAURI FERNANDEZ #CPA-DF 1st Prospect Auto Guardians Baseball RCPASS
  • $14.162026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Dauri Fernandez Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-DFPASS
  • $14.202026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez CPA-DF 1st Base Prospect Auto ClevelandPASS
  • $15.002026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Bowman DAURI FERNANDEZ (RC) PASS
  • $15.86Dauri Fernandez 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-DF Cleveland GuardiansPASS
  • $15.992026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez 1st Bowman Auto CPA-DF Guardians ProspectPASS
  • $16.322026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto - Dauri Fernandez 1st Bowman #CPA-DF PASS
  • $16.742026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez 1st Auto CPA-DF - Cleveland GuardiansPASS
  • $20.502026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez 1st Auto CPA-DF GuardiansPASS
  • $30.17DAURI FERNANDEZ 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH AUTO #CPA-DF GUARDIANS Q7684PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez 1st Auto CPA-DF - Cleveland GuardiansPASS
  • DAURI FERNANDEZ 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ROOKIE AUTO #CPA-DF GUARDIANSPASS
  • Topps Bowman Chrome 2025 Dauri Fernandez 1st Bowman Auto Guardians #CPA-DFPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Dauri Fernandez Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-DF GuardiansPASS
  • Dauri Fernandez 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto CPA-DF GuardiansPASS
  • 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Auto - Dauri FernandezPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Dauri Fernandez Auto #CP-DF GuardiansPASS
  • 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez Prospect Auto #CPA-DF - GuardiansPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-DF Dauri FernandezPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-DF G215PASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-DF - GuardiansPASS
  • Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez 1st Bowman Auto RC #CPA-DF GuardiansPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez #CPA-DF 1st Auto Cleveland GuardiansPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Dauri Fernandez 1st Bowman AUTO Cleveland GuardiansPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto - Dauri Fernandez 1st Bowman #CPA-DFPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto - Dauri Fernandez 1st Bowman #CPA-DFPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Dauri Fernandez 1st Auto Chrome Prospects Autograph #CPA-DFPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player