Deal Sniper

Chase Harlan

3B · Great Lakes Loons · High-A · 20.0y · #734 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

61 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

20 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft CHASE HARLAN 1st Bowman… at $381. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Chase Harlan scores 61 out of 100 (#734 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • Speed: below average

    5 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • OPS slipping

    .856 last season to .720 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .212 last season to .150 this one.

  • Power: above average

    .150 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 61% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Rookie to High-A.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CHA — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CHA

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Chase Harlan 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Auto CPA-CHA Los Angeles Dodgers at $49.98, 82% over the $27.52 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $27.52 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

20 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 19 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 13 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Draft CHASE HARLAN 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 PSA 10 GEM

    /499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 8d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $380.75

    modeled ~$90.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chase Harlan Chrome Auto Yellow Refractor #/75 PSA9

    /75 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 6d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $909.98

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto Chase Harlan Purple /250 PSA 10 Dodgers

    /250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later

    $1505.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Chase Harlan 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Orange Wave Auto /25 PSA 10 Dodgers

    /25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 16d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Chase Harlan 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 PSA 10 Dodgers

    /499 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 16d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$90.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Chase Harlan 1st Bowman True Purple Auto 086/250 PSA 9

    /250 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 34d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Chase Harlan, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $22.49–$47.23, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $44.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $44.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —

7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 49 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level

    23.8% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    53

    above average · better than 61% at his level

    .150 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    47

    average · better than 38% at his level

    10.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    45

    below average · better than 32% at his level

    5 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    51

    average · better than 52% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .720 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 48th percentile of the cohort, production at the 52th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 48 and his production sits at 52, a gap of -4. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 42th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.3 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

130

AVG

.239

OBP

.331

SLG

.389

OPS

.720

better than 52%

HR

4

SB

1

BB%

10.0

K%

23.8

Is this player getting better?

Down from .856 to .720 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Rookie to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.856▼.720

Power

.212▼.150

Walks

10.2%→10.0%

Strikeouts

19.8%▲23.8%

Last season, 177 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market20 listed · 20 eBay-verified · 13 not shown above
Listings
20

20 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$44.98
Median ask
$75.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$44.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$380.75

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 13 cards

  • —Chase Harlan 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st RC Auto PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chase Harlan Chrome Auto Green Refractor 1st #/99 DodgersPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chase Harlan Chrome Auto Purple Refractor /250 #CPA-CHA 1stPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CHA 1st Chrome Auto Purple Refractor /250 Chase HarlanPASS
  • $45.702024 Bowman Chrome Draft Chase Harlan 1st Auto #CPA-CHA Los Angeles DodgersPASS
  • $49.98Chase Harlan 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Auto CPA-CHA Los Angeles DodgersPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chase Harlan 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Los Angeles DodgersPASS
  • —Chase Harlan 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Auto CPA-CHA Dodgers QTY AvailablePASS
  • —Chase Harlan 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-CHA Chrome 1st AUTOPASS
  • $44.982024 Bowman Draft Chase Harlan 1st Bowman Auto CPA-CHAPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chase Harlan 1st Bowman Auto CPA-CHAPASS
  • —2024 Bowman Draft CHASE HARLAN Auto Autograph BLUE Wave Refractor 1st RC /150PASS
  • $75.992024 CHASE HARLAN 1st Bowman Auto HOTT BAT! DODGERS TOP PROSPECT .297BA .911OPSPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now