Deal Sniper

Byron Chourio

CF · High-A · 21.0y · #225 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

73 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Below market

His best base card asks $5.40 against the $5.50–9.99 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Byron Chourio Chrome Auto 1st… at $11.39. Player not there yet.

Our take

Solid prospect, and the market has not caught up.

Byron Chourio scores 73 out of 100 (#225 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $5–11 off 2 confirmed sales.

A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 44 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

  • Speed: plus

    55 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 92% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Power: plus

    .217 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 84% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Elite speed (92th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

  • Listed at your price — $5.40

    target is $7.99

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    44 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BCH — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 14 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$4.95–10.99midpoint $9.99

Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 15 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-BCH

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 14 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BCH Byron Chourio 1st Bowman Auto Minnesota Twins (b) at $15.69, 57% over the $5.50–9.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $5.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $4 drop
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: not a core card.

What is for sale right now

25 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 25 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 19 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Byron Chourio Mojo Refractor Auto

    Mojo Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    —

    sold $5.50–9.99

    PASS · 40% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman 1st Prospects Byron Chourio Auto Twins Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later

    $5.40

    sold $5.50–9.99

    LOTTERY · 46% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Byron Chourio PSA 9 MINT Auto 03cc

    Purple Refractor · PSA 9 · listed 28d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $33.99

    modeled ~$28.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Byron Chourio 2025 Bowman Chrome Mega Refractor Auto PSA 9 #BMA-BC Twins

    Refractor · PSA 9 · listed 314d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $34.90

    modeled ~$28.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Byron Chourio PSA 10 Auto 1co7

    Speckle Refractor · PSA 10 · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $149.19

    modeled ~$122.94

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Byron Chourio Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-BCH

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 539d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $5.50–9.99

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.40, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $5.40 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $18.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $18.99 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +252%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $27.67, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $27.67 live
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +46%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 58 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 58 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level

    20.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    60

    plus · better than 84% at his level

    .217 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    50

    average · better than 50% at his level

    11.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    64

    plus · better than 92% at his level

    55 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .909 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 75th percentile of the cohort, production at the 90th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 75 and his production sits at 90, a gap of -15. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 26th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.0 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

44

AVG

.297

OBP

.395

SLG

.514

OPS

.909

better than 90%

HR

2

SB

4

BB%

11.4

K%

20.5

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .574 to .909 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.574▲.909

Power

.041▲.217

Walks

17.0%▼11.4%

Strikeouts

20.7%→20.5%

Last season, 241 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 19 not shown above
Listings
25

25 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$5.40
Median ask
$13.61
Cheapest 1st auto
$11.39
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$18.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 19 cards

  • —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Byron Chourio #CPA-BCH Purple Refractor Auto /250PASS
  • $11.392024 Bowman Byron Chourio Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-BCH TwinsLOTTERY
  • $18.99Byron Chourio 2024 Bowman #CPA-BCH Refractor Chrome Auto 1st 036/499 ProspectLOTTERY
  • —Byron Chourio 2024 Bowman #CPA-BCH Refractor Chrome Auto 1st RC /499PASS
  • $27.672024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 275/299 Byron Chourio Auto 0a98PASS
  • $34.572024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Byron Chourio Auto 1s0bPASS
  • $11.90BYRON CHOURIO 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Autograph Auto #CPA-BCHPASS
  • $11.902024 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTO BYRON CHOURIO 1ST #CPA-BCH MINNESOTA TWINS RCPASS
  • $12.492024 Bowman - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Byron Chourio #CPA-BCH (AU, RC)PASS
  • $12.502024 Bowman Chrome Byron Chourio 1st Bowman Auto - Minnesota TwinsPASS
  • $12.502024 Bowman Chrome Byron Chourio 1st Bowman Auto - Minnesota TwinsPASS
  • $12.952024 Bowman Chrome Byron Chourio CPA-BCH 1st Base Prospect Auto Twins PASS
  • $12.982024 Bowman Byron Chourio 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-BCH Minnesota TwinsPASS
  • $12.992024 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECTS AUTO BYRON CHOURIO 1ST AUTOGRAPH #CPA-BCHPASS
  • $14.232024 Bowman Chrome Byron Chourio 1st Bowman Auto - Minnesota TwinsPASS
  • $14.982024 Bowman Byron Chourio #CPA-BCH 1st Prospect Chrome Auto Minnesota TwinsPASS
  • $15.242024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Byron Chourio - Twins - CPC-BCHPASS
  • $15.692024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-BCH Byron Chourio 1st Bowman Auto Minnesota Twins (b)PASS
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Byron Chourio 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-BCH TwinsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now