Sammy Stafura
SS · High-A · 21.0y · #222 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
73 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
33 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Stafura #CPA-SS… at $31.74. Needs a $11 drop.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Sammy Stafura scores 73 out of 100 (#222 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $19–31 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
Plate discipline: below average
9.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Power: plus-plus
.292 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 96% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: plus
37 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 78% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SS — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$18.75–31.25midpoint $25.00
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 3 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-SS
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Stafura 1st Bowman Auto New York Mets Rookie RC at $47.99, 81% over the $25–29.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $25 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $11 drop
- Player not there yet
- 2025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Stafura #CPA-SS… at or under $21.24 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
33 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 33 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 27 are under "The whole live market".
Sammy Stafura 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Orange Shimmer /25 Reds
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$855.00
modeled $33.75–131
PASS
Sammy Stafura 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Red X-fractor Auto /5 Reds - NY Mets
/5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $33.75–131
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Stafura RC 1st Auto Orange Wave Refractor /25 Reds!!
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $33.75–131
PASS
💥Sammy Stafura💥2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto True Gold Refractor /50🔥
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$530.25
modeled $27–105
PASS
Sammy Stafura 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Gold Shimmer Refractor /50 CPA-SS
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $27–105
PASS
Sammy Stafura 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Gold Shimmer Auto /50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 26d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $27–105
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $31.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $31.74 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $106.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $106.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +237%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $331.85, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $331.85 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +210%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $147.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $147.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -55%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $200.77, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $200.77 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +36%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $530.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $530.25 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +164%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Shimmer /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $855.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $855.00 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +61%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
46
below average · better than 34% at his level
29.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
68
plus-plus · better than 96% at his level
.292 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level
9.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
58
plus · better than 78% at his level
37 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
65
plus-plus · better than 93% at his level · the result, not a skill
.942 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, production at the 93th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 94% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 60 and his production sits at 93, a gap of -33. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 6th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.1 / 10
- hitting well — 0.942 OPS in 279 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
279
AVG
.288
OBP
.362
SLG
.580
OPS
.942
better than 93%
HR
19
SB
17
BB%
9.3
K%
29.0
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .799 to .942 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.799▲.942
Power
.151▲.292
Walks
15.2%▼9.3%
Strikeouts
24.5%▲29.0%
Last season, 420 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market33 listed · 33 eBay-verified · 27 not shown above
- Listings
- 33
- Lowest seen
- $31.74
- Median ask
- $189.82
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $31.74
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $106.98
33 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 8 hours ago.
The other 27 cards
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Sammy Stafura Gold Wave Refractor Auto /50 Reds #CPA-SSPASS
- —SAMMY STAFURA 2025 BOWMAN SAPPHIRE #CPS-SS GOLD REFRACTOR /50 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
- $354.742025 Bowman 1st Chrome Sammy Stafura Auto Yellow Refractor /75PASS
- —Sammy Stafura 1st Auto 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Yellow Refractor /75PASS
- $200.77Sammy Stafura 1st Auto 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Yellow Refractor /75PASS
- $147.982025 Bowman Chrome 1st Sammy Stafura True Green Refractor Auto /99 RC ProspectPASS
- $331.852025 Bowman Chrome 1st Sammy Stafura Auto Green Lava #24/99 (RC) Reds #CPA-SSPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Stafura 1st Auto TRUE GREEN 25/99 RC #CPA-SSPASS
- —Sammy Stafura 1st /99 2025 Bowman Chrome Green Sapphire Auto Reds Pirates MetsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Sammy Stafura Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Mets Green Grass /99PASS
- $106.982025 Bowman Chrome 1st Sammy Stafura Auto Blue X-Fractor /150 METS!PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Sammy Stafura Chrome Auto Auto 1st #/199 Pirates PASS
- —SAMMY STAFURA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH MINI DIAMOND AUTO /100 PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Sammy Stafura #CPA-SS 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499PASS
- —Sammy Stafura 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 CPA-SSPASS
- $112.502025 Bowman Sammy Stafura Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-SS Reds PSA 10 GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $156.892025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 220/499 Sammy Stafura PSA 9 MINT Auto 10z2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $508.992025 Bowman 1st Sammy Stafura CPA-SS MiniDiamond Auto /100 PSA Authentic Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $907.302025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Stafura Auto 1st True Green /99 PSA 10 NY MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps Bowman Chrome 2025 Sammy Stafura Reds #CPA-SS 1st Bowman Auto RC PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $31.742025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Stafura #CPA-SS 1st Bowman AUTO! METS PROSPECT!PASS
- $44.992025 Bowman Chrome 1st SAMMY STAFURA AUTO #CPA-SS New York MetsPASS
- $47.992025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Stafura 1st Bowman Auto New York Mets Rookie RCPASS
- $178.86Topps Bowman Sammy Stafura auto 1st 2 pcsPASS
- $350.99Topps Bowman Sammy Stafura auto 1st 2 piecesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Sammy Stafura Auto Mets Reds 1st ProspectPASS
- —Sammy Stafura 1st Auto 2025 Bowman #CPA-SS RedsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run