Pedro León
RF · Lehigh Valley IronPigs · Triple-A · 28.0y · #6207 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
15 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
15 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Pedro León scores 15 out of 100 (#6207 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus-plus — 91 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 99% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 53 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Old for the level
-2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.
Contact: well below
35.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.734 last season to .684 this one.
Power slipping
.181 last season to .043 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: plus-plus
91 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 99% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
53 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 37 on the 20–80 scale (35.8% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Corner-only profile
RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
15 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 15 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 9 are under "The whole live market".
2021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Leon 1st Prosect Auto Gold Shimmer /50 PSA 9
/50 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 510d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Pedro Leon 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto /50 CLEAN! 💎
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 755d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Pedro Leon 2021 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 gem mint Houston Astros
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 1297d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled ~$170.05
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Pedro Leon 2021 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto YELLOW Refractor /75 Astros 🔥🔥
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 755d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled ~$16.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Pedro Leon 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman GREEN Refractor Auto /99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 270d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$19.85
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Pedro Leon 2021 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-PL Astros / Phillies SGC 9.5
base · SGC 9.5 · listed 188d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Pedro León, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $14.38–$30.21, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $355.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $355.90 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
37
well below · better than 9% at his level
35.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
38
well below · better than 12% at his level
.043 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
52
average · better than 56% at his level
11.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
73
plus-plus · better than 99% at his level
91 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
46
below average · better than 33% at his level · the result, not a skill
.684 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill
-2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 44th percentile of the cohort, production at the 33th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 44 and his production sits at 33, a gap of +11. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 65th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
53
AVG
.283
OBP
.358
SLG
.326
OPS
.684
better than 33%
HR
0
SB
8
BB%
11.3
K%
35.8
Is this player getting better?
Down from .734 to .684 OPS this season — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.734▼.684
Power
.181▼.043
Walks
8.5%▲11.3%
Strikeouts
22.3%▲35.8%
Last season, 94 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market15 listed · 15 eBay-verified · 9 not shown above
- Listings
- 15
- Lowest live
- $28.77
- Median ask
- $192.33
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $355.90
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $355.90
15 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 9 cards
- $355.90PEDRO LEON 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st ATOMIC Refractor AUTO /100 Astros ⚾️💥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Leon Bowman 1st Refractor Auto #CPAPL Astros /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —PEDRO LEON 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto-Yellow Refractor /75 PSA 9 🔥🔥🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Bowman 2021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Leon Prospect Auto Refractor #CPA-PL /499 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Pedro Leon Auto 1st Bowman 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect #CPA-PL AstrosNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Pedro Leon 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto CPA-PL Houston AstrosNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Pedro Leon 2021 Bowman Chrome B&W Mini Diamond 1st Auto, Redemption, & Base 💎NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $28.772021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph Pedro Leon RC AUTO BGS 9 Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Pedro Leon 2021 Bowman Chrome Mega 🔥 Auto Mojo PSA 9 🔥 Astros ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run