Jose Pirela
CF · High-A · 20.0y · #64 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
82 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
28 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Jose Pirela…. Priced above value.
Our take
Strong prospect, untested market.
Jose Pirela scores 82 out of 100 (#64 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $3–10 off 4 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 44 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Speed: below average
0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Power: plus-plus
.305 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 97% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: plus
18.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 89% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
44 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Thin comp evidence
2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JP — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 11 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.84–9.99midpoint $4.99
Confirmed· 4 salesmost recent 2026-08-26 · 11 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JP
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 11 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Jose Pirela 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JP Guardians at $16.38, 228% over the $2.84–9.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $2.84 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
28 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 28 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 22 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Jose Pirela #CPA-JP True Black Refractor Auto /10 RC
/10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 104d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$308.98
modeled $5.11–41.96
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Jose Pirela 1st Orange Wave Auto /25 Breaker Exclusive!🔥🔥
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 474d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $5.11–41.96
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Jose Pirela 1st True Gold Auto /50 RC Guardians Prospect
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $4.09–33.57
PASS
2025 Chrome Bowman 1st Jose Pirela Auto /5 Red Lava #CPA-JP
/5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d
Seller risk · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$1005.16
modeled $5.11–41.96
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st CPA-JP Jose Pirela True Yellow Refractor Auto /75 RC
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$82.98
modeled $3.41–27.97
PASS
Jose Pirela 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto True Yellow /75 #CPA-JP Guardians
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $3.41–27.97
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- True Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $25.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $25.98 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +137%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- True Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $82.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $82.98 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Black Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $308.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $308.98 live
- Scarcity
- 10 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +272%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Red Lava /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $1005.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $1005.16 live
- Scarcity
- 5 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +225%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
45
below average · better than 31% at his level
29.5% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level
.305 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
62
plus · better than 89% at his level
18.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
68
plus-plus · better than 96% at his level · the result, not a skill
.992 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 96th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 96% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 96, a gap of -35. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 4th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
44
AVG
.278
OBP
.409
SLG
.583
OPS
.992
better than 96%
HR
2
SB
0
BB%
18.2
K%
29.5
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .618 to .992 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.618▲.992
Power
.120▲.305
Walks
6.9%▲18.2%
Strikeouts
32.8%▼29.5%
Last season, 360 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for2 logged sales
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Point at a dot to see that sale.
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 22 not shown above
- Listings
- 28
- Lowest seen
- $10.98
- Median ask
- $16.38
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $10.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $25.98
28 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 22 cards
- $87.982025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-JP Jose Pirela PSA 10 Gem Mt Mint RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jose Pirela 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Green Grass /99 #CPA-JP GuardiansPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Jose Pirela Guardians RC Rookie AUTO PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Jose Pirela Auto /100 Mini-Diamond Refractor CPA-JPPASS
- —Jose Pirela 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Mojo Refractor /150 #CPA-JP GuardiansPASS
- $25.982025 1st Bowman Chrome Jose Pirela True Purple Auto /250 CPA-JP (RC) GuardiansPASS
- —Jose Pirela 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor /299 #CPA-JP GuardiansPASS
- —2025 1st Bowman Chrome Jose Pirela Speckle Auto /299 CPA-JP (RC) GuardiansPASS
- —Jose Pirela 1st Auto Green Refractor /99 2025 Bowman #CPA-JP GuardiansPASS
- $10.98Jose Pirela 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie Auto #CPA-JP MLB Cleveland GuardiansPASS
- $11.312025 Bowman Jose Pirela Chrome Auto 1st Prospect GuardiansPASS
- $11.992025 Bowman Jose Pirela AUTO Chrome Guardians 1stPASS
- $12.00Jose Pirela- 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto- 1st Bowman GUARDIANS ProspectPASS
- $16.25Jose Pirela 2025 Bowman Chrome AUTO 1st Rookie RC GUARDIANS ProspectPASS
- $16.38Jose Pirela 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JP GuardiansPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Jose Pirela Rookie Auto RC GuardiansPASS
- —Topps Bowman 2025 Jose Pirela Guardians Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-JPPASS
- —Jose Pirela 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Blue X Fractor #CPA-JP GuardiansPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Jose Pirela on card auto GuardiansPASS
- —JOSE PIRELA - 2025 Bowman Chrome BASE AUTO 1st Bowman GUARDIANSPASS
- —Topps Bowman 2025 Chrome Auto Jose Pirela 1st Bowman #CPA-JPPASS
- —2025 Bowman Jose Pirela 1st Bowman CPA-JP Pearl Refractor Auto GuardiansPASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run