Eli Willits
SS · High-A · 18.0y · #60 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
82 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
47 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2025 Eli Willits 1st Bowman Chrome Auto… at $565. Needs a $271 drop.
Our take
Strong prospect, untested market.
Eli Willits scores 82 out of 100 (#60 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +5.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 100% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+5.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 100% of the players there.
Plate discipline: plus-plus
21.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 94% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 69/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: plus-plus
62 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 94% at his level.
Why now
Listed at your price — $204.00
target is $381.91
Listed at your price — $235.17
target is $509.22
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EW — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EW
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is ELI WILLITS 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Aqua Lava Refractor /199 2025 Bowman Draft RC at $756, 78% over the $425 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/199 at or under $425 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $271 drop
- 2025 Eli Willits 1st Bowman Chrome Auto… at or under $294 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
47 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 47 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 41 are under "The whole live market".
Eli Willits 2025 Bowman Chrome AUTO PSA 10 LAZER REFRACTOR 1ST NATIONALS #BDC-1
Refractor · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 68d
Evidence still thin
—
sold $850
WATCH · 65% under
Eli Willits 2025 Bowman Chrome AUTO PSA 10 SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR 1ST NATIONALS #1
Sapphire Refractor · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 68d
Evidence still thin
—
sold $850
WATCH · 59% under
Eli Willits 2025 Bowman Chrome AUTO PSA 10 SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR 1ST NATIONALS #1
Sapphire Refractor · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 68d
Evidence still thin
—
sold $850
WATCH · 59% under
Eli Willits 2026 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Green Refractor 1st RC Auto 70/99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Evidence still thin
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$204.00
modeled $441–660
WATCH
2025 Bowman Draft Mega Eli Willits /150 Blue Mojo Chrome Auto #BMA-EW PSA 10
/150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 3d
Not a core card · 1 other thing in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$905.98
modeled $1,275
WATCH
2026 Bowman Chrome Draft Eli Willits Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto 18/50 Nats
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Not a core card · 1 other thing in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$235.17
modeled $588–880
WATCH
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Eli Willits, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$207.98Buy31% under fair value
- Luke AdamsGold Lava Refractor · /50$199.99Watch
- Luke AdamsGold Lava Refractor · /50$199.97Watch
Compared within $102.00–$214.20, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $232.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $232.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $406.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $406.75 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +75%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $755.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $755.98 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +86%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $564.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $564.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $204.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $204.00 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -64%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $855.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $855.95 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +320%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $235.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $235.17 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -73%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
18 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 62 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 62 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level
18.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
57
above average · better than 76% at his level
.187 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
66
plus-plus · better than 94% at his level
21.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
66
plus-plus · better than 94% at his level
62 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
57
above average · better than 77% at his level · the result, not a skill
.811 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
80
elite · better than 100% at his level · context, not a skill
+5.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 87th percentile of the cohort, production at the 77th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 87 and his production sits at 77, a gap of +10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 64th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.7 / 10
- young for High-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
241
AVG
.220
OBP
.404
SLG
.407
OPS
.811
better than 77%
HR
7
SB
25
BB%
21.2
K%
18.3
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .757 to .811 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.757▲.811
Power
.060▲.187
Walks
12.1%▲21.2%
Strikeouts
20.7%▼18.3%
Last season, 58 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market47 listed · 47 eBay-verified · 41 not shown above
- Listings
- 47
- Lowest seen
- $204.00
- Median ask
- $309.45
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $204.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $204.00
47 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 41 cards
- —Eli Willits 2026 Bowman Chrome Green Lava Refractor Auto /99 CPA-EW RC AU CLEANWATCH
- —ELI WILLITS 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-EW CHROME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT NATIONALSWATCH
- $232.002025 Bowman Draft Eli Willits #CPA-EW Chrome Prospect Auto 1st BowmanWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Draft Eli Willits #CPA-EW 1st Bowman Chrome AutoWATCH
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Eli Willits CPA-EWWATCH
- —ELI WILLITS 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ROOKIE AUTO #CPA-EW NATIONALS Q3249WATCH
- —2025 1st Bowman Chrome Eli Willits Sparkle Auto /71 PSA 10 CPA-EWWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Draft Eli Willits Chrome Auto Aqua Lava Refractor 1st Prospect #/199WATCH
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Eli Willits Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-EW Nationals PSA 10WATCH
- $286.002025 Bowman Draft Eli Willits 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-EW NationalsWATCH
- $299.902025 Topps Bowman Chrome Eli Willits CPAEW 1st Bowman Auto RC Baseball CardWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Draft Eli Willits Nationals 1st Auto 🔥WATCH
- $755.98ELI WILLITS 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Aqua Lava Refractor /199 2025 Bowman Draft RCWATCH
- $406.752025 Bowman Draft Eli Willits Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Refractor #/499 NationalsWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Draft Eli Willits Nationals Chrome Auto Rookie CPA-EW PSA 10WATCH
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Eli Willits Speckle Refractor Auto #235/299PASS
- —2026 Bowman Draft Eli Willits Bowman 1st Auto CPA-EW Washington NationalsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Eli Willits #CPA-EW Auto Chrome Prospect Washington NationalsPASS
- —ELI WILLITS 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME MEGA BOX MOJO ON CARD RC AUTO NationalsPASS
- $279.99Eli Willits Signed Card 1st Bowman Refractor Autographed Auto PSA 10PASS
- $279.99Eli Willits Signed Card 1st Bowman Refractor Autographed Auto PSA 10PASS
- $530.542025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 194/499 Eli Willits #CPA-EW Auto 4k8PASS
- $299.99Eli Willits Signed Card 1st Bowman Chrome Aqua Blue Autographed Auto PSANEEDS EVIDENCE
- $305.71Eli Willits 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-EW PSA 9 WashingtonNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $305.992025 Bowman Draft Chrome Eli Willits Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-EW Nationals PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $656.482025 Bowman Draft Chrome Eli Willits Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-EW Nationals SGC-9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $3505.162025 Bowman Draft Sapphire Chrome Prospect Auto Eli Willits Orange /25 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Topps Bowman Draft Eli Willits 1st Bowman RC Auto #CPA-EW PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Topps Bowman Draft Eli Willits 1st Bowman RC Auto #CPA-EW PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Eli Willits 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman AUTO On Card Nationals PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Autograph 247/250 Eli Willits PSA 9 Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $312.902025 1st Bowman Draft On Card * Chrome Auto * Eli Willits #1 Pick RC NationalsPASS
- $348.75Eli Willits 2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-EW 1st Prospect Autograph On Card [AUTO]PASS
- $564.992025 Eli Willits 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Blue Wave /150 Nationals Rookie #CPA-EWPASS
- $855.952025 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Prospect Draft Night Auto Gold ELI WILLITS /50PASS
- —2025 First Bowman Chrome Eli Willits 1st Auto Black X-Fractor /10 SSPPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Draft Eli Willits 1st Bowman Auto CPA-EW Washington NationalsPASS
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Draft Eli Willits Nationals Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EWPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Eli Willits Chrome Auto 1st Refractor Sparkle #/71 NationalsPASS
- —Eli Willits 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Gold Achromatic Auto 41/50PASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Sapphire Eli Willits 1st Gold Auto /50 NationalsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run