Carson Taylor
1B · Tacoma Rainiers · Triple-A · 27.0y · #4913 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
29 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
35 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Carson Taylor scores 29 out of 100 (#4913 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: plus — 14.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 82% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — 1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Power: below average
.106 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
OPS slipping
2.179 last season to .670 this one.
Power slipping
.715 last season to .106 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: plus
14.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 82% at his level.
Bat-first profile
1B — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CT — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 22 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 24 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CT
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 22 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
35 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 35 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 29 are under "The whole live market".
Carson Taylor - 2021 Bowman Chrome Autograph - 1st Prospect ON-CARD AUTO
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 117d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$4.25
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
2021 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 1st Auto #CPA-CT L.A. Dodgers - CARSON TAYLOR
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$4.48
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
Carson Taylor AUTO 1st 2021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CT Los Angeles Dodgers
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 86d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.60
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
2021 BOWMAN CHROME CARSON TAYLOR CPA-CT 1ST RC AUTO DODGERS MCG 9
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$4.75
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
Carson Taylor - 2021 Bowman Chrome Autograph - 1st Prospect ON-CARD AUTO
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 762d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.95
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
2021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor #CPA-CT 1st Bowman Auto Dodgers
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 520d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$5.00
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.25 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.24 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +165%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.00 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +34%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.29 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -11%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.62 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +48%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level
20.2% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
44
below average · better than 28% at his level
.106 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
59
plus · better than 82% at his level
14.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
45
below average · better than 31% at his level
3 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
45
below average · better than 32% at his level · the result, not a skill
.670 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 51th percentile of the cohort, production at the 32th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 51 and his production sits at 32, a gap of +19. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 78th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.1 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
228
AVG
.226
OBP
.338
SLG
.332
OPS
.670
better than 32%
HR
3
SB
1
BB%
14.5
K%
20.2
Is this player getting better?
Down from 2.179 to .670 OPS this season — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
2.179▼.670
Power
.715▼.106
Walks
12.5%▲14.5%
Strikeouts
25.0%▼20.2%
Last season, 8 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market35 listed · 35 eBay-verified · 29 not shown above
- Listings
- 35
- Lowest live
- $4.25
- Median ask
- $7.73
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.25
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $11.24
35 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 29 cards
- $5.00Carson Taylor 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-CTPASS
- $5.492021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor 1st Bowman AUTO #CPA-CT Los Angeles DodgersPASS
- $6.102021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor #CPA-CT 1st Bowman Auto Los Angeles DodgersPASS
- $6.102021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor CPA-CT 1st Auto Los Angeles DodgersPASS
- $6.642021 Bowman Chrome CARSON TAYLOR 1st RC Auto DodgersPASS
- $7.002021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor 1st Auto #CPA-CT | Los Angeles DodgersPASS
- $7.50Carson Taylor 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto RC #CPACT LA DodgersPASS
- $7.952021 BOWMAN CHROME 1st CARSON TAYLOR RC ON CARD AUTO LOS ANGELES DODGERS OCAPASS
- $7.992021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor 1st Year AUTO #CPA-CT Rookie Card-DODGERSPASS
- $9.38CARSON TAYLOR 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH LA DODGERS ROOKIE AUTO INSERT RC!PASS
- $9.992021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph Prospect Carson Taylor LA DodgersPASS
- $11.242021 Bowman Chrome CARSON TAYLOR 1st RC Refractor AUTO 417/499 DodgersPASS
- $11.272021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Carson Taylor #CPA-CT Auto 0u46PASS
- $12.722021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 40/499 Carson Taylor #CPA-CT Auto 0u7kPASS
- $13.292021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 1/250 Carson Taylor Auto 0f5tPASS
- $15.00Carson Taylor 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Year Speckle Refractor Autograph Auto /299PASS
- $16.502021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor 1st Year AUTO #CPA-CT Rookie Card-DODGERSPASS
- $19.622021 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor 77/150 Carson Taylor Auto 0u7kPASS
- $20.992021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor 1st RC Rookie Auto Speckle Refractor /299PASS
- $33.892021 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Auto Carson Taylor PSA 10 Gem MintPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor 1st Bowman Blue Refractor Auto #/150 PSA 9PASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 DodgersPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Auto CARSON TAYLOR 1st Bowman RC Seattle MARINERS #CPA-CTPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPA-CT Carson Taylor 1st Auto RC ROOKIEPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor #CPA-CT 1st Bowman Auto DodgersPASS
- —2021 1st Bowman Chrome ~ Carson Taylor ~ #CPA-CT ~ Los Angeles Dodgers ~ AutoPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome CARSON TAYLOR 1st Bowman Autograph Auto RC DodgersPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor 1st Bowman Auto Speckle /299 Dodgers ProspectPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Carson Taylor 1st Auto Autograph #CPA-CT Dodgers First RCPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run