Deal Sniper

Carter Kieboom

3B · Triple-A · 28.0y · #4699 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

31 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

28 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Carter Kieboom scores 31 out of 100 (#4699 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: above average — 18.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 72% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.

  • Speed: below average

    0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • OPS slipping

    .817 last season to .766 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: above average

    18.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 72% at his level.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: not a core card.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

28 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 27 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 21 are under "The whole live market".

  • Carter Kieboom 2018 Bowman Chrome Auto BGS 9 / 10 Rc Autograph

    /10 · BGS 9 · listed 213d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $16.48

    no sold price

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2018 Bowman Chrome Carter Kieboom PROSPECT AUTO #BCPACK BGS 9.5 GEM MINT

    base · BGS 9.5 · listed 379d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $16.50

    no sold price

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • BGS 9.5 2018 Bowman Chrome CARTER KIEBOOM Auto A

    base · BGS 9.5 · listed 1445d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $19.98

    no sold price

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2018 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospects Autograph CARTER KIEBOOM Auto PSA 10 Gem Mint

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 18d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $20.98

    modeled ~$80.00

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 🔥🔥Carter Kieboom 2018 Bowman Chrome Auto Autograph BGS 9.5/10

    base · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 652d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $25.00

    no sold price

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2018 Bowman Chrome Prospect Carter Kieboom Autograph SGC 10 w/10 Auto

    /10 · SGC 10 · listed 906d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $26.50

    no sold price

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Carter Kieboom, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $8.24–$17.30, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in bgs 9.5 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing BGS 9.5 autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $16.50 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —

18 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 49 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    56

    above average · better than 72% at his level

    18.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    47

    average · better than 40% at his level

    .128 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    48

    average · better than 41% at his level

    9.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    51

    average · better than 54% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .766 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill

    -2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 46th percentile of the cohort, production at the 54th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 46 and his production sits at 54, a gap of -8. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 36th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.7 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

352

AVG

.280

OBP

.358

SLG

.408

OPS

.766

better than 54%

HR

7

SB

0

BB%

9.9

K%

18.5

Is this player getting better?

Down from .817 to .766 OPS this season.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.817▼.766

Power

.130→.128

Walks

7.5%▲9.9%

Strikeouts

18.9%→18.5%

Last season, 402 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 21 not shown above
Listings
28

28 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$16.48
Median ask
$28.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$26.58
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
—

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 21 cards

  • $26.582018 Bowman Chrome Autograph Carter Kieboom 1st Bowman Bgs 9.5 10 AutoPASS
  • $26.582018 Bowman Chrome Autograph Carter Kieboom 1st Bowman Bgs 9.5 10 AutoPASS
  • $27.092018 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Carter Kieboom PSA 9 MINT Auto 0fw9PASS
  • $27.092018 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Carter Kieboom PSA 9 MINT Auto 0fw9PASS
  • $27.99BGS 9.5/10 CARTER KIEBOOM AUTO 1st 2018 Bowman Chrome Prospects RC QUAD GEM MINTPASS
  • $29.992018 Bowman Chrome Carter Kieboom Green Atomic Refractor Auto 40/99 BGS 9/10PASS
  • $30.842018 Bowman Chrome Carter Kieboom Auto Autograph Pre Rookie BGS 9.5 10 GEM MINTPASS
  • $31.49CARTER KIEBOOM 2018 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTO BGS 9.5 10 AUPASS
  • $31.99CARTER KIEBOOM AUTO 2018 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph RC SGC 9.5 GEM MINTPASS
  • $35.142018 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor Carter Kieboom PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 06z2PASS
  • $35.50Carter Kieboom 2018 Bowman Chrome AUTO Green ATOMIC Refractor /99 RC PSA Mint 9PASS
  • $37.442018 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Carter Kieboom PSA 10 Auto 0fw9PASS
  • $39.952018 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Mojo Refractor Auto /150 Carter Kieboom PSA 10PASS
  • $40.892018 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Carter Kieboom BGS 9 MINT Auto ya6PASS
  • $40.892018 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor Carter Kieboom BGS 9 MINT Auto ya6PASS
  • $139.952019 Bowman Chrome AFL 1/1 Superfractor Carter Kieboom Auto AutographPASS
  • —2018 Bowman Chrome Carter Kieboom Purple Refractor Auto /250 1st Nationals RCPASS
  • —Carter Kieboom 2019 Bowman Chrome Auto Autograph BGS 9.5/10PASS
  • —2018 Bowman Chrome - Carter Kieboom Rookie Auto PSA 9 #BCPA-CK (AU, RC)PASS
  • —2018 Bowman Chrome Base Auto Carter Kieboom Nationals Prospect BGS 9 10 MINTPASS
  • —Carter Kieboom 2018 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Auto SGC 10 BCPA-CK RCPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now