Luca Tresh
C · Omaha Storm Chasers · Triple-A · 26.0y · #4662 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
32 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
42 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Luca Tresh scores 32 out of 100 (#4662 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: premium position — C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Plate discipline: well below
5.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
OPS slipping
.794 last season to .731 this one.
Power slipping
.214 last season to .137 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
C sells at a discount at equal production; 26.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 22 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 24 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 22 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
42 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 42 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 36 are under "The whole live market".
Luca Tresh Auto 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Kansas City Royals
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 55d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$4.40
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
2022 Bowman Chrome LUCA TRESH 1st Rookie Prospect Auto Kansas City Royals RC
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1143d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.55
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
2022 Bowman #CPA-LTS Luca Tresh Chrome Prospects Auto 1st - Free Shipping
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 440d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.98
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
Luca Tresh 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-LTS 1st Bowman Royals
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 93d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.99
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
Luca Tresh 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Royals
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 109d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.99
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
Luca Tresh 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Royals
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 318d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.99
modeled ~$8.00
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.40, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.40 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.00 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +105%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $31.12, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $31.12 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +246%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
10 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 44 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 44 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
42
below average · better than 21% at his level
29.3% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
48
average · better than 44% at his level
.137 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
40
well below · better than 15% at his level
5.9% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level
2 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
48
average · better than 44% at his level · the result, not a skill
.731 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
52
average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 28th percentile of the cohort, production at the 44th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 28 and his production sits at 44, a gap of -16. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 24th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.4 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
341
AVG
.273
OBP
.321
SLG
.410
OPS
.731
better than 44%
HR
9
SB
1
BB%
5.9
K%
29.3
Is this player getting better?
Down from .794 to .731 OPS this season.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.794▼.731
Power
.214▼.137
Walks
7.7%▼5.9%
Strikeouts
21.8%▲29.3%
Last season, 271 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market42 listed · 42 eBay-verified · 36 not shown above
- Listings
- 42
- Lowest live
- $4.40
- Median ask
- $9.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.40
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $9.00
42 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 36 cards
- $5.502022 Bowman Chrome Luca Tresh 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-LTS RoyalsPASS
- $5.752022 Bowman Chrome Luca Tresh 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-LTS Royals I247PASS
- $5.982022 Bowman Luca Tresh 1st Bwmn Chrome Auto #CPA-LTS. Royals PASS
- $6.002022 Bowman Chrome Luca Tresh 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-LTS RoyalsPASS
- $6.482022 Bowman #CPA-LTS Luca Tresh Chrome Prospects Bowman 1st Auto RC 📈PASS
- $7.17Luca Tresh 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st #BCP-136 Kansas City Royals Auto Signed CardPASS
- $7.282022 Bowman Chrome LUCA TRESH 1st Rookie Prospect Auto Kansas City Royals RCPASS
- $8.242022 Bowman Chrome Luca Tresh 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-LTS RoyalsPASS
- $9.002022 Bowman Chrome Autograph Refractor #CPA-LTS Luca Tresh Auto 1st /499 RoyalsPASS
- $9.32Luca Tresh 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Refractor /499 RoyalsPASS
- $10.002022 Bowman Chrome Luca Tresh Auto 1st Kansas City Royals ProspectPASS
- $12.502022 1st Bowman Chrome Luca Tresh Auto Kansas City RoyalsPASS
- $13.582022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 356/499 Luca Tresh #CPA-LTS Auto 0o6vPASS
- $14.00LUCA TRESH Rookie Autograph 2022 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Refractor /499PASS
- $14.99Luca Tresh 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-LTS *Royals Prospect*PASS
- $15.132022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 213/499 Luca Tresh #CPA-LTS Auto 1n8aPASS
- $17.30LUCA TRESH 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ROOKIE AUTO #CPA-LTS ROYALS Q7647PASS
- $20.002022 Bowman Chrome Luca Tresh 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /250 PSA 9 RoyalsPASS
- $31.122022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Luca Tresh #CPA-LTS Auto 06qfPASS
- $35.002022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Luca Tresh 1st Chrome Atomic Ref Auto /100 PSA 9PASS
- $36.292022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Atomic Refractor Luca Tresh SGC 9.5 Mint+ Auto 0q21PASS
- $106.982022 Bowman Luca Tresh 1st Bowman Green Auto PSA 10 GEM MINT! PASS
- $373.962022 1st Bowman Chrome - Prospect Refractor- Auto Luca Tresh # CPA-LTS PSA10/10PASS
- —2022 Bowman #CPA-LTS Luca Tresh Chrome Prospects Bowman 1st Auto RC 📈PASS
- —2022 1st Bowman Chrome Luca Tresh Prospects Auto #CPA-LTS RoyalsPASS
- —LUCA TRESH 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-LTS Kansas City RoyalsPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Luca Tresh #CPA-LTS Pre Rookie RCPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Luca Tresh #CPA-LTS Rookie RCPASS
- —LUCA TRESH 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH SPECKLE AUTO /299 KCPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Luca Tresh Auto 1st Bowman RoyalsPASS
- —PSA 10 Luca Tresh AUTO 1st 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph PASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Luca Tresh 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-ALTS Royals PSA 9 - Pop 2PASS
- —PSA 10 Luca Tresh AUTO 1st 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph PASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-LTS Luca Tresh - PSA 10PASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st LUCA TRESH Auto Yellow Refractor #’d /75!! ROYALS PSA 9!PASS
- —2022 1st Bowman Chrome Luca Tresh Prospects Auto #CPA-LTS RoyalsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run