Deal Sniper

Charles McAdoo

2B · Buffalo Bisons · Triple-A · 24.0y · #286 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

70 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Below market

His best /150 asks $45.16 against the $50–85 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Charles McAdoo /150… at $45.16. Player not there yet.

Our take

Solid prospect, and the market has not caught up.

Charles McAdoo scores 70 out of 100 (#286 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • Power: above average

    .196 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 71% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Double-A to Triple-A.

  • Premium position

    2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    12.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 66% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    24.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

  • Listed at your price — $45.16

    target is $68.00

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

/150$45.16delivered

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Charles McAdoo /150 Auto — $45.16 delivered, 47% under the $50–85 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.

See it on eBay

What would make this a buy

  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

55 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 54 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 48 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Charles McAdoo /150 Auto

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d

    Player not there yet

    $45.16

    sold $50–85

    WATCH · 47% under

  • 2025 Bowman Prospect Autographs Charles McAdoo 1st Auto Paper Blue Jays Call Up

    Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 90h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $15–20

    WATCH · 41% under

  • Charles McAdoo 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Gold Shimmer Auto /50 RC SP Blue Jays

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $145.98

    sold $140

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Charles McAdoo Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-CMA Blue Jays

    Blue · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Needs a $4 drop · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $16.98

    sold $15–20

    LOTTERY · 0% under

  • 2025 Bowman - CHARLES McADOO - /299 Speckle Auto 1st Blue Jays Chrome Prospect

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $34.99–36

    PASS

  • Charles McAdoo 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st HTA Choice Auto /150 PSA 10 Blue Jays

    /150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 92d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $89.99

    PASS

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Charles McAdoo, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $8.49–$17.83, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BlueTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $46.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +171%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $45.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -2%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $55.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +24%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $93.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +67%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $145.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +56%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    51

    average · better than 52% at his level

    22.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    56

    above average · better than 71% at his level

    .196 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level

    12.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level

    19 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    55

    above average · better than 70% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .831 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 64th percentile of the cohort, production at the 70th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 64 and his production sits at 70, a gap of -6. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 38th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.4 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.831 OPS in 385 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

385

AVG

.269

OBP

.366

SLG

.465

OPS

.831

better than 70%

HR

16

SB

12

BB%

12.5

K%

22.3

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .731 to .831 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.731.831

Power

.166.196

Walks

9.1%12.5%

Strikeouts

27.7%22.3%

Last season, 494 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market55 listed · 55 eBay-verified · 48 not shown above
Listings
55

55 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$16.98
Median ask
$55.94
Cheapest 1st auto
$16.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$45.16

Latest eBay verification: 1 hour ago.

The other 48 cards

  • Charles McAdoo 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st HTA Choice Auto /150 PSA 10 Blue JaysPASS
  • Charles McAdoo 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Refractor Auto #’d /499 Blue JaysPASS
  • $93.50Charles McAdoo Auto True Blue #/150 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Blue JaysPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Charles McAdoo Auto Gold Border /50 1st ProspectPASS
  • $212.582025 Bowman: Charles McAdoo - Gold 1st Prospect Auto /50 (PSA 10)PASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA SPECKLE /299 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEMPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA SPECKLE REFRACTOR /299 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA SPECKLE REFRACTOR /299 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • $18.75CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN 1ST AUTO BASEBALL #BPA-CM BLUE JAYS Q3562LOTTERY
  • $55.942025 Bowman Charles McAdoo 1st Blue Auto • #BPA-CM • 54/150PASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA GREEN /99 1ST AUTO PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $46.002025 1st Bowman Auto Charles McAdoo Speckle /299PASS
  • $161.99Charles McAdoo 1st 2025 Bowman Auto Blue X‑Fractor /150 Blue Jays #CPA‑CMAPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Charles McAdoo Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-CMA Blue JaysPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Charles McAdoo Chrome Auto Green Refractor #/99 Blue Jays 1st RCPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Charles McAdoo 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-CM Toronto Blue JaysPASS
  • 2025 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Charles McAdoo Prospect Base Auto RC Blue JaysPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Charles Mcadoo 1st True Gold Auto /50 #CPA-CMA Blue Jays SSPPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Charles McAdoo Chrome 1st True Green Refractor Auto /99 Blue JaysPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Charles McAdoo Chrome Auto Green Refractor #/99 Blue Jays 1st RCPASS
  • Charles McAdoo 1st Bowman Chrome Auto /25 Orange Wave Refractor #CPA-CMAPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA CHROME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT BLUE JAYSPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA YELLOW REFRACTOR /75 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA REFRACTOR /499 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA REPTILIAN GREEN REFRACTOR /99 1ST AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA REFRACTOR /499 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA GREEN GRASS REFRACTOR /99 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA GOLD REFRACTOR /50 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA MINI DIAMOND REFRACTOR /100 1ST AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA GREEN GRASS REFRACTOR /99 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA HTA CHOICE REFRACTOR /150 1ST AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA YELLOW REFRACTOR /75 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA YELLOW REFRACTOR /75 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA REFRACTOR /499 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA GREEN GRASS REFRACTOR /99 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA GREEN GRASS REFRACTOR /99 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA TRUE GREEN REFRACTOR /99 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA GREEN GRASS REFRACTOR /99 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA TRUE ORANGE /25 1ST PROSPECT AUTO SEALEDPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA PURPLE REFRACTOR /250 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA REFRACTOR /499 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA REFRACTOR /499 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA MINI DIAMOND REFRACTOR /100 1ST AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA REFRACTOR /499 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA GREEN LAVA REFRACTOR /99 1ST AUTO SEALEDPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA PURPLE REFRACTOR /250 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA BLUE X-FRACTOR /150 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • CHARLES MCADOO 2025 BOWMAN #CPA-CMA ORANGE SHIMMER REFRACTOR /25 1ST AUTO SEALEDPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player