Deal Sniper

Jonatan Clase

LF · Buffalo Bisons · Triple-A · 24.0y · #2139 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

40 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Jonatan Clase… at $16.94. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Jonatan Clase scores 48 out of 100 (#2139 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — lF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • OPS slipping

    .738 last season to .680 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus-plus

    47 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 94% at his level.

  • Bat-first profile

    LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • Plate discipline: above average

    12.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 69% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Corner-only profile

    LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 9 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 10 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 9 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $5.99 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

40 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 38 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 32 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Jonatan Clase Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-JCL Mariners

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 14d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.99

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • Jonatan Clase 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman RC Auto #CPA-JCL Blue Jays

    Blue · raw · condition not stated · listed 88d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.99

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph #BCP-JCL Jonatan Clase 1st Auto Mariners

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 336d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.00

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Jonatan Clase Auto Seattle Mariners No COA

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 159d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.00

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2022 Bowman Jonatan Clase CPA-JCL 1st Chrome Auto Toronto Blue Jays

    Blue · raw · condition not stated · listed 44d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.59

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2022 Bowman Jonatan Clase CPA-JCL 1st Chrome Auto Toronto Blue Jays

    Blue · raw · condition not stated · listed 44d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.59

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • BlueTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +17%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +100%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $299.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +2044%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.68, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -93%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

20 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    47

    average · better than 40% at his level

    24.9% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level

    .136 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    55

    above average · better than 69% at his level

    12.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 94% at his level

    47 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    46

    below average · better than 33% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .680 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 62th percentile of the cohort, production at the 33th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 90% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 62 and his production sits at 33, a gap of +29. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 90th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.0 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

217

AVG

.223

OBP

.321

SLG

.359

OPS

.680

better than 33%

HR

5

SB

17

BB%

12.9

K%

24.9

Is this player getting better?

Down from .738 to .680 OPS this season.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.738.680

Power

.148.136

Walks

9.9%12.9%

Strikeouts

25.6%24.9%

Last season, 352 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market40 listed · 40 eBay-verified · 32 not shown above
Listings
40

40 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$5.99
Median ask
$15.84
Cheapest 1st auto
$5.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$19.68

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 32 cards

  • $10.052022 Bowman Chrome Jonatan Clase #CPA-JCL Autograph Auto 1st ProspectLOTTERY
  • $11.312022 Bowman JONATAN CLASE 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-JCL Seattle MarinersLOTTERY
  • $13.98JONATAN CLASE 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto 1stLOTTERY
  • $13.98JONATAN CLASE 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto 1stLOTTERY
  • $13.99JONATAN CLASE 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST MEGA BOX REFRACTOR RC AUTO #BCMA-JCLOTTERY
  • $15.312022 Bowman Chrome JONATAN CLASE 1st Auto Rookie Mariners Toronto Blue JaysLOTTERY
  • $16.36Jonatan Clase 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman RC Auto #CPA-JCL Blue JaysLOTTERY
  • $16.942022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Jonatan Clase 1st Auto PSA 9 Seattle Mariners #JCLOTTERY
  • $19.68JONATAN CLASE 2022 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto 9/250 1stLOTTERY
  • $24.992022 Bowman Mega Chrome Mojo Green Refractor /99 Jonatan Clase Auto SGC 10 9.5LOTTERY
  • $25.002022 Bowman Chrome 1st RC Auto Jonatan Clase SGC Mint 9 Seattle MarinersLOTTERY
  • $25.982022 1ST BOWMAN JONATAN CLASE CHROME PROSPECT AUTO #CPAJCL PSA MINT 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $31.002022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto JONATAN CLASE PSA 10 GEM MTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $32.982022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPA-JCL Jonatan Clase SGC 10 Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $35.142022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Jonatan Clase PSA 9 MINT Auto 2l4NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $39.50Jonatan Clase 2022 1st Bowman Chrome RARE AUTO ROOKIE (RC) #CPA-JCL | PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $39.952022 Bowman Jonatan Clase 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Seattle Mariners PSA 9 MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $299.992022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Jonatan Clase CPA-JCL #050/299NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jonatan Clase 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jonatan Clase 2022 Bowman Sapphire BSPA-JC 🔥 Auto 1st PSA 10 🔥 Chrome MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jonatan Clase 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-JCL MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Jonatan Clase Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JCL MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Jonatan Clase Chrome Prospect Auto Refractor #/499 Mariners PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jonatan Clase 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto Refractor /499 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Jonatan Clase 1st Prospect Auto PSA 9 MINT Seattle MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Topps Bowman Chrome Jonatan Clase Speckle /299 BGS 9 Mariners Auto RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jonatan Clase 2022 Bowman Chrome 1ST Prospect AUTO PSA 10 GEM MINT 💎NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jonatan Clase 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 1st Bowman #CPA-JCL Blue JaysNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto Jonatan Clase PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Jonatan Clase 1st Auto PSA 10 Green /50 MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Sapphire Jonatan Clase Aqua Auto /99 RC Mint PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Yellow Refractor Jonatan Clase Auto 36/75 PSA 9PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player