Deal Sniper

Tommy White

3B · Las Vegas Aviators · Triple-A · 23.0y · #198 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

74 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Below market

His best Refractor asks $2.43 against the $25–31 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is TOMMY WHITE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-TWH… at $32.79. Needs a $10 drop.

Our take

Solid prospect, and the market has not caught up.

Tommy White scores 74 out of 100 (#198 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $25–31 off 4 confirmed sales.

A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: well below

    4.8% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Power slipping

    .201 last season to .186 this one.

  • Contact: plus

    13.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 89% at his level.

  • The case is strengthening

    Baseball momentum 69/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Triple-A.

Why now

  • Listed at your price — $2.43

    target is $23.42

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TWH — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 8 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$25–31midpoint $29.28

Confirmed· 4 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 11 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-TWH

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 8 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Base$2.43delivered

2025 Bowman Chrome Refractor Tommy White Auto Athletics #CPA-TWH — $2.43 delivered, 92% under the $25–31 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.

See it on eBay

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $10 drop
  • Player not there yet
  • TOMMY WHITE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-TWH… at or under $23.42 delivered.
  • On his best-priced card: not a core card.

What is for sale right now

54 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 53 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 47 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Refractor Tommy White Auto Athletics #CPA-TWH

    Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $2.43

    sold $25–31

    LOTTERY · 92% under

  • TOMMY WHITE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-TWH AUTO 1ST PROSPECT ATHLETICS

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $25–31

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White True Black Refractor Auto 1st /10 Athletics LSU

    /10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 86h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $1495.00

    modeled $45–130

    PASS

  • TOMMY WHITE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-TWH AUTO 1ST PROSPECT ATHLETICS

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 0d

    Needs a $10 drop · 1 other thing in the way

    $32.79

    sold $25–31

    PASS

  • 🔥🔥🔥2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Tommy White Yellow Auto /75🔥🔥🔥

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 0d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $206.79

    modeled $30–86.80

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st bowman auto Tommy White true yellow 60/75

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 33d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $30–86.80

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder13 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $32.79, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.43, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -93%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $312.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +12777%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $300.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -4%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $105.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -65%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mojo /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $128.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +22%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $296.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +130%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $365.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +23%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $355.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -3%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $334.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -6%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Reptilian /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $282.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -16%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $206.79, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -27%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Black Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $1495.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    10 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +623%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    62

    plus · better than 89% at his level

    13.9% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    55

    above average · better than 68% at his level

    .186 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    38

    well below · better than 11% at his level

    4.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level

    2 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    56

    above average · better than 71% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .834 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 50th percentile of the cohort, production at the 71th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 82% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 50 and his production sits at 71, a gap of -21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 18th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.9 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.834 OPS in 252 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

252

AVG

.303

OBP

.345

SLG

.489

OPS

.834

better than 71%

HR

9

SB

1

BB%

4.8

K%

13.9

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .787 to .834 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.787.834

Power

.201.186

Walks

7.8%4.8%

Strikeouts

13.1%13.9%

Last season, 282 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market54 listed · 54 eBay-verified · 47 not shown above
Listings
54

54 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.43
Median ask
$289.62
Cheapest 1st auto
$32.79
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$105.98

Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.

The other 47 cards

  • 2025 Tommy White /75 Auto Yellow Refractor 1st Bowman Chrome ProspectsPASS
  • $282.752025 Bowman 1st Chrome Tommy White Auto Green Reptilian 1/99 COLOR MATCH 💚 PASS
  • $334.982025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White 1st Bowman Green Refractor Auto /99 – AthleticsPASS
  • $355.162025 Bowman Chrome- Tommy White 1st Bowman Chrome Green Lava Auto /99 (Call Up)PASS
  • $365.002025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White 1ST Chrome Prospects Auto Green /99 #CPA-TWHPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White 1st Auto True Green Refractor /99 Color Match ☎️PASS
  • TOMMY WHITE #/99 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST Green Reptilian autoPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White Green Reptilian Auto 24/99🔥 1st bowman autoPASS
  • 2025 Tommy White Bowman Chrome Auto /99 Green Lava A’s 1stPASS
  • Tommy White 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Green Lava /99 1st bowman autoPASS
  • $128.952025 Bowman Chrome 1st Tommy White Mojo Auto /150 #CPA-TWHPASS
  • $296.48Tommy White 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto True Blue /150 #CPA-TWHPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White #CPA-TWH 1st Auto Mini Diamonds Refractor 88/100PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Tommy White True Blue /150PASS
  • 2025 1st BOWMAN CHROME AUTO TRUE BLUE REFRACTOR TOMMY WHITE /150PASS
  • 2025 1st BOWMAN CHROME AUTO TRUE BLUE REFRACTOR TOMMY WHITE /150PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White 1ST Chrome Prospects Auto Green /99 #CPA-TWHPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White #CPA-TWH Auto Mini Diamond Refractor /100 1stPASS
  • TOMMY WHITE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-TWH HTA CHOICE REFRACTOR /150 1ST AUTOPASS
  • $105.982025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Tommy White True Purple Refractor Auto /250PASS
  • $300.002025 Bowman Chrome - Tommy White 1st Bowman Auto PURPLE REFRACTOR #CPA-TWH /250PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-TWH Tommy White 1st Bowman Auto /250PASS
  • TOMMY WHITE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-TWH SPECKLE REFRACTOR /299 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
  • $312.902025 1st Bowman Chrome /499 Tommy White * Refractor Auto * A’s ProspectPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 AthleticsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Tommy White 1st True Blue Auto /150 - AthleticsPASS
  • Tommy White /150 Auto True Blue Bowman 2025 A’s 1st 🔥PASS
  • 2025 Bowman 1st Tommy White Blue Auto /150PASS
  • $361.99Tommy White signed auto 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Green Refractor /99 PSA Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Tommy White Chrome Prospect Auto Bowman 1st PSA 9 - 2025 BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-TWH Tommy White Auto 9 Orange Shimmer PSA 9 #/25NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White Speckle Auto /299 PSA 9 1st bowman autoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Tommy White 1st Bowman /100 Auto PSA 9 MINI DIAMOND RC #CPATWHNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White 1st Auto True Green Refractor /99 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Tommy White 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Auto /150 HTA Choice PSA 10 Gem MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 🔥Tommy White 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 10 #CPA-TWHNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $44.992025 Bowman Tommy White Chrome Auto 1st Bowman CPATWHPASS
  • $50.002025 Bowman Tommy White #CPA-TWH Chrome 1st AutoPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White 1st Prospect Auto Athletics CPA-TWHPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome TOMMY WHITE #CPA-TWH 1st Bowman Auto A'sPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome TOMMY WHITE #CPA-TWH 1st Bowman Auto A'sPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome TOMMY WHITE #CPA-TWH 1st Bowman Auto A'sPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome TOMMY WHITE #CPA-TWH 1st Bowman Auto A'sPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-TWH AthleticsPASS
  • Tommy White /250 Auto Purple 2025 1st Bowman Draft Chrome #CPA-TWH Athletics LSUPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Tommy White Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-TWH AthleticsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Tommy White 1ST ROOKIE ON CARD AUTO ATHLETICSPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player