Deal Sniper

Michael Massey

2B · Omaha Storm Chasers · Triple-A · 28.0y · #3506 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

39 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

41 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

These sell around $420.00 and this is $82.99 delivered.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Michael Massey scores 39 out of 100 (#3506 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .250 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 87% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 12 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: well below

    0.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: plus

    .250 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 87% at his level.

  • Premium position

    2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Contact: plus

    16.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 79% at his level.

Why now

  • Listed at your price — $82.99

    target is $336.00

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    12 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MMY — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MMY

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Michael Massey Auto 19n6 at $19.73, 558% over the $3 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $3 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

41 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 41 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 35 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Michael Massey 1st Chrome Prospect Orange Auto /25 PSA 10

    /25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 5d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $82.99

    modeled $420

    PASS

  • 2020 Bowman Chrome MICHAEL MASSEY Auto BLUE REFRACTOR #’D 53/150 {PSA 9}

    /150 · PSA 9 · listed 190d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $40.74

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Michael Massey 1st Auto 2024 Bowman #CPA-MMY Peanuts Refractor Auto 5/5 SGC 9.5

    /5 · SGC 9.5 · takes offers · listed 333d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Michael Massey Chrome Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st #/150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 100d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $4.50

    PASS

  • MICHAEL MASSEY 2024 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST CHOICE HTA AUTO /150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 543d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $4.50

    PASS

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Michael Massey 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto #/250

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 525d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.99

    modeled $3.90

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.33, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +295%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -42%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -11%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $34.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +246%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $33.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -2%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    58

    plus · better than 79% at his level

    16.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level

    .250 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    35

    well below · better than 7% at his level

    0.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    50

    average · better than 49% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .750 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill

    -2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 51th percentile of the cohort, production at the 49th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 51 and his production sits at 49, a gap of +2. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 50th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.3 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

12

AVG

.250

OBP

.250

SLG

.500

OPS

.750

better than 49%

HR

1

SB

0

BB%

0.0

K%

16.7

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market41 listed · 41 eBay-verified · 35 not shown above
Listings
41

41 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$4.90
Median ask
$11.28
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.90
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$9.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 35 cards

  • $10.34Michael Massey 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Purple Refractor Auto /250 1st ProspectLOTTERY
  • MICHAEL MASSEY 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BLUE REFRACTOR RC AUTO 058/250 #CPA-MMYPASS
  • $11.442024 Bowman Draft Chrome - Michael Massey 1st Auto Refractor /499LOTTERY
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Michael Massey Rookie 1st REFRACTOR AUTO /499 TigersPASS
  • Michael Massey Tigers Auto Refractor 2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect /499PASS
  • $4.902024 Bowman Draft Chrome MICHAEL MASSEY RC 1st Auto Detroit TigersLOTTERY
  • $6.492024 Bowman Draft Chrome Michael Massey Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-MMYLOTTERY
  • $7.982024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MMY Michael Massey 1st Auto Detroit TigersLOTTERY
  • $8.922024 Michael Massey 1st Bowman Draft ⚾️ CHROME ON CARD AUTO!⚾️FREE SHIPPING!🔥🔥LOTTERY
  • $9.98Michael Massey Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie Auto #CPA-MMY 2024 MLB Detroit TigersLOTTERY
  • $11.322024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-MMY Michael Massey 1st Auto Detroit TigersLOTTERY
  • $12.982024 Bowman Draft Baseball Chrome 1st Auto CPA-MMY Tigers - MICHAEL MASSEYLOTTERY
  • $13.99MICHAEL MASSEY 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-MMYLOTTERY
  • $33.942024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 81/99 Michael Massey Auto 0xy0PASS
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Michael Massey Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-MMY TigersPASS
  • Michael Massey 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Detroit TigersPASS
  • Michael Massey Rookie Auto Bowman Chrome 1st 2024 RCPASS
  • Michael Massey 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Detroit TigersPASS
  • Michael Massey 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-MMYPASS
  • MICHAEL MASSEY 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-MMY CHROME PROSPECT 1ST BASE AUTO / TIGERSPASS
  • Michael Massey 2024 Topps 1st Bowman Chrome Auto # CPA-MMY TigersPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Michael Massey 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-MMY TigersPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Michael Massey 1st AutoPASS
  • $34.572024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor 37/150 Michael Massey Auto f0rPASS
  • $23.072024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Michael Massey Auto 1q0lLOTTERY
  • $11.242024 Bowman Draft Chrome Michael Massey Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-MMY TigersLOTTERY
  • $12.722024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 194/499 Michael Massey Auto 1o7bLOTTERY
  • $17.022020 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 484/499 Michael Massey #CPA-MM Auto 12jjLOTTERY
  • $8.122024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Michael Massey #CPA-MMY Auto 4k8LOTTERY
  • $8.122024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Michael Massey #CPA-MMY Auto 17acLOTTERY
  • $8.912024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Michael Massey #CPA-MMY Auto 05jaLOTTERY
  • $8.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Michael Massey #CPA-MMY Auto 0wr9LOTTERY
  • $10.932024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Michael Massey #CPA-MMY Auto 5h0LOTTERY
  • $19.332024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Michael Massey Auto 1l9bLOTTERY
  • $19.732024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Michael Massey Auto 19n6LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player