Deal Sniper

Jesus Tillero

SP · Ontario Tower Buzzers · Low-A · 20.0y · #3267 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

41 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Priced fairly

His best base card asks $10.24, inside the $4.03–11 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Jesus Tillero 1st Auto…. Player not there yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, priced about right.

Jesus Tillero scores 41 out of 100 (#3267 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $4–12 off 2 confirmed sales.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JT — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 12 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$3.63–12.10midpoint $11.00

Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 12 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JT

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 12 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Base$10.24delivered

⚾️Jesus Tillero 2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-JT Los Angeles Dodgers 1st Bowman Auto🔥 — $10.24 delivered, 7% under the $4.03–11 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.

See it on eBay

What would make this a buy

  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

22 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 21 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 15 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jesus Tillero 1st Auto #CPA-JT Dodgers

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Player not there yet

    Data staleLast confirmed live 59h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $4.03–11

    PASS · 59% under

  • 2025 1st Bowman Chrome - Jesus Tillero #CPA-JT Green Grass Auto /99 PSA 10

    /99 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 40d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Jesus Tillero 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st HTA Choice Refractor Auto /150 Dodgers

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 60d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $3.26–25.41

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Jesus Tillero on card auto - Dodgers

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 478d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $4.03–11

    PASS · 9% under

  • ⚾️Jesus Tillero 2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-JT Los Angeles Dodgers 1st Bowman Auto🔥

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 26d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.24

    sold $4.03–11

    LOTTERY · 7% under

  • Jesus Tillero 2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-JT Los Angeles Dodgers 1st Bowman Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 88d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 58h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.31

    sold $4.03–11

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.10, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +28%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.34, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +25%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $53.83, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +229%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $20.64, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -62%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $51.81, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +151%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    60

    plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.8 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market22 listed · 22 eBay-verified · 15 not shown above
Listings
22

22 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$10.24
Median ask
$15.58
Cheapest 1st auto
$10.24
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$13.10

Latest eBay verification: 15 hours ago.

The other 15 cards

  • 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Jesus Tillero Speckle Refractor /299 CPA-JTPASS
  • 2025 1st Bowman Chrome - Jesus Tillero Auto /75 - Yellow - #CPA-JTPASS
  • $11.75Jesus Tillero 2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-JT Los Angeles Dodgers 1st Bowman AutoLOTTERY
  • $20.642025 Bowman Chrome JESUS TILLERO 1st HTA Choice Refractor Auto 150/150 CPA-JTLOTTERY
  • $16.342025 Bowman Chrome - Jesus Tillero 1st Bowman Speckle Auto /299 (RC) #CPA-JTLOTTERY
  • $13.102025 Bowman Chrome 1st Jesus Tillero Prospect Auto /499 #CPA-JT Dodgers LOTTERY
  • $51.812025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Lava Refractor 7/99 Jesus Tillero Auto 10noPASS
  • $53.832025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 169/299 Jesus Tillero Auto 1cx3PASS
  • $12.992025 Bowman - Jesus Tillero 1st Chrome Auto - DodgersPASS
  • $14.982025 Bowman Baseball - 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-JT LA Dodgers - JESUS TILLEROPASS
  • $15.17JESUS TILLERO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ROOKIE AUTO #CPA-JT DODGERS Q4871PASS
  • $15.99JESUS TILLERO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ROOKIE AUTO #CPA-JT DODGERS PASS
  • $16.002025 Bowman Jesus Tillero Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JT DodgersPASS
  • $17.90Jesus Tillero 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO #CPA-JT DodgersPASS
  • JESUS TILLERO 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st On Card SP Auto CPA-JT LA DODGERSPASS
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player