Deal Sniper

Bryan Acuña

SS · Low-A · 21.0y · #3267 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

41 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

21 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2022 Bryan Acuna Bowman Chrome 1st Yellow…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Bryan Acuña scores 41 out of 100 (#3267 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: plus — 16.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 84% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Power: well below

    .049 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 33/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    16.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 84% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: above average

    24 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 60% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Little power for his level (18th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $6.98 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

21 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 21 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 15 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Bryan Acuna Chrome Auto 1st Signed #BCP-151 GTP

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 41d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.98

    modeled ~$9.77

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • BRYAN ACUNA 2022 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECTS 1ST AUTO SPECKLE REFRACTOR /299 PSA 10

    /299 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 870d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $356.49

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 💥/100💥 Bryan Acuna 1st - 2022 Bowman Chrome PROSPECT Auto Atomic /100 - PSA 10

    /100 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 200d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $359.45

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bryan Acuna Bowman Chrome 1st Yellow Refractor Auto /75

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$31.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Bryan Acuna Green Refractor 1st Prospect Auto #/99 Twins

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$29.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Bryan Acuna Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Refractor #/499 Twins

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 62h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$12.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $6.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $34.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $34.56 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +395%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

11 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    50

    average · better than 51% at his level

    25.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    41

    well below · better than 18% at his level

    .049 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    60

    plus · better than 84% at his level

    16.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level

    24 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .708 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 53th percentile of the cohort, production at the 53th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 53 and his production sits at 53, a gap of 0. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 48th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.0 / 10

  • old for Low-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

151

AVG

.268

OBP

.391

SLG

.317

OPS

.708

better than 53%

HR

0

SB

6

BB%

16.6

K%

25.2

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .587 up to .708 OPS.

Still at Low-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.587▲.708

Power

.010▲.049

Walks

13.0%▲16.6%

Strikeouts

29.6%▼25.2%

Last season, 223 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market21 listed · 21 eBay-verified · 15 not shown above
Listings
21

21 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$6.98
Median ask
$67.69
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$356.49

Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.

The other 15 cards

  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Bryan Acuna 1st Speckle Refractor Auto #75/299 PSA 9 TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome BRYAN ACUNA 1st Prospect ON CARD AUTO TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Sapphire Bryan Acuna 1st Auto Orange 25/25 PSA 10 AUTO 10 #BSPA-BANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Bryan Acuna Chrome Prospect Autograph Purple /250 PSA 9 Mint Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Bryan Acuna 1st Prospect Gold Refractor Auto /50NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —PSA 10 Bryan Acuna 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto RC Refractor /499 #CPABA GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Bryan Acuna 1st Autograph SGC 10 BSPA-BA AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $41.582022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Bryan Acuna RC Auto CPA-BA SGC 10/9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto - Bryan Acuña #CPA-BA (1st)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $93.792022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Bryan Acuna PSA 9 MINT Auto yj0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $34.562022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Bryan Acuna #CPA-BA Auto 4o1NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Bryan Acuna 2022 Bowman Chrome Mojo Refractor Auto Minnesota TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Bryan Acuña 1st bowman auto /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Bryan Acuna CPA-BA Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 9PASS
  • —Topps 2022 Bowman Chrome Bryan Acuna RC Auto Refractor /499 PSA 9 CPA-BAPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now